Thisted FC vs Naestved — 2. Division
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Thisted FC and Naestved meet in the 2. Division 2026 season on 7 March 2027. Thisted FC have recorded 7 wins from 27 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Naestved have won 29% of their 31 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Thisted FC and 1.49 for Naestved. The models give Thisted FC a 30% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Naestved win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Thisted FC—
Naestved12º
Position
5º
0.63
PPG
1.40
13%
Win %
27%
0.88
Goals / game
1.40
1.94
Conceded / game
1.27
52%
BTTS %
71%
7%
Clean sheet %
23%
63%
Over 2.5 %
39%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Thisted FC
Home (8)
—
Naestved
Away (8)
0.63
PPG
1.38
13%
Win %
25%
0.75
Goals / game
1.50
1.63
Conceded / game
1.38
45%
BTTS %
77%
9%
Clean sheet %
15%
55%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Thisted FC | Home | Away | Naestved | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 52% | 45% | 56% | 87% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 36% | 31% | 42% | 39% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 55% | 44% | 13% | 17% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Thisted FC | Home | Away | Naestved | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 91% | 94% | 77% | 72% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 55% | 50% | 35% | 28% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 18% | 38% | 6% | 0% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 9% | 6% | 23% | 28% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thisted FC | Naestved | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS | 52% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 52% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thisted FC | Naestved | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Thisted FC (H)D
Fremad Amager0–0
Fremad Amager0–0L
B 931–3
B 931–3D
VSK Århus2–2
VSK Århus2–2L
Roskilde0–2
Roskilde0–2W
Brabrand3–1
Brabrand3–1L
Nykobing FC0–3
Nykobing FC0–3Naestved (A)L
Middelfart2–3
Middelfart2–3DVSK Århus2–2
VSK Århus2–2D
FA 20001–1
FA 20001–1DFremad Amager1–1
Fremad Amager1–1DB 931–1
B 931–1W
Skive2–1
Skive2–1Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Thisted FC
33%
2
Draws
17%
6
Naestved
50%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
67%
BTTS
8/12
13/09/26Thisted FC
Naestved
3–1Thisted FC23/05/26Thisted FC
Naestved
0–2Thisted FC11/04/26Naestved
Thisted FC
2–0Naestved09/11/25Naestved
Thisted FC
1–2Naestved14/09/25Thisted FC
Naestved
0–2Thisted FC09/03/25Thisted FC
Naestved
2–1Thisted FC01/09/24Naestved
Thisted FC
0–1Naestved07/11/21Thisted FC
Naestved
4–3Thisted FC25/09/21Naestved
Thisted FC
2–1Naestved25/05/19Thisted FC
Naestved
1–1Thisted FC17/03/19Naestved
Thisted FC
2–3Naestved12/08/18Thisted FC
Naestved
1–1Thisted FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roskilde | 16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 | Nykobing FC | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +18 | 31 |
| 3 | B 93 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 | Middelfart | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Naestved | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 | Skive | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 7 | Fremad Amager | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | VSK Århus | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 |  HIK | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 18 |
| 11 | FA 2000 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 12 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -17 | 10 |
Team Insights
Thisted FC- ●Thisted FC have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Thisted FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Thisted FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Thisted FC have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Thisted FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Thisted FC have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Thisted FC have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Thisted FC have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Naestved- ●Naestved have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Naestved have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Naestved have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Naestved have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Thisted FCWASkive2–1
Skive2–1DHFremad Amager0–0
Fremad Amager0–0LHB 931–3
B 931–3LANykobing FC0–3
Nykobing FC0–3DHVSK Århus2–2
VSK Århus2–2DAHIK1–1
HIK1–1–HNaestved07/03
Naestved07/03–AFA 200013/03
FA 200013/03NaestvedLAMiddelfart2–3
Middelfart2–3DHRoskilde0–0
Roskilde0–0DAVSK Århus2–2
VSK Århus2–2WHB 932–1
B 932–1DAFA 20001–1
FA 20001–1DHNykobing FC1–1
Nykobing FC1–1–HFA 200015/11
FA 200015/11–AThisted FC07/03
Thisted FC07/03–HBrabrand14/03
Brabrand14/03Top Scorers
Thisted FCA. Nehme7 ⚽
4 ⚽
V. Fjeldgaard3 ⚽
J. Gaardsoe2 ⚽
G. Ejsing2 ⚽
A. Marques2 ⚽
Naestved16 ⚽
M. Rugaard4 ⚽
S. Hollensted3 ⚽
F. Christensen3 ⚽
C. Cordua2 ⚽
S. Baskaya2 ⚽