Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC — Premier League
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Barry Town and Haverfordwest County AFC meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Barry Town have recorded 12 wins from 16 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Haverfordwest County AFC have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Barry Town and 1.11 for Haverfordwest County AFC. The models give Barry Town a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Haverfordwest County AFC win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Barry Town—
Haverfordwest County AFC5º
Position
11º
2.20
PPG
1.11
70%
Win %
33%
2.50
Goals / game
0.78
1.60
Conceded / game
1.56
75%
BTTS %
31%
13%
Clean sheet %
23%
75%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Barry Town
Home (5)
—
Haverfordwest County AFC
Away (3)
2.60
PPG
0.33
80%
Win %
0%
2.60
Goals / game
0.33
1.20
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
25%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Haverfordwest County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 88% | 88% | 54% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 31% | 44% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 15% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 13% | 13% | 46% | 44% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Haverfordwest County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 88% | 88% | 77% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 38% | 38% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 23% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barry Town | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 8% |
| BTTS | 75% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 63% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barry Town | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 15% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Barry Town (H)D
Ammanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2W
Llandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1W
Airbus UK4–2
Airbus UK4–2W
Cardiff MET1–0
Cardiff MET1–0W
Cambrian & Clydach2–1
Cambrian & Clydach2–1L
Gloucester City0–1
Gloucester City0–1Haverfordwest County (A)D
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1LLlandudno0–2
Llandudno0–2L
The New Saints0–2
The New Saints0–2WGloucester City1–0
Gloucester City1–0L
Penybont0–2
Penybont0–2DBarry Town1–1
Barry Town1–1Head to Head · 17 matches
5
Barry Town
29%
6
Draws
35%
6
Haverfordwest County
35%
94%
Over 1.5
16/17
47%
Over 2.5
8/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
71%
BTTS
12/17
26/04/26Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1–1Haverfordwest County AFC28/11/25Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
4–0Haverfordwest County AFC04/11/25Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–2Barry Town23/09/25Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–3Barry Town14/01/25Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1–1Haverfordwest County AFC24/09/24Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1Barry Town05/04/24Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–1Barry Town23/02/24Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1–1Haverfordwest County AFC26/12/23Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–0Barry Town29/08/23Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2–2Haverfordwest County AFC05/08/22Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
4–2Barry Town15/04/22Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–0Barry Town05/03/22Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0–1Haverfordwest County AFC09/11/21Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1Barry Town31/08/21Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
3–2Haverfordwest County AFC16/12/20Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–1Barry Town30/09/20Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2–1Haverfordwest County AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +22 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caernarfon Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +22 | 22 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 |  Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 13 |  Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 3 |
| 15 |  Flint Town United | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 2 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 1 |
Team Insights
Barry Town- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Barry Town have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Barry Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Haverfordwest County- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●90% of Haverfordwest County AFC's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Barry TownLAColwyn Bay2–5
Colwyn Bay2–5DHAmmanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2WHLlandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1LAThe New Saints0–1
The New Saints0–1WABriton Ferry4–1
Briton Ferry4–1WHAirbus UK4–2
Airbus UK4–2–HGAP Connah S Quay FC26/09
GAP Connah S Quay FC26/09–ACaernarfon Town03/10
Caernarfon Town03/10–APenybont09/10
Penybont09/10Haverfordwest CountyWHHolywell1–0
Holywell1–0WHBriton Ferry3–1
Briton Ferry3–1DAGAP Connah S Quay FC1–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1WHTrefelin2–1
Trefelin2–1LALlandudno0–2
Llandudno0–2LHCambrian & Clydach0–3
Cambrian & Clydach0–3–AColwyn Bay26/09
Colwyn Bay26/09–ACardiff MET29/09
Cardiff MET29/09–HFlint Town United03/10
Flint Town United03/10Top Scorers
Barry TownE. Dugan6 ⚽
O. Brain6 ⚽
5 ⚽
N. Daley3 ⚽
D. Smith3 ⚽
J. Shaw3 ⚽
Haverfordwest CountyD. Hawkins4 ⚽
C. Shephard2 ⚽
2 ⚽
G. Walters2 ⚽
B. Ahmun2 ⚽
J. Walker1 ⚽
Cards Given
Barry Town4 🟨
J. Shaw2 🟨
N. Daley2 🟨
C. Sainty2 🟨
W. Richards2 🟨
O. Brain1 🟨
Haverfordwest County4 🟨
D. Rees3 🟨
G. Walters2 🟨
B. Ahmun1 🟨
K. Kenniford1 🟨
L. Rees1 🟨