Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry — Premier League
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Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Caernarfon Town have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Briton Ferry have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for Caernarfon Town and 1.23 for Briton Ferry. The models give Caernarfon Town a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Briton Ferry win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Caernarfon Town—
Briton Ferry4º
Position
11º
2.00
PPG
0.92
62%
Win %
23%
2.85
Goals / game
0.92
1.15
Conceded / game
1.69
56%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
13%
81%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Caernarfon Town
Home (6)
—
Briton Ferry
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
0.71
50%
Win %
14%
3.00
Goals / game
0.86
1.17
Conceded / game
1.71
43%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
10%
86%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | Briton Ferry | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 71% | 89% | 69% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 57% | 78% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 43% | 22% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 29% | 11% | 31% | 17% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | Briton Ferry | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 88% | 83% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 43% | 33% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 29% | 22% | 38% | 17% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 17% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 19% |
| BTTS | 56% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Caernarfon Town (H)L
Barry Town0–1
Barry Town0–1W
Cambrian & Clydach9–1
Cambrian & Clydach9–1W
Flint Town United3–0
Flint Town United3–0L
The New Saints2–3
The New Saints2–3W
Colwyn Bay3–0
Colwyn Bay3–0L
Penybont1–2
Penybont1–2Briton Ferry (A)D
Holywell1–1
Holywell1–1LPenybont2–3
Penybont2–3L
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3L
Cardiff MET0–3
Cardiff MET0–3WFlint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0LThe New Saints0–1
The New Saints0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
4
Caernarfon Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Briton Ferry
0%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
01/11/25Briton Ferry
Caernarfon Town
4–1Briton Ferry13/09/25Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
2–5Caernarfon Town09/11/24Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
0–1Caernarfon Town14/09/24Briton Ferry
Caernarfon Town
3–2Briton Ferry| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +38 | 37 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 |  Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Caernarfon Town- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Caernarfon Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Caernarfon Town have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Briton Ferry- ●Briton Ferry have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Briton Ferry failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Briton Ferry failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Briton Ferry have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Briton Ferry have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Caernarfon TownWAHaverfordwest County AFC2–1
Haverfordwest County AFC2–1LHBarry Town0–1
Barry Town0–1DACardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2WHCambrian & Clydach9–1
Cambrian & Clydach9–1DALlandudno1–1
Llandudno1–1WAAmmanford AFC5–0
Ammanford AFC5–0–HBriton Ferry23/10
Briton Ferry23/10–AAirbus UK30/10
Airbus UK30/10–APenybont06/11
Penybont06/11Briton FerryLHGAP Connah S Quay FC1–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–2WHColwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0DAHolywell1–1
Holywell1–1DHTrefelin1–1
Trefelin1–1LAPenybont2–3
Penybont2–3LAHaverfordwest County AFC1–3
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3–ACaernarfon Town23/10
Caernarfon Town23/10–HLlandudno30/10
Llandudno30/10–AAmmanford AFC06/11
Ammanford AFC06/11Top Scorers
Caernarfon TownZ. Clarke13 ⚽
S. Bradley6 ⚽
O. Evans4 ⚽
N. Edwards3 ⚽
A. Cieslewicz3 ⚽
P. Mooney2 ⚽
Briton FerryT. Walters4 ⚽
3 ⚽
O. Anderson2 ⚽
L. Bowen2 ⚽
R. Owen1 ⚽
A. Gammond1 ⚽
Cards Given
Caernarfon TownB. Nash4 🟨
N. Edwards4 🟨
C. Marriott4 🟨
R. Sears3 🟨
D. Gosset3 🟨
P. Mendes2 🟨
Briton FerryA. Gammond5 🟨
3 🟨
D. Packer3 🟨
L. Bates2 🟨
J. Lloyd2 🟨
J. Jones2 🟨