Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET — Premier League
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Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MET meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Colwyn Bay have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Cardiff MET have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 2.31 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Colwyn Bay and 1.31 for Cardiff MET. The models give Colwyn Bay a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cardiff MET win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Colwyn BayCardiff METHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | Cardiff MET | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 57% | 77% | 71% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 63% | 43% | 62% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 13% | 29% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 43% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | Cardiff MET | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 71% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 57% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 29% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Colwyn Bay | Cardiff MET | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS | 40% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Colwyn Bay | Cardiff MET | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 69% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 8% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Colwyn Bay (H)
GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
Llandudno2–0
Airbus UK1–0
Trefelin2–0
Bootle1–0
Altrincham2–2Cardiff MET (A)
Flint Town United1–1
Ammanford AFC5–0
Barry Town0–1Airbus UK2–0
Ebbsfleet United1–1
Carmarthen Town3–1Head to Head · 6 matches
Cardiff METColwyn BayColwyn BayCardiff METColwyn BayCardiff MET| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Penybont | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Caernarfon Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | Llandudno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Colwyn Bay | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 | Cardiff MET | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 14 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -17 | 3 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 2 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -20 | 2 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 1 |
Team Insights
Colwyn Bay- ●Colwyn Bay have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●92% of Colwyn Bay's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Colwyn Bay's points have been earned at home.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff MET- ●Cardiff MET have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●80% of Cardiff MET's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Colwyn BayHolywell5–0GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1Penybont0–1Llandudno2–0The New Saints1–5Airbus UK1–0Barry Town18/09Haverfordwest County AFC26/09Briton Ferry03/10Cardiff METFlint Town United1–1Cambrian & Clydach2–2Ammanford AFC5–0Briton Ferry3–0The New Saints0–5Barry Town0–1GAP Connah S Quay FC18/09Caernarfon Town26/09Haverfordwest County AFC29/09Top Scorers
Colwyn BayCardiff METCards Given
Colwyn BayCardiff MET