Holywell vs Penybont — Premier League
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Holywell and Penybont meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Holywell have recorded 0 wins from 11 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 3.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Penybont have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Holywell and 2.12 for Penybont. The models give Holywell a 25% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Penybont win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Holywell—
Penybont16º
Position
3º
0.11
PPG
2.33
0%
Win %
67%
1.22
Goals / game
1.67
3.78
Conceded / game
0.78
91%
BTTS %
42%
0%
Clean sheet %
42%
82%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Holywell
Home (5)
—
Penybont
Away (4)
0.20
PPG
2.50
0%
Win %
75%
1.20
Goals / game
2.00
3.40
Conceded / game
0.75
83%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
50%
67%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Holywell | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 83% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 17% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Holywell | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 82% | 67% | 100% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 64% | 67% | 60% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Holywell | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 73% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 8% |
| BTTS | 91% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Holywell | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 70% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 90% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Holywell (H)L
Colwyn Bay0–5
Colwyn Bay0–5D
Trefelin1–1
Trefelin1–1L
Caernarfon Town3–5
Caernarfon Town3–5L
Barry Town1–3
Barry Town1–3L
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–3
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–3D
Mold Alexandra1–1
Mold Alexandra1–1Penybont (A)WTrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0D
Cambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2W
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0WCaernarfon Town2–1
Caernarfon Town2–1L
FC Santa Coloma0–3
FC Santa Coloma0–3W
Trethomas Bluebirds3–0
Trethomas Bluebirds3–0Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Holywell
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Penybont
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
05/02/23Holywell
Penybont
2–1Holywell| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Penybont | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 |  Llandudno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Colwyn Bay | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Cambrian & Clydach | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cardiff MET | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 14 |
| 10 |  Airbus UK | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 13 |  Ammanford AFC | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -17 | 3 |
| 14 |  Flint Town United | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 2 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -20 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 1 |
Team Insights
Holywell- ●Holywell have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Holywell have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Holywell have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Holywell have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Holywell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Holywell have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Holywell have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Penybont- ●Penybont have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Penybont have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penybont have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
HolywellLHColwyn Bay0–5
Colwyn Bay0–5LACambrian & Clydach1–2
Cambrian & Clydach1–2DHTrefelin1–1
Trefelin1–1LAAirbus UK2–6
Airbus UK2–6LHCaernarfon Town3–5
Caernarfon Town3–5LHBarry Town1–3
Barry Town1–3–AHaverfordwest County AFC18/09
Haverfordwest County AFC18/09–HBriton Ferry26/09
Briton Ferry26/09–AAmmanford AFC03/10
Ammanford AFC03/10PenybontWHBriton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2WATrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0WHColwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0DACambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2DHFlint Town United1–1
Flint Town United1–1WHLlandudno2–1
Llandudno2–1–AAmmanford AFC18/09
Ammanford AFC18/09–HAirbus UK26/09
Airbus UK26/09–AGAP Connah S Quay FC03/10
GAP Connah S Quay FC03/10Top Scorers
HolywellF. Yonsian4 ⚽
I. Hewitt2 ⚽
C. Hughes2 ⚽
M. Winslade1 ⚽
H. Morris1 ⚽
F. Murtas1 ⚽
PenybontT. Mehew4 ⚽
R. Hill3 ⚽
E. Cann2 ⚽
T. Walker2 ⚽
C. Venables1 ⚽
N. Wood1 ⚽
Cards Given
Holywell4 🟨
T. Bibby3 🟨
D. McGiveron2 🟨
F. Yonsian2 🟨
S. Baker2 🟨
D. Sullivan2 🟨
PenybontEthan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨
E. Vaughan2 🟨
J. Leko2 🟨
M. Davies2 🟨