Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town — Premier League
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Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Airbus UK have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Caernarfon Town have won 62% of their 13 matches, with 2.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 85%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Airbus UK and 1.81 for Caernarfon Town. The models give Airbus UK a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Caernarfon Town win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Airbus UK—
Caernarfon Town8º
Position
3º
1.50
PPG
2.20
50%
Win %
70%
1.70
Goals / game
3.30
1.50
Conceded / game
1.10
33%
BTTS %
54%
33%
Clean sheet %
31%
42%
Over 2.5 %
85%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Airbus UK
Home (5)
—
Caernarfon Town
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
2.60
60%
Win %
80%
2.40
Goals / game
3.00
1.40
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
57%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
40%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Airbus UK | Home | Away | Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 71% | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 60% | 57% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 14% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 29% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Airbus UK | Home | Away | Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 57% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 43% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 43% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 20% | 43% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Airbus UK | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 46% |
| BTTS | 33% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 38% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Airbus UK | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Airbus UK (H)W
Flint Town United4–1
Flint Town United4–1L
The New Saints0–2
The New Saints0–2W
Holywell6–2
Holywell6–2W
Ammanford AFC2–0
Ammanford AFC2–0L
Cardiff MET0–2
Cardiff MET0–2W
Llandudno3–1
Llandudno3–1Caernarfon Town (A)DLlandudno1–1
Llandudno1–1WAmmanford AFC5–0
Ammanford AFC5–0WHolywell5–3
Holywell5–3W
Trefelin2–0
Trefelin2–0W
GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1L
FC Levadia Tallinn0–5
FC Levadia Tallinn0–5Head to Head · 6 matches
0
Airbus UK
0%
0
Draws
0%
6
Caernarfon Town
100%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
31/03/23Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
4–0Airbus UK17/02/23Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK
0–2Caernarfon Town10/01/23Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK
0–3Caernarfon Town02/09/22Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
3–1Airbus UK13/12/19Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
5–0Airbus UK30/08/19Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK
2–3Caernarfon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +22 | 28 |
| 2 |  Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +22 | 22 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 5 |  Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 |  Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town United | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 1 |
Team Insights
Airbus UK- ●Airbus UK failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●71% of Airbus UK's goals have been scored at home.
Caernarfon Town- ●Caernarfon Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Airbus UKWHFlint Town United4–1
Flint Town United4–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–3
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–3LHThe New Saints0–2
The New Saints0–2WABriton Ferry2–0
Briton Ferry2–0WHHolywell6–2
Holywell6–2LABarry Town2–4
Barry Town2–4–APenybont26/09
Penybont26/09–HTrefelin03/10
Trefelin03/10–ALlandudno09/10
Llandudno09/10Caernarfon TownWHCambrian & Clydach9–1
Cambrian & Clydach9–1DALlandudno1–1
Llandudno1–1WAAmmanford AFC5–0
Ammanford AFC5–0WHFlint Town United3–0
Flint Town United3–0LHThe New Saints2–3
The New Saints2–3WAHolywell5–3
Holywell5–3–ACardiff MET26/09
Cardiff MET26/09–HBarry Town03/10
Barry Town03/10–AHaverfordwest County AFC09/10
Haverfordwest County AFC09/10Top Scorers
Airbus UKG. Peers7 ⚽
4 ⚽
J. Evans3 ⚽
K. Cooke2 ⚽
J. Stevenson2 ⚽
O. Calland1 ⚽
Caernarfon TownZ. Clarke11 ⚽
S. Bradley5 ⚽
A. Cieslewicz3 ⚽
N. Edwards3 ⚽
O. Evans3 ⚽
P. Mooney2 ⚽
Cards Given
Airbus UKN. Williams3 🟨
K. Cooke2 🟨
M. Blackwell-Jones1 🟨
O. Calland1 🟨
S. Moscrop1 🟨
T. McManus1 🟨
Caernarfon TownB. Nash4 🟨
R. Sears3 🟨
N. Edwards3 🟨
D. Gosset3 🟨
C. Marriott3 🟨
J. Piggott1 🟨