Barry Town vs Trefelin — Premier League
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Barry Town and Trefelin meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Barry Town have recorded 12 wins from 16 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Trefelin have won 0% of their 12 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.19 for Barry Town and 1.22 for Trefelin. The models give Barry Town a 62% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Trefelin win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Barry Town—
Trefelin5º
Position
13º
2.20
PPG
0.30
70%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
0.40
1.60
Conceded / game
2.40
75%
BTTS %
42%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Barry Town
Home (5)
—
Trefelin
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.40
80%
Win %
0%
2.60
Goals / game
0.60
1.20
Conceded / game
2.40
75%
BTTS %
57%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Trefelin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 88% | 88% | 42% | 20% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 13% | 13% | 58% | 80% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Trefelin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 88% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 38% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barry Town | Trefelin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 25% |
| BTTS | 75% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 63% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barry Town | Trefelin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 8% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Barry Town (H)D
Ammanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2W
Llandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1W
Airbus UK4–2
Airbus UK4–2W
Cardiff MET1–0
Cardiff MET1–0W
Cambrian & Clydach2–1
Cambrian & Clydach2–1L
Gloucester City0–1
Gloucester City0–1Trefelin (A)D
Briton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1D
Holywell1–1
Holywell1–1L
Haverfordwest County AFC1–2
Haverfordwest County AFC1–2L
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–6
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–6L
Colwyn Bay0–2
Colwyn Bay0–2L
Bromsgrove Sporting0–8
Bromsgrove Sporting0–8Head to Head · 3 matches
3
Barry Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Trefelin
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
10/02/23Barry Town
Trefelin
1–2Barry Town05/11/22Trefelin
Barry Town
2–1Trefelin21/09/21Trefelin
Barry Town
3–0Trefelin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +22 | 28 |
| 2 |  Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caernarfon Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +22 | 22 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 3 |
| 15 |  Flint Town United | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 1 |
Team Insights
Barry Town- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Barry Town have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Barry Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Trefelin- ●Trefelin have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Trefelin have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Barry TownLAColwyn Bay2–5
Colwyn Bay2–5DHAmmanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2WHLlandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1LAThe New Saints0–1
The New Saints0–1WABriton Ferry4–1
Briton Ferry4–1WHAirbus UK4–2
Airbus UK4–2–HGAP Connah S Quay FC26/09
GAP Connah S Quay FC26/09–ACaernarfon Town03/10
Caernarfon Town03/10–APenybont09/10
Penybont09/10TrefelinDABriton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1LHCambrian & Clydach0–4
Cambrian & Clydach0–4LHPenybont0–1
Penybont0–1DAHolywell1–1
Holywell1–1LAHaverfordwest County AFC1–2
Haverfordwest County AFC1–2DHAmmanford AFC1–1
Ammanford AFC1–1–HThe New Saints26/09
The New Saints26/09–AAirbus UK03/10
Airbus UK03/10–ACardiff MET09/10
Cardiff MET09/10Top Scorers
Barry TownE. Dugan6 ⚽
O. Brain6 ⚽
5 ⚽
N. Daley3 ⚽
D. Smith3 ⚽
J. Shaw3 ⚽
Trefelin2 ⚽
C. Saunders1 ⚽
L. Caramella-Gerrard1 ⚽
L. Phillips1 ⚽
T. Brock1 ⚽
Cards Given
Barry Town4 🟨
J. Shaw2 🟨
N. Daley2 🟨
C. Sainty2 🟨
W. Richards2 🟨
O. Brain1 🟨
Trefelin9 🟨
J. Jones3 🟨
K. Owen2 🟨
K. Georgievsky2 🟨
J. Davies2 🟨
M. Thomas1 🟨