Cardiff MET vs Penybont — Premier League
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Cardiff MET and Penybont meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Cardiff MET have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Penybont have won 63% of their 16 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Cardiff MET and 1.80 for Penybont. The models give Cardiff MET a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Penybont win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff MET—
Penybont7º
Position
3º
1.62
PPG
2.31
46%
Win %
69%
1.85
Goals / game
1.92
1.23
Conceded / game
0.85
44%
BTTS %
50%
39%
Clean sheet %
31%
56%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cardiff MET
Home (7)
—
Penybont
Away (6)
1.57
PPG
2.17
43%
Win %
67%
2.14
Goals / game
2.17
1.86
Conceded / game
0.83
50%
BTTS %
38%
40%
Clean sheet %
38%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff MET | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 38% | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 30% | 25% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff MET | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 60% | 63% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 40% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 40% | 38% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff MET | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff MET | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 61% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff MET (H)L
Trefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3W
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0D
Caernarfon Town2–2
Caernarfon Town2–2D
Cambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2W
Briton Ferry3–0
Briton Ferry3–0L
The New Saints0–5
The New Saints0–5Penybont (A)L
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1W
Ammanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WTrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0DCambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2WHaverfordwest County AFC3–0
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0WCaernarfon Town2–1
Caernarfon Town2–1Head to Head · 23 matches
8
Cardiff MET
35%
7
Draws
30%
8
Penybont
35%
74%
Over 1.5
17/23
57%
Over 2.5
13/23
35%
Over 3.5
8/23
61%
BTTS
14/23
13/01/26Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–1Cardiff MET23/09/25Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–4Penybont14/03/25Cardiff MET
Penybont
0–0Cardiff MET24/01/25Penybont
Cardiff MET
2–1Penybont31/12/24Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–2Cardiff MET18/10/24Cardiff MET
Penybont
0–1Cardiff MET15/10/24Penybont
Cardiff MET
1–1Penybont26/12/23Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–3Penybont29/08/23Cardiff MET
Penybont
0–0Cardiff MET31/03/23Penybont
Cardiff MET
2–3Penybont17/02/23Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–1Cardiff MET30/12/22Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–0Penybont26/12/22Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–3Cardiff MET09/11/21Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–1Cardiff MET31/08/21Penybont
Cardiff MET
3–2Penybont15/12/20Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–0Cardiff MET30/09/20Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–1Penybont06/03/20Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–0Cardiff MET24/01/20Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–2Cardiff MET01/11/19Penybont
Cardiff MET
1–1Penybont| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +38 | 37 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 26 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 |  Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 |  Flint Town United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Cardiff MET- ●Cardiff MET have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cardiff MET failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Cardiff MET's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Cardiff MET's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Penybont- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Penybont have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Cardiff METLHTrefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3WALlandudno1–0
Llandudno1–0WHHaverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0DHCaernarfon Town2–2
Caernarfon Town2–2LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1DAFlint Town United1–1
Flint Town United1–1–AColwyn Bay23/10
Colwyn Bay23/10–HPenybont31/10
Penybont31/10–AHaverfordwest County AFC06/11
Haverfordwest County AFC06/11PenybontWHBarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1WHAirbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1WAAmmanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WHBriton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2WATrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0–AHolywell23/10
Holywell23/10–ACardiff MET31/10
Cardiff MET31/10–HCaernarfon Town06/11
Caernarfon Town06/11Top Scorers
Cardiff MET11 ⚽
J. Payne7 ⚽
J. Veale4 ⚽
S. Snaith4 ⚽
L. Mwandwe2 ⚽
S. Jones2 ⚽
PenybontE. Cann6 ⚽
T. Mehew5 ⚽
R. Hill4 ⚽
T. Walker4 ⚽
N. Wood2 ⚽
C. Venables1 ⚽
Cards Given
Cardiff METC. Craven4 🟨
L. Mwandwe4 🟨
J. Veale3 🟨
S. Jones2 🟨
T. Raison2 🟨
A. Davies1 🟨
PenybontE. Vaughan4 🟨
M. Manga4 🟨
Ethan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
D. Jefferies2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨