The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC — Premier League
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The New Saints and GAP Connah S Quay FC meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. The New Saints have recorded 11 wins from 16 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for The New Saints and 1.23 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. The models give The New Saints a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an GAP Connah S Quay FC win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
The New Saints—
GAP Connah S Quay FC1º
Position
4º
2.80
PPG
2.20
90%
Win %
70%
2.60
Goals / game
2.30
0.40
Conceded / game
0.70
38%
BTTS %
43%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
44%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
The New Saints
Home (6)
—
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
2.25
100%
Win %
75%
2.67
Goals / game
2.00
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
57%
63%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| The New | Home | Away | GAP Connah | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 100% | 63% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 0% | 38% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| The New | Home | Away | GAP Connah | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 38% | 63% | 50% | 29% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 63% | 38% | 50% | 71% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| The New | GAP Connah | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS | 38% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| The New | GAP Connah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 19% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
The New (H)W
Llandudno2–1
Llandudno2–1W
Flint Town United5–0
Flint Town United5–0W
Barry Town1–0
Barry Town1–0W
Colwyn Bay5–1
Colwyn Bay5–1W
Briton Ferry1–0
Briton Ferry1–0W
Haverfordwest County AFC2–0
Haverfordwest County AFC2–0GAP Connah (A)LColwyn Bay1–2
Colwyn Bay1–2WFlint Town United2–1
Flint Town United2–1W
Ammanford AFC2–0
Ammanford AFC2–0W
Holywell3–1
Holywell3–1L
Ballkani2–3
Ballkani2–3W
Queen of the South1–0
Queen of the South1–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | The New | GAP Connah |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 55 matches
38
The New
69%
7
Draws
13%
10
GAP Connah
18%
80%
Over 1.5
44/55
64%
Over 2.5
35/55
29%
Over 3.5
16/55
49%
BTTS
27/55
03/04/26GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
2–1GAP Connah S Quay FC03/03/26The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2The New Saints31/12/25The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3–1The New Saints10/09/25The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–3The New Saints22/08/25GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3–0GAP Connah S Quay FC04/05/25GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
2–1GAP Connah S Quay FC31/12/24GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
2–1GAP Connah S Quay FC30/10/24The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2The New Saints28/04/24The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1The New Saints21/04/24GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
2–0GAP Connah S Quay FC08/03/24The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–5The New Saints31/12/23The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–4The New Saints11/08/23GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
6–2GAP Connah S Quay FC05/08/23GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
2–1GAP Connah S Quay FC22/04/23GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
4–1GAP Connah S Quay FC17/03/23The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–0The New Saints23/12/22The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1The New Saints26/08/22GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
2–1GAP Connah S Quay FC06/08/22The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1The New Saints21/01/22GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3–1GAP Connah S Quay FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +22 | 28 |
| 2 |  Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caernarfon Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +22 | 22 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Airbus UK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cardiff MET | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 13 |  Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town United | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 1 |
Team Insights
The New- ●The New Saints have won their last 9 matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●The New Saints have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●62% of The New Saints's goals have been scored at home.
GAP Connah- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●65% of GAP Connah S Quay FC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
The NewWHLlandudno2–1
Llandudno2–1WHFlint Town United5–0
Flint Town United5–0WAAirbus UK2–0
Airbus UK2–0WHBarry Town1–0
Barry Town1–0WACaernarfon Town3–2
Caernarfon Town3–2WHColwyn Bay5–1
Colwyn Bay5–1–ATrefelin26/09
Trefelin26/09–HCambrian & Clydach03/10
Cambrian & Clydach03/10–AHolywell09/10
Holywell09/10GAP ConnahWHCardiff MET1–0
Cardiff MET1–0WHAirbus UK3–0
Airbus UK3–0LAColwyn Bay1–2
Colwyn Bay1–2DHHaverfordwest County AFC1–1
Haverfordwest County AFC1–1WAFlint Town United2–1
Flint Town United2–1WHCambrian & Clydach3–0
Cambrian & Clydach3–0–ABarry Town26/09
Barry Town26/09–HPenybont03/10
Penybont03/10–ABriton Ferry09/10
Briton Ferry09/10Top Scorers
The NewR. Hughes8 ⚽
J. Lock7 ⚽
B. Wilson5 ⚽
R. Holden3 ⚽
D. Williams3 ⚽
I. Jefferies1 ⚽
GAP ConnahC. West6 ⚽
H. Mehasseb5 ⚽
H. Franklin3 ⚽
I. Murray3 ⚽
J. Ferguson3 ⚽
M. Woodcock2 ⚽
Cards Given
The NewD. Williams3 🟨
D. Simeu3 🟨
J. Williams2 🟨
D. Davies2 🟨
Daniel Williams2 🟨
R. Hughes2 🟨
GAP ConnahI. Murray3 🟨
J. Jones2 🟨
C. West2 🟨
A. Hughes2 🟨
Dan Cowan1 🟨
C. Partridge1 🟨