Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay — Premier League
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Trefelin and Colwyn Bay meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Trefelin have recorded 1 wins from 15 matches this season (7% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Colwyn Bay have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Trefelin and 1.69 for Colwyn Bay. The models give Trefelin a 28% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Colwyn Bay win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Trefelin—
Colwyn Bay15º
Position
5º
0.46
PPG
1.92
8%
Win %
62%
0.62
Goals / game
1.69
2.38
Conceded / game
1.15
47%
BTTS %
37%
0%
Clean sheet %
42%
60%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trefelin
Home (6)
—
Colwyn Bay
Away (7)
0.17
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
29%
0.33
Goals / game
1.29
2.50
Conceded / game
1.71
33%
BTTS %
22%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trefelin | Home | Away | Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 47% | 33% | 56% | 79% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 22% | 47% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 11% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 53% | 67% | 44% | 21% | 0% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Trefelin | Home | Away | Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 40% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 44% | 11% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trefelin | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS | 47% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trefelin | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 16% |
| Loss 1st Half | 67% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 26% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Trefelin (H)L
The New Saints1–3
The New Saints1–3L
Cambrian & Clydach0–4
Cambrian & Clydach0–4L
Penybont0–1
Penybont0–1D
Ammanford AFC1–1
Ammanford AFC1–1L
Caernarfon Town0–2
Caernarfon Town0–2L
Llandudno0–4
Llandudno0–4Colwyn Bay (A)W
Flint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0L
Briton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1W
Holywell5–0
Holywell5–0LPenybont0–1
Penybont0–1LThe New Saints1–5
The New Saints1–5LCaernarfon Town0–3
Caernarfon Town0–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Trefelin
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Colwyn Bay
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
31/07/26Trefelin
Colwyn Bay
2–0Trefelin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +38 | 37 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 |  Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Trefelin- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Trefelin have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Trefelin's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Trefelin's points have been earned away.
- ●Trefelin have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Colwyn Bay- ●Colwyn Bay have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Colwyn Bay's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Colwyn Bay have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TrefelinWACardiff MET3–1
Cardiff MET3–1LAAirbus UK0–3
Airbus UK0–3LHThe New Saints1–3
The New Saints1–3DABriton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1LHCambrian & Clydach0–4
Cambrian & Clydach0–4LHPenybont0–1
Penybont0–1–HFlint Town United23/10
Flint Town United23/10–ABarry Town30/10
Barry Town30/10–HColwyn Bay06/11
Colwyn Bay06/11Colwyn BayWAFlint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0LABriton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1WHHaverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0WHBarry Town5–2
Barry Town5–2WAHolywell5–0
Holywell5–0WHGAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1–HCardiff MET23/10
Cardiff MET23/10–HCambrian & Clydach30/10
Cambrian & Clydach30/10–ATrefelin06/11
Trefelin06/11Top Scorers
TrefelinJ. Jones2 ⚽
2 ⚽
L. Phillips1 ⚽
C. Saunders1 ⚽
R. Piper1 ⚽
T. Brock1 ⚽
Colwyn BayA. Davies7 ⚽
J. Davies7 ⚽
S. Forde3 ⚽
M. Hill3 ⚽
N. Peate3 ⚽
D. Poole2 ⚽
Cards Given
Trefelin10 🟨
K. Georgievsky3 🟨
J. Jones3 🟨
K. Owen2 🟨
J. Davies2 🟨
D. John1 🟨
Colwyn BayC. Bratley5 🟨
J. Kenny4 🟨
E. Roberts3 🟨
A. Davies3 🟨
D. Roberts2 🟨
L. Robles2 🟨