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Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC — Premier League

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Wales · Premier League · Regular Season - 17
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
4º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
vs
–
–
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2º · 2.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
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Caernarfon Town and GAP Connah S Quay FC meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Caernarfon Town have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 65% of their 17 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 47%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Caernarfon Town and 1.67 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. The models give Caernarfon Town a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an GAP Connah S Quay FC win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Caernarfon Town
—
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
2.38
62%
Win %
77%
2.85
Goals / game
2.31
1.15
Conceded / game
0.69
56%
BTTS %
47%
25%
Clean sheet %
47%
81%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Caernarfon Town
Home (6)
—
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
83%
3.00
Goals / game
2.33
1.17
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
67%
29%
Clean sheet %
22%
86%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Caernarfon TownHomeAwayGAP ConnahHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored81%71%89%88%88%89%
Over 1.5 Scored69%57%78%53%38%67%
Over 2.5 Scored31%43%22%29%38%22%
Failed To Score19%29%11%12%13%11%

Goals Conceded

Caernarfon TownHomeAwayGAP ConnahHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%71%78%53%25%78%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%43%33%18%13%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded25%29%22%6%0%11%
Clean Sheets25%29%22%47%75%22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Caernarfon TownGAP Connah
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.594%71%
Over 2.581%59%
Over 3.544%24%
Over 4.538%18%
BTTS56%47%
BTTS & Win31%24%
BTTS & Draw13%6%
BTTS & Over 2.550%41%
BTTS No & Over 2.531%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Caernarfon TownGAP Connah
Win 1st Half56%53%
Draw 1st Half0%35%
Loss 1st Half44%12%
Scored 1st Half69%53%
Conceded 1st Half56%18%
Win 2nd Half38%41%
Draw 2nd Half44%41%
Loss 2nd Half19%18%
Scored 2nd Half63%65%
Conceded 2nd Half50%41%
Over 0.5 HT100%65%
Over 1.5 HT50%24%

Recent Venue Form

Caernarfon Town (H)
LBarry Town0–1
WCambrian & Clydach9–1
WFlint Town United3–0
LThe New Saints2–3
WColwyn Bay3–0
LPenybont1–2
GAP Connah (A)
WBriton Ferry2–1
WBarry Town4–1
LColwyn Bay1–2
WFlint Town United2–1
WAmmanford AFC2–0
WHolywell3–1

Head to Head · 29 matches

6
Caernarfon Town
21%
8
Draws
28%
15
GAP Connah
52%
83%
Over 1.5
24/29
66%
Over 2.5
19/29
48%
Over 3.5
14/29
69%
BTTS
20/29
02/08/26
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2
Caernarfon Town
13/03/26
Caernarfon Town
2–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC
06/02/26
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
13/01/26
Caernarfon Town
2–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
23/09/25
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2
Caernarfon Town
03/12/24
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
28/09/24
Caernarfon Town
3–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC
17/09/24
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3–2
Caernarfon Town
15/03/24
Caernarfon Town
2–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC
02/02/24
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
27/10/23
GAP Connah S Quay FC
6–1
Caernarfon Town
14/10/23
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4–1
Caernarfon Town
01/09/23
Caernarfon Town
0–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC
18/11/22
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3–3
Caernarfon Town
27/09/22
Caernarfon Town
0–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
09/11/21
Caernarfon Town
0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC
31/08/21
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
08/05/21
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4–0
Caernarfon Town
13/04/21
Caernarfon Town
1–6
GAP Connah S Quay FC
13/11/20
Caernarfon Town
1–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Premier League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints131210+3837
2GAP Connah S Quay FC131012+2131
3Penybont13931+1430
4Caernarfon Town13823+2226
5Colwyn Bay13814+725
6Barry Town13814+525
7Cardiff MET13634+821
8Airbus UK13706+721
9Cambrian & Clydach13535-1218
10Llandudno13517-116
11Briton Ferry13337-1012
12Haverfordwest County AFC13319-1110
13Ammanford AFC13238-229
14Flint Town United13229-138
15Trefelin13139-236
16Holywell130211-302

Team Insights

Caernarfon Town
  • ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●65% of Caernarfon Town's points have been earned away.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
GAP Connah
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 5 matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of GAP Connah S Quay FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
WAHaverfordwest County AFC12º2–1
LHBarry Town6º0–1
DACardiff MET7º2–2
WHCambrian & Clydach9º9–1
DALlandudno10º1–1
WAAmmanford AFC13º5–0
WHFlint Town United14º3–0
LHThe New Saints1º2–3
WAHolywell16º5–3
WATrefelin15º2–0
GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
WABriton Ferry11º2–1
WHPenybont3º1–0
WABarry Town6º4–1
WHCardiff MET7º1–0
WHAirbus UK8º3–0
LAColwyn Bay5º1–2
DHHaverfordwest County AFC12º1–1
WAFlint Town United14º2–1
WHCambrian & Clydach9º3–0
WAAmmanford AFC13º2–0

Season Schedule

Caernarfon Town
WAHaverfordwest County AFC2–1
LHBarry Town0–1
DACardiff MET2–2
WHCambrian & Clydach9–1
DALlandudno1–1
WAAmmanford AFC5–0
–HBriton Ferry23/10
–AAirbus UK30/10
–APenybont06/11
GAP Connah
WABriton Ferry2–1
WHPenybont1–0
WABarry Town4–1
WHCardiff MET1–0
WHAirbus UK3–0
LAColwyn Bay1–2
–HLlandudno24/10
–AThe New Saints31/10
–HFlint Town United06/11

Top Scorers

Caernarfon Town
Z. Clarke13 ⚽
S. Bradley6 ⚽
O. Evans4 ⚽
N. Edwards3 ⚽
A. Cieslewicz3 ⚽
P. Mooney2 ⚽
GAP Connah
H. Mehasseb6 ⚽
C. West6 ⚽
H. Franklin5 ⚽
J. Hodkin4 ⚽
I. Murray3 ⚽
J. Ferguson3 ⚽

Cards Given

Caernarfon Town
B. Nash4 🟨
N. Edwards4 🟨
C. Marriott4 🟨
R. Sears3 🟨
D. Gosset3 🟨
P. Mendes2 🟨
GAP Connah
I. Murray3 🟨
J. Jones2 🟨
C. West2 🟨
A. Hughes2 🟨
Dan Cowan1 🟨
C. Partridge1 🟨