Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC — Premier League
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Penybont and Haverfordwest County AFC meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Penybont have recorded 10 wins from 16 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Haverfordwest County AFC have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.12 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Penybont and 0.91 for Haverfordwest County AFC. The models give Penybont a 57% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Haverfordwest County AFC win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Penybont—
Haverfordwest County AFC3º
Position
12º
2.31
PPG
0.77
69%
Win %
23%
1.92
Goals / game
0.62
0.85
Conceded / game
1.46
50%
BTTS %
29%
31%
Clean sheet %
18%
63%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Penybont
Home (7)
—
Haverfordwest County AFC
Away (5)
2.43
PPG
0.20
71%
Win %
0%
1.71
Goals / game
0.20
0.86
Conceded / game
1.40
63%
BTTS %
17%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Penybont | Home | Away | Haverfordwest County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 47% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 63% | 24% | 36% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 25% | 38% | 12% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 53% | 45% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Penybont | Home | Away | Haverfordwest County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 75% | 63% | 82% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 35% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 25% | 38% | 18% | 18% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penybont | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 6% |
| BTTS | 50% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penybont | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 12% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 24% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Penybont (H)W
Barry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1W
Airbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1W
Briton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2W
Colwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0D
Flint Town United1–1
Flint Town United1–1W
Llandudno2–1
Llandudno2–1Haverfordwest County (A)L
Cardiff MET0–1
Cardiff MET0–1LColwyn Bay0–1
Colwyn Bay0–1D
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1LLlandudno0–2
Llandudno0–2L
The New Saints0–2
The New Saints0–2W
Gloucester City1–0
Gloucester City1–0Head to Head · 22 matches
16
Penybont
73%
4
Draws
18%
2
Haverfordwest County
9%
64%
Over 1.5
14/22
45%
Over 2.5
10/22
18%
Over 3.5
4/22
36%
BTTS
8/22
14/08/26Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–3Penybont02/05/26Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
2–0Haverfordwest County AFC07/10/25Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
2–1Haverfordwest County AFC08/08/25Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1Penybont21/03/25Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2Penybont01/02/25Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0–0Haverfordwest County AFC03/12/24Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1–0Haverfordwest County AFC17/09/24Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1–0Haverfordwest County AFC23/08/24Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–0Penybont21/04/24Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1–0Haverfordwest County AFC08/03/24Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1Penybont17/10/23Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3–2Penybont18/08/23Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
2–0Haverfordwest County AFC04/07/23Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1–0Haverfordwest County AFC02/12/22Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–1Penybont30/08/22Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
3–2Haverfordwest County AFC28/01/22Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–2Penybont12/10/21Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
2–1Haverfordwest County AFC02/04/21Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
2–0Haverfordwest County AFC06/10/20Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–4Penybont| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | +38 | 37 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Penybont- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Penybont have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Haverfordwest County- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●88% of Haverfordwest County AFC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Haverfordwest County AFC's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
PenybontWHBarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1WHAirbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1WAAmmanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WHBriton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2WATrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0–AHolywell23/10
Holywell23/10–ACardiff MET31/10
Cardiff MET31/10–HCaernarfon Town06/11
Caernarfon Town06/11Haverfordwest CountyLHCaernarfon Town1–2
Caernarfon Town1–2LHFlint Town United0–1
Flint Town United0–1LACardiff MET0–1
Cardiff MET0–1LAColwyn Bay0–1
Colwyn Bay0–1WHHolywell1–0
Holywell1–0WHBriton Ferry3–1
Briton Ferry3–1–ABarry Town24/10
Barry Town24/10–AAmmanford AFC30/10
Ammanford AFC30/10–HCardiff MET06/11
Cardiff MET06/11Top Scorers
PenybontE. Cann6 ⚽
T. Mehew5 ⚽
R. Hill4 ⚽
T. Walker4 ⚽
N. Wood2 ⚽
C. Venables1 ⚽
Haverfordwest CountyD. Hawkins4 ⚽
B. Ahmun3 ⚽
G. Walters2 ⚽
2 ⚽
C. Shephard2 ⚽
J. Walker1 ⚽
Cards Given
PenybontE. Vaughan4 🟨
M. Manga4 🟨
Ethan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
D. Jefferies2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨
Haverfordwest County6 🟨
G. Walters3 🟨
D. Rees3 🟨
K. McCarthy2 🟨
C. Shephard2 🟨
J. Owen2 🟨