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The New Saints vs Penybont — Premier League

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The New Saints
The New Saints
1º · 2.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Penybont
Penybont
3º · 2.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 4h
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The New Saints and Penybont meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. The New Saints have recorded 16 wins from 22 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.73 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Penybont have won 67% of their 18 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for The New Saints and 1.30 for Penybont. The models give The New Saints a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Penybont win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

The New Saints
—
Penybont
1º
Position
3º
2.73
PPG
2.36
87%
Win %
71%
3.53
Goals / game
2.14
0.40
Conceded / game
0.79
41%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
55%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

The New Saints
Home (9)
—
Penybont
Away (7)
2.78
PPG
2.29
89%
Win %
71%
3.78
Goals / game
2.57
0.22
Conceded / game
0.71
27%
BTTS %
40%
73%
Clean sheet %
40%
55%
Over 2.5 %
80%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

The NewHomeAwayPenybontHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%91%73%78%75%80%
Over 1.5 Scored59%55%64%61%50%70%
Over 2.5 Scored36%36%36%39%25%50%
Failed To Score18%9%27%22%25%20%

Goals Conceded

The NewHomeAwayPenybontHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%27%73%67%75%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded14%9%18%22%13%30%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%6%0%10%
Clean Sheets50%73%27%33%25%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

The NewPenybont
Over 0.591%94%
Over 1.573%72%
Over 2.555%67%
Over 3.536%33%
Over 4.532%22%
BTTS41%50%
BTTS & Win32%39%
BTTS & Draw5%11%
BTTS & Over 2.536%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%22%

1st Half / 2nd Half

The NewPenybont
Win 1st Half45%56%
Draw 1st Half41%28%
Loss 1st Half14%17%
Scored 1st Half59%67%
Conceded 1st Half36%44%
Win 2nd Half64%39%
Draw 2nd Half32%39%
Loss 2nd Half5%22%
Scored 2nd Half73%56%
Conceded 2nd Half18%44%
Over 0.5 HT73%83%
Over 1.5 HT50%50%

Recent Venue Form

The New (H)
DGAP Connah S Quay FC0–0
WAmmanford AFC9–0
WCambrian & Clydach9–0
WLlandudno2–1
WFlint Town United5–0
WBarry Town1–0
Penybont (A)
WCardiff MET5–0
WAfan Lido3–2
LGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
WAmmanford AFC5–1
WTrefelin1–0
DCambrian & Clydach2–2

Team Corners

Team CornersThe NewPenybont
Corners Earned / Match3.00.0
Corners Against / Match3.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 27 matches

20
The New
74%
5
Draws
19%
2
Penybont
7%
81%
Over 1.5
22/27
67%
Over 2.5
18/27
41%
Over 3.5
11/27
56%
BTTS
15/27
02/08/26
Penybont
0–0
The New Saints
14/03/26
Penybont
1–2
The New Saints
07/02/26
The New Saints
6–0
Penybont
11/10/25
The New Saints
6–2
Penybont
16/08/25
Penybont
0–2
The New Saints
29/03/25
Penybont
1–0
The New Saints
08/02/25
The New Saints
4–0
Penybont
23/11/24
The New Saints
3–2
Penybont
20/09/24
Penybont
2–1
The New Saints
16/12/23
The New Saints
3–0
Penybont
07/10/23
Penybont
1–4
The New Saints
08/04/23
Penybont
2–5
The New Saints
04/03/23
Penybont
0–2
The New Saints
25/02/23
The New Saints
1–1
Penybont
19/11/22
Penybont
0–0
The New Saints
20/08/22
The New Saints
1–0
Penybont
01/05/22
Penybont
2–3
The New Saints
09/04/22
Penybont
1–2
The New Saints
12/03/22
The New Saints
3–3
Penybont
18/12/21
The New Saints
3–2
Penybont
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints151320+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC151122+2335
3Penybont141031+1933
4Caernarfon Town15924+2329
5Colwyn Bay15924+929
6Barry Town15915+628
7Airbus UK15906+927
8Cardiff MET15645+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15537-1518
10Llandudno15519-616
11Haverfordwest County AFC15519-816
12Briton Ferry15438-915
13Flint Town United15429-614
14Ammanford AFC152310-329
15Trefelin151311-286
16Holywell140212-352

Team Insights

The New
  • ●The New Saints have been undefeated in their last 15 matches.
  • ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●The New Saints have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
  • ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●The New Saints have won their last 5 away matches.
  • ●The New Saints have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●The New Saints have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
  • ●The New Saints have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
  • ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●The New Saints have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●The New Saints have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●64% of The New Saints's goals have been scored at home.
Penybont
  • ●Penybont have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Penybont have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Penybont have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Penybont have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Penybont have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
WHAmmanford AFC14º9–0
WAAirbus UK2–1
WAHolywell16º6–1
WATrefelin15º3–1
WHLlandudno10º2–1
WAAirbus UK7º2–0
WHBarry Town6º1–0
WACardiff MET8º5–0
WAAfan Lido3–2
WHBarry Town6º3–1
WHAirbus UK7º2–1
WAAmmanford AFC14º5–1
WHBriton Ferry12º3–2
WATrefelin15º1–0
WHColwyn Bay5º1–0

Season Schedule

The New
DHGAP Connah S Quay FC0–0
WHAmmanford AFC9–0
WAHolywell6–1
WHCambrian & Clydach9–0
WATrefelin3–1
WHLlandudno2–1
–ALlandudno06/11
–HTrefelin20/11
–AFlint Town United27/11
Penybont
WACardiff MET5–0
WHBarry Town3–1
LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
WHAirbus UK2–1
WAAmmanford AFC5–1
WHBriton Ferry3–2
–HCaernarfon Town06/11
–HHaverfordwest County AFC20/11
–ABriton Ferry27/11

Top Scorers

The New
R. Hughes14 ⚽
J. Lock9 ⚽
B. Young7 ⚽
R. Holden6 ⚽
B. Wilson5 ⚽
J. Williams4 ⚽
Penybont
T. Mehew8 ⚽
E. Cann6 ⚽
T. Walker5 ⚽
R. Hill4 ⚽
N. Wood3 ⚽
C. Venables1 ⚽

Cards Given

The New
D. Williams4 🟨
J. Williams3 🟨
D. Simeu3 🟨
Daniel Williams2 🟨
D. Redmond2 🟨
D. Davies2 🟨
Penybont
E. Vaughan4 🟨
M. Manga4 🟨
Ethan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
D. Jefferies2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨