Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints — Premier League
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Colwyn Bay and The New Saints meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 18 December 2026. Colwyn Bay have recorded 13 wins from 23 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. The New Saints have won 74% of their 23 matches, with 2.65 goals scored and 0.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 52%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Colwyn Bay and 1.59 for The New Saints. The models give Colwyn Bay a 30% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an The New Saints win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Colwyn Bay—
The New Saints4º
Position
1º
2.00
PPG
2.75
63%
Win %
88%
1.75
Goals / game
3.38
1.13
Conceded / game
0.38
43%
BTTS %
39%
39%
Clean sheet %
52%
57%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
0.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
Colwyn Bay
Home (8)
—
The New Saints
Away (7)
2.75
PPG
2.71
88%
Win %
86%
2.13
Goals / game
2.86
0.63
Conceded / game
0.57
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
0.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | The New | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 64% | 83% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 45% | 57% | 55% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 18% | 35% | 36% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 36% | 17% | 9% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | The New | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 50% | 73% | 48% | 27% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 42% | 45% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 50% | 27% | 52% | 73% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Colwyn Bay | The New | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 30% |
| BTTS | 43% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Colwyn Bay | The New | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 65% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Colwyn Bay (H)W
Cambrian & Clydach2–0
Cambrian & Clydach2–0D
Cardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2W
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0W
Barry Town5–2
Barry Town5–2W
GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
Llandudno2–0
Llandudno2–0The New (A)WLlandudno1–0
Llandudno1–0W
Airbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1W
Holywell6–1
Holywell6–1W
Trefelin3–1
Trefelin3–1WAirbus UK2–0
Airbus UK2–0W
Caernarfon Town3–2
Caernarfon Town3–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Colwyn Bay | The New |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Colwyn Bay
11%
1
Draws
11%
7
The New
78%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
28/08/26Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
5–1Colwyn Bay20/03/26Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
0–2Colwyn Bay13/02/26The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0–2The New Saints13/01/26Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
1–0Colwyn Bay25/08/25The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1–1The New Saints15/12/24Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
4–1Colwyn Bay31/10/23Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
6–1Colwyn Bay29/08/23The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0–1The New Saints20/03/22Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
1–0Colwyn Bay| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +48 | 44 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 38 |
| 3 |  Penybont | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +21 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | +10 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +6 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 |  Flint Town United | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 |  Ammanford AFC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -30 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -29 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -36 | 2 |
Team Insights
Colwyn Bay- ●Colwyn Bay have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●72% of Colwyn Bay's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Colwyn Bay have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
The New- ●The New Saints have been undefeated in their last 16 matches.
- ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●The New Saints have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●The New Saints have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●The New Saints have won 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●The New Saints have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of The New Saints's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Colwyn BayWATrefelin2–1
Trefelin2–1WHCambrian & Clydach2–0
Cambrian & Clydach2–0DHCardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2WAFlint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0LABriton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1WHHaverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0–AAirbus UK20/11
Airbus UK20/11–HAmmanford AFC27/11
Ammanford AFC27/11–ABarry Town05/12
Barry Town05/12The NewWALlandudno1–0
Llandudno1–0DHGAP Connah S Quay FC0–0
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–0WHAmmanford AFC9–0
Ammanford AFC9–0WAHolywell6–1
Holywell6–1WHCambrian & Clydach9–0
Cambrian & Clydach9–0WATrefelin3–1
Trefelin3–1–HTrefelin20/11
Trefelin20/11–AFlint Town United27/11
Flint Town United27/11–HPenybont05/12
Penybont05/12Top Scorers
Colwyn BayJ. Davies7 ⚽
A. Davies7 ⚽
S. Forde3 ⚽
N. Peate3 ⚽
M. Hill3 ⚽
D. Poole2 ⚽
The NewR. Hughes14 ⚽
J. Lock9 ⚽
B. Young7 ⚽
R. Holden6 ⚽
B. Wilson5 ⚽
J. Williams5 ⚽
Cards Given
Colwyn Bay5 🟨
C. Bratley5 🟨
J. Kenny4 🟨
E. Roberts3 🟨
A. Davies3 🟨
D. Roberts2 🟨
The NewD. Williams4 🟨
J. Williams3 🟨
D. Simeu3 🟨
Daniel Williams2 🟨
D. Redmond2 🟨
D. Davies2 🟨