Penybont vs Holywell — Premier League
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Penybont and Holywell meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 18 December 2026. Penybont have recorded 13 wins from 19 matches this season (68% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Holywell have won 0% of their 18 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 3.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.32 for Penybont and 1.05 for Holywell. The models give Penybont a 70% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Holywell win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Penybont—
Holywell3º
Position
16º
2.40
PPG
0.13
73%
Win %
0%
2.13
Goals / game
1.07
0.73
Conceded / game
3.47
47%
BTTS %
83%
37%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Penybont
Home (8)
—
Holywell
Away (7)
2.50
PPG
0.00
75%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.86
0.75
Conceded / game
3.57
56%
BTTS %
78%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
44%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Penybont | Home | Away | Holywell | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 78% | 80% | 83% | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 56% | 70% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 22% | 50% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Penybont | Home | Away | Holywell | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 67% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 11% | 30% | 78% | 67% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 61% | 67% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penybont | Holywell | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 44% |
| BTTS | 47% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penybont | Holywell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 58% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 59% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 88% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 6% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 76% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 71% |
Recent Venue Form
Penybont (H)W
Caernarfon Town2–0
Caernarfon Town2–0W
Barry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1W
Airbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1W
Briton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2W
Colwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0D
Flint Town United1–1
Flint Town United1–1Holywell (A)LFlint Town United0–5
Flint Town United0–5D
Llay Miners Welfare3–3
Llay Miners Welfare3–3L
Ammanford AFC1–2
Ammanford AFC1–2L
Haverfordwest County AFC0–1
Haverfordwest County AFC0–1L
Cambrian & Clydach1–2
Cambrian & Clydach1–2LAirbus UK2–6
Airbus UK2–6Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Penybont
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Holywell
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
05/02/23Holywell
Penybont
2–1Holywell| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +48 | 44 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 38 |
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +21 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | +10 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 |  Cardiff MET | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +6 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 |  Llandudno | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -30 | 12 |
| 15 |  Trefelin | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -29 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -36 | 2 |
Team Insights
Penybont- ●Penybont have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Penybont have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Penybont have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Penybont have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Penybont have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Penybont have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored 66% of their goals in the first half.
Holywell- ●Holywell have failed to win in their last 15 matches.
- ●Holywell have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Holywell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Holywell have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Holywell have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Holywell have lost 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Holywell have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Holywell failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Holywell have lost 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Holywell have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Holywell's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Holywell have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PenybontWHCaernarfon Town2–0
Caernarfon Town2–0WACardiff MET5–0
Cardiff MET5–0WHBarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1WHAirbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1WAAmmanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1–HHaverfordwest County AFC20/11
Haverfordwest County AFC20/11–ABriton Ferry27/11
Briton Ferry27/11–AThe New Saints05/12
The New Saints05/12HolywellLHAirbus UK2–3
Airbus UK2–3LAFlint Town United0–5
Flint Town United0–5LHThe New Saints1–6
The New Saints1–6LAAmmanford AFC1–2
Ammanford AFC1–2DHBriton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1LAHaverfordwest County AFC0–1
Haverfordwest County AFC0–1–ABriton Ferry20/11
Briton Ferry20/11–HLlandudno28/11
Llandudno28/11–AGAP Connah S Quay FC04/12
GAP Connah S Quay FC04/12Top Scorers
PenybontT. Mehew8 ⚽
E. Cann6 ⚽
T. Walker6 ⚽
R. Hill4 ⚽
N. Wood3 ⚽
C. Venables2 ⚽
HolywellF. Yonsian7 ⚽
I. Hewitt2 ⚽
C. Hughes2 ⚽
H. Morris1 ⚽
J. Sconce1 ⚽
M. Winslade1 ⚽
Cards Given
PenybontE. Vaughan4 🟨
M. Manga4 🟨
Ethan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
D. Jefferies2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨
HolywellD. Sullivan6 🟨
T. Bibby5 🟨
4 🟨
F. Murtas3 🟨
F. Yonsian2 🟨
D. McGiveron2 🟨