Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC — 2. Bundesliga
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Holstein-Stadion·Kiel·Germany·15,034
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Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC meet in the 2. Bundesliga 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Holstein Kiel have recorded 5 wins from 17 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Hertha BSC have won 71% of their 17 matches, with 3.53 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Holstein Kiel and 2.21 for Hertha BSC. The models give Holstein Kiel a 28% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Hertha BSC win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Holstein Kiel—
Hertha BSC18º
Position
1º
0.57
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.71
1.57
Conceded / game
1.14
65%
BTTS %
82%
12%
Clean sheet %
18%
59%
Over 2.5 %
82%
6.0
Avg corners
6.3
14.4
Avg shots
20.9
3.4
Avg shots on target
7.1
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
14.6
Avg fouls
13.5
56.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Holstein Kiel
Home (3)
—
Hertha BSC
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.67
Goals / game
2.75
1.67
Conceded / game
1.25
100%
BTTS %
73%
0%
Clean sheet %
27%
75%
Over 2.5 %
82%
6.0
Avg corners
6.3
14.4
Avg shots
20.9
3.4
Avg shots on target
7.1
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
56.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Holstein Kiel | Home | Away | Hertha BSC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 100% | 56% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 63% | 44% | 82% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 25% | 0% | 47% | 33% | 55% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 0% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Holstein Kiel | Home | Away | Hertha BSC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 78% | 82% | 100% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 56% | 29% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 17% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 0% | 22% | 18% | 0% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Holstein Kiel | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 35% |
| BTTS | 65% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 53% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Holstein Kiel | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 88% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Holstein Kiel (H)W
Viborg3–1
Viborg3–1D
VfL Osnabrück1–1
VfL Osnabrück1–1D
1. FC Nürnberg2–2
1. FC Nürnberg2–2D
FC St. Pauli2–2
FC St. Pauli2–2W
Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1
Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1W
Sonderjyske2–1
Sonderjyske2–1Hertha BSC (A)D
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2W
Hertha Zehlendorf3–1
Hertha Zehlendorf3–1W
Dynamo Dresden2–1
Dynamo Dresden2–1WVfL Osnabrück3–1
VfL Osnabrück3–1W
Eintracht Braunschweig5–3
Eintracht Braunschweig5–3D
FC Saarbrücken1–1
FC Saarbrücken1–1Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
11.5
63 games
12.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Holstein Kiel | Hertha BSC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 88% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 75% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 63% | 73% |
| Over 10 | 63% | 63% | 62% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 38% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 38% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Holstein Kiel | Hertha BSC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 75% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Holstein Kiel
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Hertha BSC
50%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
25/04/26Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
0–1Holstein Kiel29/11/25Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel
0–1Hertha BSC01/03/24Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
2–2Holstein Kiel24/09/23Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel
2–3Hertha BSC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
Team Insights
Holstein Kiel- ●Holstein Kiel have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Holstein Kiel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Holstein Kiel have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Holstein Kiel have lost their last 3 away matches.
Hertha BSC- ●Hertha BSC have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Hertha BSC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hertha BSC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Hertha BSC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hertha BSC have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hertha BSC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hertha BSC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hertha BSC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Holstein KielLAEintracht Braunschweig0–1
Eintracht Braunschweig0–1DHVfL Osnabrück1–1
VfL Osnabrück1–1LA1. FC Heidenheim0–1
1. FC Heidenheim0–1DH1. FC Nürnberg2–2
1. FC Nürnberg2–2LA1. FC Magdeburg0–2
1. FC Magdeburg0–2DHFC St. Pauli2–2
FC St. Pauli2–2–HHertha BSC16/10
Hertha BSC16/10–HDynamo Dresden25/10
Dynamo Dresden25/10–ASpVgg Greuther Fürth01/11
SpVgg Greuther Fürth01/11Hertha BSCWHSpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1WADynamo Dresden2–1
Dynamo Dresden2–1WAVfL Osnabrück3–1
VfL Osnabrück3–1WH1. FC Magdeburg2–1
1. FC Magdeburg2–1WAEintracht Braunschweig5–3
Eintracht Braunschweig5–3WH1. FC Heidenheim4–1
1. FC Heidenheim4–1–AHolstein Kiel16/10
Holstein Kiel16/10–HArminia Bielefeld24/10
Arminia Bielefeld24/10–A1. FC Kaiserslautern31/10
1. FC Kaiserslautern31/10Top Scorers
Holstein KielP. Harres9 ⚽
J. Therkelsen3 ⚽
K. Davidsen2 ⚽
Phil Harres2 ⚽
G. Balzi2 ⚽
D. Zec2 ⚽
Hertha BSCS. Gronning9 ⚽
M. Winkler5 ⚽
L. Schuler5 ⚽
K. Sessa4 ⚽
J. Brekalo4 ⚽
K. Todorovic4 ⚽
Cards Given
Holstein KielK. Davidsen3 🟨
F. Roslyng3 🟨
David Zec3 🟨
Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen3 🟨
H. Sekine2 🟨
Guillermo Balzi2 🟨
Hertha BSCD. Zeefuik2 🟨
L. Gechter2 🟨
J. Thorsteinsson2 🟨
Josip Brekalo2 🟨
J. Eitschberger2 🟨
Linus Jasper Gechter2 🟨