MatchPulse

AVS vs Tondela — Segunda Liga

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AVS
AVS
12º · 1.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 20h
vs
–
–
Tondela
Tondela
7º · 1.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 21h
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AVS and Tondela meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. AVS have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Tondela have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for AVS and 1.13 for Tondela. The models give AVS a 40% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Tondela win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

AVS
—
Tondela
12º
Position
7º
1.29
PPG
1.71
29%
Win %
57%
1.14
Goals / game
1.14
1.00
Conceded / game
0.86
44%
BTTS %
44%
38%
Clean sheet %
31%
38%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.0
Avg corners
6.3
10.0
Avg shots
16.0
3.7
Avg shots on target
6.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
3.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.0%
Avg possession
52.0%

Home vs Away

AVS
Home (3)
—
Tondela
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
33%
0.67
Goals / game
0.67
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
25%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.0
Avg corners
6.3
10.0
Avg shots
16.0
3.7
Avg shots on target
6.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
3.2
45.0%
Avg possession
52.0%

Goals Scored

AVSHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%63%88%75%90%50%
Over 1.5 Scored50%38%63%38%40%33%
Over 2.5 Scored6%13%0%13%10%17%
Failed To Score25%38%13%25%10%50%

Goals Conceded

AVSHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%50%75%69%60%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%13%50%25%20%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%13%0%6%0%17%
Clean Sheets38%50%25%31%40%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AVSTondela
Over 0.594%100%
Over 1.575%75%
Over 2.538%38%
Over 3.519%13%
Over 4.56%6%
BTTS44%44%
BTTS & Win6%19%
BTTS & Draw25%13%
BTTS & Over 2.531%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AVSTondela
Win 1st Half27%54%
Draw 1st Half55%38%
Loss 1st Half18%8%
Scored 1st Half36%54%
Conceded 1st Half27%23%
Win 2nd Half36%38%
Draw 2nd Half27%23%
Loss 2nd Half36%38%
Scored 2nd Half45%46%
Conceded 2nd Half55%46%
Over 0.5 HT55%62%
Over 1.5 HT18%15%

Recent Venue Form

AVS (H)
WMoreirense1–0
DFarense0–0
WFeirense2–0
LSporting CP B0–1
DTrofense1–1
WVianense3–0
Tondela (A)
WImortal Albufeira5–1
WPortimonense2–0
LUnião de Leiria0–2
LLeixoes0–1
LRio Ave1–3
LFamalicao0–1

Number of Corners

9.7
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.5
28 games
8.7
Corners / Match
3 games
Match CornersAVSTondelaLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%89%
Over 7100%67%71%
Over 867%67%64%
Over 967%33%57%
Over 1033%0%29%
Over 110%0%11%
Over 120%0%11%
Over 130%0%7%

Team Corners

Team CornersAVSTondela
Corners Earned / Match4.06.3
Corners Against / Match5.72.3
Over 2.5 Corners For67%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For33%100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against67%33%
Over 3.5 Corners Against67%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against67%0%

Head to Head · 4 matches

0
AVS
0%
2
Draws
50%
2
Tondela
50%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
21/03/26
Tondela
0–0
AVS
02/11/25
AVS
2–2
Tondela
19/05/24
AVS
0–1
Tondela
14/01/24
Tondela
3–2
AVS
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa7520+717
2Sporting CP B7502+415
3Farense7421+714
4Penafiel7412+713
5Benfica B7412+313
6Academica7403012
7Tondela7403+212
8Vizela7322+111
9União de Leiria7313+110
10Leixoes7313+110
11Portimonense7313-110
12AVS7232+19
13FC Porto B7214-87
14Felgueiras 19327133-26
15Torreense7133-36
16Amarante7124-45
17Chaves7124-85
18Feirense7016-81

Team Insights

AVS
  • ●AVS have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●AVS have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●75% of AVS's goals have been scored away.
Tondela
  • ●Tondela have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tondela have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●75% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.
WHMoreirense1–0
WAPenafiel4º2–1
WASintrense2–0
DHFarense3º0–0
WHFeirense18º2–0
DAChaves17º2–2
DAFelgueiras 193214º1–1
LHSporting CP B2º0–1
DHTrofense1–1
WHAlverca2–0
WHTorreense15º1–0
WAPortimonense11º2–0
WHFC Porto B13º3–0
LHAcademica6º0–2
LALeixoes10º0–1
WHAmarante16º2–1
LARio Ave1–3

Season Schedule

AVS
WAPenafiel2–1
DHFarense0–0
LALusitânia Lourosa1–2
WHFeirense2–0
DAChaves2–2
DAFelgueiras 19321–1
–HTondela25/10
–AUnião de Leiria31/10
–HVizela06/11
Tondela
WHTorreense1–0
WAPortimonense2–0
WHFC Porto B3–0
LAUnião de Leiria0–2
LHAcademica0–2
LALeixoes0–1
–AAVS25/10
–HFelgueiras 193230/10
–ASporting CP B08/11

Top Scorers

AVS
Rodrigo Pinho6 ⚽
Andrey1 ⚽
Hiago Santos1 ⚽
A. Keita1 ⚽
Roni1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Tondela
Arjen Van Der Heide2 ⚽
Joao Lima2 ⚽
Cascavel1 ⚽
Carraça1 ⚽
Bebeto1 ⚽
Antonio Tomane1 ⚽

Cards Given

AVS
Roni3 🟨
3 🟨
Lazar Rosić2 🟨
Mateus Pivô2 🟨
F. Almeida1 🟨
Carlos Ponck1 🟨
Tondela
Cicero4 🟨
L. Canizares3 🟨
Arjen Van Der Heide2 🟨
Cascavel2 🟨
Bebeto2 🟨
H. Tavares2 🟨