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Farense vs Penafiel — Segunda Liga

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Portugal · Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 8
Farense
Farense
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 3h
vs
–
–
Penafiel
Penafiel
4º · 1.86 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 22h
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Farense and Penafiel meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Farense have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Penafiel have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Farense and 1.33 for Penafiel. The models give Farense a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Penafiel win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Farense
—
Penafiel
3º
Position
4º
2.00
PPG
1.86
57%
Win %
57%
1.86
Goals / game
2.00
0.86
Conceded / game
1.00
58%
BTTS %
46%
33%
Clean sheet %
23%
67%
Over 2.5 %
62%
5.7
Avg corners
5.0
12.7
Avg shots
15.7
6.3
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.4
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
51.3%
Avg possession
50.7%

Home vs Away

Farense
Home (4)
—
Penafiel
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
2.33
75%
Win %
67%
2.25
Goals / game
2.33
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
33%
71%
Over 2.5 %
83%
5.7
Avg corners
5.0
12.7
Avg shots
15.7
6.3
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.4
51.3%
Avg possession
50.7%

Goals Scored

FarenseHomeAwayPenafielHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%100%60%62%57%67%
Over 1.5 Scored42%57%20%54%43%67%
Over 2.5 Scored25%29%20%15%14%17%
Failed To Score17%0%40%38%43%33%

Goals Conceded

FarenseHomeAwayPenafielHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%71%60%77%86%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%14%40%38%43%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%20%8%0%17%
Clean Sheets33%29%40%23%14%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

FarensePenafiel
Over 0.592%92%
Over 1.583%77%
Over 2.567%62%
Over 3.525%31%
Over 4.58%15%
BTTS58%46%
BTTS & Win25%23%
BTTS & Draw17%15%
BTTS & Over 2.542%46%
BTTS No & Over 2.525%15%

1st Half / 2nd Half

FarensePenafiel
Win 1st Half36%42%
Draw 1st Half36%25%
Loss 1st Half27%33%
Scored 1st Half45%50%
Conceded 1st Half36%42%
Win 2nd Half55%42%
Draw 2nd Half27%33%
Loss 2nd Half18%25%
Scored 2nd Half73%58%
Conceded 2nd Half45%50%
Over 0.5 HT73%83%
Over 1.5 HT27%42%

Recent Venue Form

Farense (H)
WAD Marco 093–0
WFeirense2–1
WChaves4–0
DFelgueiras 19321–1
WTorreense2–1
LFulham1–2
Penafiel (A)
WOliveirense2–1
WFelgueiras 19322–1
WFC Porto B3–0
DTorreense2–2
DFamalicao0–0
LVitória SC0–5

Number of Corners

11.3
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.5
28 games
8.7
Corners / Match
3 games
Match CornersFarensePenafielLeague Avg
Over 6100%67%89%
Over 7100%67%71%
Over 867%67%64%
Over 967%67%57%
Over 1033%0%29%
Over 1133%0%11%
Over 1233%0%11%
Over 1333%0%7%

Team Corners

Team CornersFarensePenafiel
Corners Earned / Match5.75.0
Corners Against / Match5.73.7
Over 2.5 Corners For67%67%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For67%67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against67%33%

Head to Head · 9 matches

4
Farense
44%
4
Draws
44%
1
Penafiel
11%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
07/03/26
Penafiel
1–1
Farense
26/10/25
Farense
0–0
Penafiel
22/04/23
Farense
2–1
Penafiel
05/11/22
Penafiel
0–2
Farense
19/03/22
Penafiel
1–3
Farense
01/11/21
Farense
2–2
Penafiel
12/01/20
Penafiel
3–0
Farense
19/04/19
Farense
1–1
Penafiel
23/12/18
Penafiel
2–3
Farense
Segunda Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa7520+717
2Sporting CP B7502+415
3Farense7421+714
4Penafiel7412+713
5Benfica B7412+313
6Academica7403012
7Tondela7403+212
8Vizela7322+111
9União de Leiria7313+110
10Leixoes7313+110
11Portimonense7313-110
12AVS7232+19
13FC Porto B7214-87
14Felgueiras 19327133-26
15Torreense7133-36
16Amarante7124-45
17Chaves7124-85
18Feirense7016-81

Team Insights

Farense
  • ●Farense have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Farense have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Farense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●69% of Farense's goals have been scored at home.
Penafiel
  • ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Penafiel have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Penafiel have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Penafiel have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
FarenseFarense
WHAD Marco 093–0
WHFeirense18º2–1
WHChaves17º4–0
WASacavenense1–0
DAAVS12º0–0
LASporting CP B2º1–2
DHFelgueiras 193214º1–1
WAFC Porto B13º3–1
WHTorreense15º2–1
LHFulham1–2
PenafielPenafiel
LHLeça0–1
LHAVS12º1–2
DHDeportivo La Coruna2–2
WAOliveirense2–1
WAFelgueiras 193214º2–1
WHAcademica6º4–1
WAFC Porto B13º3–0
WHSporting CP B2º2–0
DATorreense15º2–2
LHPortimonense11º0–1

Season Schedule

Farense
WHFeirense2–1
WHChaves4–0
DAAVS0–0
LASporting CP B1–2
DHFelgueiras 19321–1
WAFC Porto B3–1
–HPenafiel24/10
–ALusitânia Lourosa01/11
–HBenfica B08/11
Penafiel
LHAVS1–2
WAFelgueiras 19322–1
WHAcademica4–1
WAFC Porto B3–0
WHSporting CP B2–0
DATorreense2–2
–AFarense24/10
–HFeirense02/11
–AChaves07/11

Top Scorers

Farense
Derick Poloni3 ⚽
Mattheus2 ⚽
Gonçalo Silva2 ⚽
Claudio Falcao1 ⚽
G. Silva1 ⚽
Claudio Falcão1 ⚽
Penafiel
M. Svensson4 ⚽
Davo3 ⚽
Max Svensson2 ⚽
G. Negrao1 ⚽
J. Fuentes1 ⚽
J. Pinto1 ⚽

Cards Given

Farense
Claudio Falcao4 🟨
3 🟨
Gabriel Barbosa2 🟨
Alex Pinto1 🟨
Joseph N'Duquidi1 🟨
Nermin Zolotic1 🟨
Penafiel
3 🟨
C. Moreira2 🟨
Jaime Sánchez2 🟨
Pedro Sa2 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
Gonçalo Negrão1 🟨