Leixoes vs Chaves — Segunda Liga
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Leixoes and Chaves meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Leixoes have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chaves have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Leixoes and 1.17 for Chaves. The models give Leixoes a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Chaves win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Leixoes—
Chaves10º
Position
17º
1.43
PPG
0.71
43%
Win %
14%
1.29
Goals / game
0.86
1.14
Conceded / game
2.00
58%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
19%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.3
Avg corners
3.0
12.5
Avg shots
11.7
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.3
3.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
55.0%
Avg possession
47.7%
Home vs Away
Leixoes
Home (4)
—
Chaves
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.50
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
83%
BTTS %
38%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
83%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.3
Avg corners
3.0
12.5
Avg shots
11.7
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.3
3.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
55.0%
Avg possession
47.7%
Goals Scored
| Leixoes | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 69% | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 31% | 50% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 31% | 13% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Leixoes | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 83% | 50% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 67% | 17% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 17% | 50% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leixoes | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 25% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leixoes | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 9% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 73% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Leixoes (H)L
FC Porto B1–2
FC Porto B1–2W
Amarante3–1
Amarante3–1L
União de Leiria2–4
União de Leiria2–4W
Tondela1–0
Tondela1–0W
Casa Pia6–2
Casa Pia6–2W
Vizela3–2
Vizela3–2Chaves (A)D
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1L
Farense0–4
Farense0–4W
Guarda3–2
Guarda3–2L
Felgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2L
Sporting CP B0–1
Sporting CP B0–1L
Vitória SC0–2
Vitória SC0–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.5
28 games
9.7
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Leixoes | Chaves | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 100% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leixoes | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 6.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Leixoes
22%
5
Draws
56%
2
Chaves
22%
44%
Over 1.5
4/9
22%
Over 2.5
2/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
09/05/26Leixoes
Chaves
1–2Leixoes16/11/25Chaves
Leixoes
0–1Chaves25/01/25Chaves
Leixoes
0–0Chaves18/08/24Leixoes
Chaves
0–0Leixoes24/01/22Chaves
Leixoes
1–1Chaves16/08/21Leixoes
Chaves
1–1Leixoes15/05/21Leixoes
Chaves
3–1Leixoes16/01/21Chaves
Leixoes
1–0Chaves11/01/20Leixoes
Chaves
0–0Leixoes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
Leixoes- ●Leixoes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leixoes have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Leixoes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●88% of Leixoes's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Chaves—
Season Schedule
LeixoesLHFC Porto B1–2
FC Porto B1–2DATorreense0–0
Torreense0–0WHAmarante3–1
Amarante3–1WAPortimonense2–0
Portimonense2–0LHUnião de Leiria2–4
União de Leiria2–4WHTondela1–0
Tondela1–0–AAcademica24/10
Academica24/10–HSporting CP B31/10
Sporting CP B31/10–AFelgueiras 193207/11
Felgueiras 193207/11ChavesDALusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1LAFarense0–4
Farense0–4WHFeirense1–0
Feirense1–0LAFelgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2DHAVS2–2
AVS2–2LASporting CP B0–1
Sporting CP B0–1–HVizela23/10
Vizela23/10–ABenfica B31/10
Benfica B31/10–HPenafiel07/11
Penafiel07/11Top Scorers
Leixoes6 ⚽
B. Rochez4 ⚽
Luccas Paraizo2 ⚽
Bryan Rochez2 ⚽
Claudio Vtor Rodrigues Araujo1 ⚽
Bica1 ⚽
ChavesAndre Rodrigues2 ⚽
W. Tavares2 ⚽
2 ⚽
A. Rodrigues1 ⚽
Ktatau1 ⚽
Marcos Andre1 ⚽
Cards Given
LeixoesSerif Nhaga3 🟨
Matheus Costa3 🟨
A. Balde3 🟨
Paulinho2 🟨
Miguel Ferreira de Sousa2 🟨
I. Stefanovic1 🟨
ChavesMarcos Andre3 🟨
A. Rodrigues2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
João Valido1 🟨
Leandro Santos do Nascimento1 🟨
Kiko Pereira1 🟨