Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa — Segunda Liga
← Back
vs
–
–
Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril·Penafiel·Portugal·6,500
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Penafiel and Lusitânia Lourosa meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Penafiel have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Lusitânia Lourosa have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Penafiel and 1.26 for Lusitânia Lourosa. The models give Penafiel a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lusitânia Lourosa win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Penafiel—
Lusitânia Lourosa2º
Position
1º
2.17
PPG
2.67
67%
Win %
83%
2.17
Goals / game
1.83
0.83
Conceded / game
0.67
40%
BTTS %
43%
30%
Clean sheet %
36%
60%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.5
Avg corners
5.5
8.5
Avg shots
19.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.5
2.8
Avg yellow cards
3.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Home vs Away
Penafiel
Home (3)
—
Lusitânia Lourosa
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
1.67
0.67
Conceded / game
0.33
25%
BTTS %
43%
25%
Clean sheet %
43%
25%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.5
Avg corners
5.5
8.5
Avg shots
19.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.5
2.8
Avg yellow cards
3.5
45.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Goals Scored
| Penafiel | Home | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Penafiel | Home | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 75% | 67% | 64% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 36% | 57% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% | 36% | 29% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penafiel | Lusitânia Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 40% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penafiel | Lusitânia Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Penafiel (H)W
Academica4–1
Academica4–1W
Sporting CP B2–0
Sporting CP B2–0L
Portimonense0–1
Portimonense0–1L
Leganes0–2
Leganes0–2W
Maritimo1–0
Maritimo1–0W
FC Porto B3–0
FC Porto B3–0Lusitânia Lourosa (A)W
Madalena3–1
Madalena3–1WSporting CP B2–1
Sporting CP B2–1WAcademica2–0
Academica2–0W
Amarante1–0
Amarante1–0L
Paredes2–4
Paredes2–4D
Leça0–0
Leça0–0Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
8.9
18 games
9.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Penafiel | Lusitânia Lourosa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Penafiel | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Penafiel
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Lusitânia Lourosa
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
16/02/26Lusitânia Lourosa
Penafiel
2–0Lusitânia Lourosa13/09/25Penafiel
Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0Penafiel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 4 |  Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 |  Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  União de Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |  AVS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Penafiel- ●Penafiel have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Penafiel have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Penafiel have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Lusitânia Lourosa- ●Lusitânia Lourosa have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Lusitânia Lourosa have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Lusitânia Lourosa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lusitânia Lourosa have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lusitânia Lourosa have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lusitânia Lourosa have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PenafielWAFelgueiras 19322–1
Felgueiras 19322–1WHAcademica4–1
Academica4–1WAFC Porto B3–0
FC Porto B3–0WHSporting CP B2–0
Sporting CP B2–0DATorreense2–2
Torreense2–2LHPortimonense0–1
Portimonense0–1–HAVS09/10
AVS09/10–AFarense24/10
Farense24/10–HFeirense02/11
Feirense02/11Lusitânia LourosaWASporting CP B2–1
Sporting CP B2–1WHAVS2–1
AVS2–1WAAcademica2–0
Academica2–0DHTorreense2–2
Torreense2–2WAAmarante1–0
Amarante1–0WHFC Porto B2–0
FC Porto B2–0–HChaves11/10
Chaves11/10–AFelgueiras 193225/10
Felgueiras 193225/10–HFarense01/11
Farense01/11Top Scorers
PenafielM. Svensson4 ⚽
Davo2 ⚽
Claudio Mendes1 ⚽
G. Negrao1 ⚽
J. Pinto1 ⚽
João Pinto1 ⚽
Lusitânia LourosaJ. Santos2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Fabinho1 ⚽
Guilherme Araujo Soares1 ⚽
A. Ricardo1 ⚽
M. Teixeira1 ⚽
Cards Given
PenafielJ. Sanchez2 🟨
C. Moreira2 🟨
Pedro Sa2 🟨
Gonçalo Negrão1 🟨
Davo1 🟨
Alejandro Carbonell1 🟨
Lusitânia LourosaRicardinho3 🟨
B. Faria2 🟨
Fabinho2 🟨
D. Paulo2 🟨
M. Tablante2 🟨
Daniel Paulo dos Santos1 🟨