Chaves vs Tondela — Segunda Liga
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Chaves and Tondela meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Chaves have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Tondela have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Chaves and 1.37 for Tondela. The models give Chaves a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tondela win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chaves | Home | Away | Tondela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 89% | 50% | 75% | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 56% | 13% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 11% | 50% | 25% | 10% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Chaves | Home | Away | Tondela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 78% | 88% | 69% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 22% | 13% | 31% | 40% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chaves | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 6% |
| BTTS | 53% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chaves | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Chaves | Tondela | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chaves | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.7 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
—
- ●Tondela have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tondela have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.

