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Chaves vs Tondela — Segunda Liga

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Chaves
Chaves
17º · 0.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 19h
vs
–
–
Tondela
Tondela
7º · 1.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 41d 0h
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Chaves and Tondela meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Chaves have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Tondela have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Chaves and 1.37 for Tondela. The models give Chaves a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tondela win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Chaves
—
Tondela
17º
Position
7º
0.71
PPG
1.71
14%
Win %
57%
0.86
Goals / game
1.14
2.00
Conceded / game
0.86
53%
BTTS %
44%
18%
Clean sheet %
31%
53%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.0
Avg corners
6.3
11.7
Avg shots
16.0
5.3
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
3.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
47.7%
Avg possession
52.0%

Home vs Away

Chaves
Home (3)
—
Tondela
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
0.67
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
33%
22%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.0
Avg corners
6.3
11.7
Avg shots
16.0
5.3
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
3.2
47.7%
Avg possession
52.0%

Goals Scored

ChavesHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%89%50%75%90%50%
Over 1.5 Scored35%56%13%38%40%33%
Over 2.5 Scored12%11%13%13%10%17%
Failed To Score29%11%50%25%10%50%

Goals Conceded

ChavesHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%78%88%69%60%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded41%33%50%25%20%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%22%13%6%0%17%
Clean Sheets18%22%13%31%40%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChavesTondela
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.565%75%
Over 2.553%38%
Over 3.535%13%
Over 4.524%6%
BTTS53%44%
BTTS & Win24%19%
BTTS & Draw12%13%
BTTS & Over 2.547%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChavesTondela
Win 1st Half42%54%
Draw 1st Half33%38%
Loss 1st Half25%8%
Scored 1st Half42%54%
Conceded 1st Half33%23%
Win 2nd Half17%38%
Draw 2nd Half17%23%
Loss 2nd Half67%38%
Scored 2nd Half50%46%
Conceded 2nd Half83%46%
Over 0.5 HT67%62%
Over 1.5 HT33%15%

Recent Venue Form

Chaves (H)
WOs Marialvas2–1
LVitória SC0–1
WFeirense1–0
DAVS2–2
LAcademica1–4
LGuimaraes B2–3
Tondela (A)
WImortal Albufeira5–1
WPortimonense2–0
LUnião de Leiria0–2
LLeixoes0–1
LRio Ave1–3
LFamalicao0–1

Number of Corners

9.7
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.5
28 games
8.7
Corners / Match
3 games
Match CornersChavesTondelaLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%89%
Over 7100%67%71%
Over 8100%67%64%
Over 967%33%57%
Over 100%0%29%
Over 110%0%11%
Over 120%0%11%
Over 130%0%7%

Team Corners

Team CornersChavesTondela
Corners Earned / Match3.06.3
Corners Against / Match6.72.3
Over 2.5 Corners For67%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For33%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%33%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 8 matches

1
Chaves
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
Tondela
50%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
04/05/25
Tondela
2–1
Chaves
21/12/24
Chaves
2–2
Tondela
19/05/19
Tondela
5–2
Chaves
13/01/19
Chaves
2–1
Tondela
04/03/18
Tondela
2–0
Chaves
29/09/17
Chaves
1–1
Tondela
28/01/17
Tondela
2–0
Chaves
20/08/16
Chaves
1–1
Tondela
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa7520+717
2Sporting CP B7502+415
3Farense7421+714
4Penafiel7412+713
5Benfica B7412+313
6Academica7403012
7Tondela7403+212
8Vizela7322+111
9União de Leiria7313+110
10Leixoes7313+110
11Portimonense7313-110
12AVS7232+19
13FC Porto B7214-87
14Felgueiras 19327133-26
15Torreense7133-36
16Amarante7124-45
17Chaves7124-85
18Feirense7016-81

Team Insights

Chaves

—

Tondela
  • ●Tondela have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tondela have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●75% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.
LAFarense3º0–4
WAGuarda3–2
WHFeirense18º1–0
LAFelgueiras 193214º1–2
DHAVS12º2–2
LASporting CP B2º0–1
LHAcademica6º1–4
WHAlverca2–0
WHTorreense15º1–0
WAPortimonense11º2–0
WHFC Porto B13º3–0
LHAcademica6º0–2
LALeixoes10º0–1
WHAmarante16º2–1
LARio Ave1–3

Season Schedule

Chaves
DALusitânia Lourosa1–1
LAFarense0–4
WHFeirense1–0
LAFelgueiras 19321–2
DHAVS2–2
LASporting CP B0–1
–HVizela23/10
–ABenfica B31/10
–HPenafiel07/11
Tondela
WHTorreense1–0
WAPortimonense2–0
WHFC Porto B3–0
LAUnião de Leiria0–2
LHAcademica0–2
LALeixoes0–1
–AAVS25/10
–HFelgueiras 193230/10
–ASporting CP B08/11

Top Scorers

Chaves
Andre Rodrigues2 ⚽
W. Tavares2 ⚽
2 ⚽
A. Rodrigues1 ⚽
Roberto1 ⚽
Marcos Andre1 ⚽
Tondela
Arjen Van Der Heide2 ⚽
Joao Lima2 ⚽
Cascavel1 ⚽
Carraca1 ⚽
Bebeto1 ⚽
Antonio Tomane1 ⚽

Cards Given

Chaves
5 🟨
Marcos Andre3 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
A. Rodrigues2 🟨
Leandro Santos do Nascimento1 🟨
João Valido1 🟨
Tondela
Cicero4 🟨
L. Canizares3 🟨
José María Pérez García2 🟨
Cascavel2 🟨
Bebeto2 🟨
H. Tavares2 🟨