União de Leiria vs Chaves — Segunda Liga
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União de Leiria and Chaves meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. União de Leiria have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chaves have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for União de Leiria and 1.01 for Chaves. The models give União de Leiria a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chaves win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
União de Leiria—
Chaves9º
Position
13º
1.43
PPG
1.00
43%
Win %
25%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
1.88
42%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
42%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.7
Avg corners
3.8
14.0
Avg shots
14.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
55.3%
Avg possession
50.5%
Home vs Away
União de Leiria
Home (4)
—
Chaves
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
29%
BTTS %
38%
43%
Clean sheet %
13%
29%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.7
Avg corners
3.8
14.0
Avg shots
14.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.5
55.3%
Avg possession
50.5%
Goals Scored
| União de | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 80% | 72% | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 43% | 80% | 39% | 60% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 20% | 28% | 10% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| União de | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 57% | 80% | 83% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 29% | 60% | 39% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 43% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| União de | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 22% |
| BTTS | 42% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| União de | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 62% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
União de (H)W
Bragança2–1
Bragança2–1L
Academica0–2
Academica0–2W
Portimonense1–0
Portimonense1–0W
Tondela2–0
Tondela2–0L
Benfica B1–2
Benfica B1–2W
AD Marco 092–0
AD Marco 092–0Chaves (A)D
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1L
Farense0–4
Farense0–4W
Guarda3–2
Guarda3–2L
Felgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2L
Sporting CP B0–1
Sporting CP B0–1L
Vitória SC0–2
Vitória SC0–2Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.4
29 games
8.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | União de | Chaves | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 75% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 75% | 62% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 0% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | União de | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
3
União de
75%
1
Draws
25%
0
Chaves
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
20/03/26União de Leiria
Chaves
0–2União de Leiria03/11/25Chaves
União de Leiria
2–1Chaves10/05/25União de Leiria
Chaves
0–2União de Leiria12/01/25Chaves
União de Leiria
1–1Chaves| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
União de- ●União de Leiria have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Chaves- ●Chaves have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chaves have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Chaves's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Chaves's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
União deLHAcademica0–2
Academica0–2DAAmarante2–2
Amarante2–2WHPortimonense1–0
Portimonense1–0WHTondela2–0
Tondela2–0WALeixoes4–2
Leixoes4–2LHBenfica B1–2
Benfica B1–2–AFC Porto B25/10
FC Porto B25/10–HAVS31/10
AVS31/10–ATorreense09/11
Torreense09/11ChavesWHVizela2–1
Vizela2–1DALusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1LAFarense0–4
Farense0–4WHFeirense1–0
Feirense1–0LAFelgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2DHAVS2–2
AVS2–2–ABenfica B31/10
Benfica B31/10–HPenafiel07/11
Penafiel07/11–ALeixoes15/11
Leixoes15/11Top Scorers
União deP. Fernandez6 ⚽
J. Munoz3 ⚽
José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu1 ⚽
Juan Muñoz1 ⚽
Marcelo1 ⚽
N. Ondo1 ⚽
Chaves3 ⚽
Andre Rodrigues2 ⚽
W. Tavares2 ⚽
A. Rodrigues1 ⚽
Marcos Andre1 ⚽
Roberto1 ⚽
Cards Given
União de3 🟨
Miguel Ângelo Moreira de Magalhães2 🟨
Ibrahima Kalil·Guirassy1 🟨
José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu1 🟨
Guirassy1 🟨
S. Ntanda1 🟨
Chaves6 🟨
Marcos Andre3 🟨
A. Rodrigues2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Leandro Santos do Nascimento2 🟨
Kiko Pereira1 🟨