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Tondela vs Penafiel — Segunda Liga

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Portugal · Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 13
Tondela
Tondela
7º · 1.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 5h
vs
–
–
Penafiel
Penafiel
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 23h
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Tondela and Penafiel meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Tondela have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Penafiel have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Tondela and 1.53 for Penafiel. The models give Tondela a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Penafiel win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Tondela
—
Penafiel
7º
Position
3º
1.71
PPG
2.00
57%
Win %
63%
1.14
Goals / game
2.25
0.86
Conceded / game
1.00
47%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
21%
41%
Over 2.5 %
64%
6.3
Avg corners
4.0
16.0
Avg shots
15.3
6.0
Avg shots on target
6.5
3.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
47.8%

Home vs Away

Tondela
Home (4)
—
Penafiel
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
2.50
75%
Win %
75%
1.50
Goals / game
2.75
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
57%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
40%
Over 2.5 %
86%
6.3
Avg corners
4.0
16.0
Avg shots
15.3
6.0
Avg shots on target
6.5
3.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
52.0%
Avg possession
47.8%

Goals Scored

TondelaHomeAwayPenafielHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%90%57%64%57%71%
Over 1.5 Scored35%40%29%57%43%71%
Over 2.5 Scored12%10%14%21%14%29%
Failed To Score24%10%43%36%43%29%

Goals Conceded

TondelaHomeAwayPenafielHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%60%86%79%86%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%20%43%36%43%29%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%14%7%0%14%
Clean Sheets29%40%14%21%14%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

TondelaPenafiel
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.576%79%
Over 2.541%64%
Over 3.512%36%
Over 4.56%21%
BTTS47%50%
BTTS & Win18%29%
BTTS & Draw12%14%
BTTS & Over 2.535%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

TondelaPenafiel
Win 1st Half50%46%
Draw 1st Half36%23%
Loss 1st Half14%31%
Scored 1st Half50%54%
Conceded 1st Half29%38%
Win 2nd Half36%38%
Draw 2nd Half29%38%
Loss 2nd Half36%23%
Scored 2nd Half50%62%
Conceded 2nd Half50%54%
Over 0.5 HT64%85%
Over 1.5 HT14%46%

Recent Venue Form

Tondela (H)
WAlverca2–0
WTorreense1–0
WFC Porto B3–0
LAcademica0–2
WAmarante2–1
DSão João Ver1–1
Penafiel (A)
WFarense4–1
WOliveirense2–1
WFelgueiras 19322–1
WFC Porto B3–0
DTorreense2–2
DFamalicao0–0

Number of Corners

8.7
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.4
33 games
8.8
Corners / Match
4 games
Match CornersTondelaPenafielLeague Avg
Over 6100%75%85%
Over 767%75%70%
Over 867%75%61%
Over 933%50%52%
Over 100%0%27%
Over 110%0%12%
Over 120%0%12%
Over 130%0%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersTondelaPenafiel
Corners Earned / Match6.34.0
Corners Against / Match2.34.8
Over 2.5 Corners For100%50%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%50%
Over 4.5 Corners For100%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against33%75%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%75%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%50%

Head to Head · 7 matches

2
Tondela
29%
1
Draws
14%
4
Penafiel
57%
43%
Over 1.5
3/7
14%
Over 2.5
1/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
14%
BTTS
1/7
01/02/25
Tondela
2–0
Penafiel
25/08/24
Penafiel
2–2
Tondela
13/04/24
Tondela
0–1
Penafiel
03/12/23
Penafiel
0–2
Tondela
14/05/23
Penafiel
1–0
Tondela
09/01/23
Tondela
0–1
Penafiel
03/08/19
Penafiel
1–0
Tondela
Segunda Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP B8602+718
2Lusitânia Lourosa7520+717
3Penafiel8512+1016
4Academica8503+415
5Farense8422+414
6Benfica B8422+314
7Tondela7403+212
8Vizela8323011
9União de Leiria7313+110
10Leixoes8314-310
11Portimonense8314-410
12AVS7232+19
13Chaves8224-78
14FC Porto B7214-87
15Felgueiras 19327133-26
16Torreense7133-36
17Amarante7124-45
18Feirense8026-82

Team Insights

Tondela
  • ●Tondela have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●67% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.
Penafiel
  • ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Penafiel have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Penafiel have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●63% of Penafiel's points have been earned away.
  • ●Penafiel have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
TondelaTondela
LAAVS12º1–2
WHAlverca2–0
WHTorreense16º1–0
WAImortal Albufeira5–1
WAPortimonense11º2–0
WHFC Porto B14º3–0
LAUnião de Leiria9º0–2
LHAcademica4º0–2
LALeixoes10º0–1
WHAmarante17º2–1
PenafielPenafiel
WAFarense5º4–1
LHLeça0–1
LHAVS12º1–2
DHDeportivo La Coruna2–2
WAOliveirense2–1
WAFelgueiras 193215º2–1
WHAcademica4º4–1
WAFC Porto B14º3–0
WHSporting CP B1º2–0
DATorreense16º2–2

Season Schedule

Tondela
LAAVS1–2
WHTorreense1–0
WAPortimonense2–0
WHFC Porto B3–0
LAUnião de Leiria0–2
LHAcademica0–2
–HFelgueiras 193230/10
–ASporting CP B08/11
–HFarense15/11
Penafiel
WAFarense4–1
LHAVS1–2
WAFelgueiras 19322–1
WHAcademica4–1
WAFC Porto B3–0
WHSporting CP B2–0
–HFeirense02/11
–AChaves07/11
–HLusitânia Lourosa15/11

Top Scorers

Tondela
Arjen Van Der Heide2 ⚽
Joao Lima2 ⚽
Cascavel1 ⚽
Carraça1 ⚽
Bebeto1 ⚽
Antonio Tomane1 ⚽
Penafiel
M. Svensson4 ⚽
Davo3 ⚽
Max Svensson2 ⚽
Juanda Fuentes2 ⚽
Claudio Mendes2 ⚽
Ricardo Schutte2 ⚽

Cards Given

Tondela
Cicero4 🟨
L. Canizares3 🟨
Arjen Van Der Heide2 🟨
Cascavel2 🟨
Carraça2 🟨
Bebeto2 🟨
Penafiel
3 🟨
C. Moreira2 🟨
Jaime Sánchez2 🟨
Pedro Sa2 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
Pedro Sá2 🟨