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Lusitânia Lourosa vs Tondela — Segunda Liga

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Lusitânia Lourosa
Lusitânia Lourosa
4º · 1.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 7h
vs
–
–
Tondela
Tondela
6º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 0h
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Lusitânia Lourosa and Tondela meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Lusitânia Lourosa have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Tondela have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.12 for Tondela. The models give Lusitânia Lourosa a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tondela win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Lusitânia Lourosa
—
Tondela
4º
Position
6º
1.90
PPG
1.60
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.30
0.90
Conceded / game
1.10
53%
BTTS %
53%
26%
Clean sheet %
26%
42%
Over 2.5 %
42%
6.7
Avg corners
7.3
14.5
Avg shots
15.8
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
3.1
Avg yellow cards
2.6
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
51.5%
Avg possession
54.2%

Home vs Away

Lusitânia Lourosa
Home (5)
—
Tondela
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.60
Goals / game
0.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
13%
40%
Over 2.5 %
38%
6.7
Avg corners
7.3
14.5
Avg shots
15.8
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
3.1
Avg yellow cards
2.6
51.5%
Avg possession
54.2%

Goals Scored

Lusitânia LourosaHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored74%80%67%79%91%63%
Over 1.5 Scored53%50%56%37%45%25%
Over 2.5 Scored11%10%11%16%18%13%
Failed To Score26%20%33%21%9%38%

Goals Conceded

Lusitânia LourosaHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded74%80%67%74%64%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded32%40%22%32%27%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%10%11%5%0%13%
Clean Sheets26%20%33%26%36%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Lusitânia LourosaTondela
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.574%79%
Over 2.542%42%
Over 3.526%16%
Over 4.511%11%
BTTS53%53%
BTTS & Win21%21%
BTTS & Draw26%16%
BTTS & Over 2.542%37%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Lusitânia LourosaTondela
Win 1st Half47%56%
Draw 1st Half27%31%
Loss 1st Half27%13%
Scored 1st Half67%56%
Conceded 1st Half53%31%
Win 2nd Half33%31%
Draw 2nd Half53%31%
Loss 2nd Half13%38%
Scored 2nd Half60%50%
Conceded 2nd Half33%56%
Over 0.5 HT93%69%
Over 1.5 HT47%19%

Recent Venue Form

Lusitânia Lourosa (H)
DFarense1–1
WOs Limianos2–1
DChaves1–1
WAVS2–1
DTorreense2–2
WFC Porto B2–0
Tondela (A)
DSporting CP B1–1
LAVS1–2
WImortal Albufeira5–1
WPortimonense2–0
LUnião de Leiria0–2
LLeixoes0–1

Number of Corners

10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.8
54 games
10.5
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersLusitânia LourosaTondelaLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%83%
Over 767%83%70%
Over 850%83%59%
Over 950%67%54%
Over 1033%50%37%
Over 1117%17%22%
Over 1217%17%20%
Over 1317%17%17%

Team Corners

Team CornersLusitânia LourosaTondela
Corners Earned / Match6.77.3
Corners Against / Match3.33.2
Over 2.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%83%
Over 4.5 Corners For67%83%
Over 2.5 Corners Against83%50%
Over 3.5 Corners Against33%17%
Over 4.5 Corners Against17%17%

Head to Head · 1 matches

1
Lusitânia Lourosa
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Tondela
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
13/07/24
Tondela
0–1
Lusitânia Lourosa
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5Academica10514+316
6Tondela10514+216
7Farense10433+315
8Vizela10433+115
9União de Leiria9423+214
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense9243-210
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

Team Insights

Lusitânia Lourosa
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Lusitânia Lourosa have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Tondela
  • ●Tondela have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Tondela have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Tondela failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●69% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.
LAFeirense18º0–1
DHFarense7º1–1
DAFelgueiras 193215º2–2
DHChaves17º1–1
WAMadalena3–1
WASporting CP B2º2–1
WHAVS11º2–1
WAAcademica5º2–0
DHTorreense13º2–2
DASporting CP B2º1–1
WHFelgueiras 193215º3–2
LAAVS11º1–2
WHAlverca2–0
WHTorreense13º1–0
WAPortimonense10º2–0
WHFC Porto B16º3–0
LHAcademica5º0–2

Season Schedule

Lusitânia Lourosa
LAFeirense0–1
DHFarense1–1
DAFelgueiras 19322–2
DHChaves1–1
WASporting CP B2–1
WHAVS2–1
–APenafiel15/11
–HVizela29/11
–ABenfica B06/12
Tondela
DASporting CP B1–1
WHFelgueiras 19323–2
LAAVS1–2
WHTorreense1–0
WAPortimonense2–0
WHFC Porto B3–0
–HFarense15/11
–AChaves28/11
–HPenafiel05/12

Top Scorers

Lusitânia Lourosa
Micael correia4 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Santos2 ⚽
J. Silva2 ⚽
Guilherme Araujo Soares1 ⚽
Dylan João Raymond Collard1 ⚽
Tondela
Antonio Tomane4 ⚽
Arjen Van Der Heide2 ⚽
Joao Lima2 ⚽
Bebeto2 ⚽
Cascavel1 ⚽
Carraça1 ⚽

Cards Given

Lusitânia Lourosa
Ricardinho4 🟨
Arsénio Nunes2 🟨
B. Faria2 🟨
Bruno Faria2 🟨
D. Paulo2 🟨
Dylan João Raymond Collard2 🟨
Tondela
Cicero4 🟨
L. Canizares3 🟨
Bebeto2 🟨
Carraça2 🟨
Cascavel2 🟨
Arjen Van Der Heide2 🟨