Penafiel vs Leixoes — Segunda Liga
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Penafiel and Leixoes meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Penafiel have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Leixoes have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Penafiel and 0.92 for Leixoes. The models give Penafiel a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leixoes win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Penafiel | Home | Away | Leixoes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 63% | 71% | 73% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 38% | 71% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 13% | 29% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 38% | 29% | 27% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Penafiel | Home | Away | Leixoes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 75% | 71% | 73% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 29% | 47% | 71% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 25% | 29% | 27% | 14% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penafiel | Leixoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penafiel | Leixoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Penafiel | Leixoes | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 67% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Penafiel | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 50% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Penafiel have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penafiel have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penafiel have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leixoes have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leixoes have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Leixoes have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leixoes have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leixoes failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Leixoes's goals have been scored at home.