Amarante vs Chaves — Segunda Liga
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Amarante and Chaves meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Amarante have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Chaves have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Amarante and 1.04 for Chaves. The models give Amarante a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chaves win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Amarante—
Chaves14º
Position
17º
0.90
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
0.90
Goals / game
1.10
1.30
Conceded / game
2.10
57%
BTTS %
60%
21%
Clean sheet %
15%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
6.5
Avg corners
3.8
10.7
Avg shots
12.7
4.3
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
51.0%
Home vs Away
Amarante
Home (5)
—
Chaves
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.20
40%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
0.60
1.20
Conceded / game
2.20
60%
BTTS %
44%
20%
Clean sheet %
11%
60%
Over 2.5 %
44%
6.5
Avg corners
3.8
10.7
Avg shots
12.7
4.3
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
49.0%
Avg possession
51.0%
Goals Scored
| Amarante | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 80% | 67% | 75% | 91% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 22% | 40% | 64% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 33% | 25% | 9% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Amarante | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 80% | 78% | 85% | 82% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 56% | 45% | 36% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 18% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Amarante | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 25% |
| BTTS | 57% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Amarante | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Amarante (H)W
FC Porto B2–1
FC Porto B2–1L
Portimonense1–2
Portimonense1–2D
União de Leiria2–2
União de Leiria2–2W
Benfica B1–0
Benfica B1–0L
Lusitânia Lourosa0–1
Lusitânia Lourosa0–1W
União Santarém1–0
União Santarém1–0Chaves (A)LBenfica B1–3
Benfica B1–3DLusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1L
Farense0–4
Farense0–4W
Guarda3–2
Guarda3–2L
Felgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2L
Sporting CP B0–1
Sporting CP B0–1Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.7
55 games
8.3
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Amarante | Chaves | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 67% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 67% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 0% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 0% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Amarante | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 83% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Amarante
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Chaves
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
22/07/26Amarante
Chaves
2–1Amarante| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penafiel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academica | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Tondela | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  AVS | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Leixoes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Amarante- ●Amarante failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Amarante have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Amarante failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Amarante failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Amarante's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Amarante's points have been earned at home.
- ●Amarante have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Chaves- ●Chaves failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Chaves have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chaves failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chaves failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chaves failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chaves have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Chaves's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Chaves's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AmaranteDAAcademica1–1
Academica1–1WHFC Porto B2–1
FC Porto B2–1LATorreense0–1
Torreense0–1LHPortimonense1–2
Portimonense1–2DHUnião de Leiria2–2
União de Leiria2–2LALeixoes1–3
Leixoes1–3–HFelgueiras 193215/11
Felgueiras 193215/11–ASporting CP B28/11
Sporting CP B28/11–HAVS08/12
AVS08/12ChavesLHPenafiel2–3
Penafiel2–3LABenfica B1–3
Benfica B1–3WHVizela2–1
Vizela2–1DALusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1LAFarense0–4
Farense0–4WHFeirense1–0
Feirense1–0–ALeixoes15/11
Leixoes15/11–HTondela28/11
Tondela28/11–AUnião de Leiria07/12
União de Leiria07/12Top Scorers
AmaranteGoncalo cunha2 ⚽
M. Costa2 ⚽
2 ⚽
B. Silva1 ⚽
S. Simao1 ⚽
Simão Silva1 ⚽
ChavesAndre Rodrigues3 ⚽
3 ⚽
W. Tavares2 ⚽
Junior Armando Mendes1 ⚽
A. Rodrigues1 ⚽
Marcos Andre1 ⚽
Cards Given
Amarantefeliciano mendes3 🟨
3 🟨
Fernando de Lacerda Gomes2 🟨
Joao filipe2 🟨
Rudi Almeida2 🟨
Joao Ricardo1 🟨
Chaves6 🟨
Marcos Andre3 🟨
Leandro Santos do Nascimento3 🟨
Aílson Tavares2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
A. Rodrigues2 🟨