Chelyabinsk vs Ural — First League
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Chelyabinsk and Ural meet in the First League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Chelyabinsk have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Ural have won 50% of their 20 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Chelyabinsk and 1.50 for Ural. The models give Chelyabinsk a 30% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ural win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Chelyabinsk—
Ural14º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
2.00
27%
Win %
55%
1.09
Goals / game
1.64
1.64
Conceded / game
0.45
54%
BTTS %
40%
25%
Clean sheet %
50%
46%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.8
Avg corners
4.7
7.0
Avg shots
6.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.7%
Avg possession
52.2%
Home vs Away
Chelyabinsk
Home (5)
—
Ural
Away (6)
1.20
PPG
1.67
40%
Win %
33%
1.20
Goals / game
1.33
1.80
Conceded / game
0.67
62%
BTTS %
57%
15%
Clean sheet %
43%
62%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.8
Avg corners
4.7
7.0
Avg shots
6.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.0
49.7%
Avg possession
52.2%
Goals Scored
| Chelyabinsk | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 69% | 82% | 80% | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 46% | 18% | 55% | 69% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 4% | 8% | 0% | 25% | 31% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 31% | 18% | 20% | 23% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelyabinsk | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 85% | 64% | 50% | 46% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 46% | 27% | 20% | 15% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 23% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 15% | 36% | 50% | 54% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelyabinsk | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 54% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelyabinsk | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelyabinsk (H)W
FC UFA2–1
FC UFA2–1L
Spartak Kostroma0–1
Spartak Kostroma0–1L
Torpedo Moskva0–4
Torpedo Moskva0–4L
Nizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2W
Ska-khabarovsk3–1
Ska-khabarovsk3–1D
Torpedo Miass2–2
Torpedo Miass2–2Ural (A)W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0D
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1L
Luki-Energiya1–2
Luki-Energiya1–2D
Arsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2D
Rotor Volgograd1–1
Rotor Volgograd1–1WSka-khabarovsk3–0
Ska-khabarovsk3–0Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.4
41 games
8.3
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Chelyabinsk | Ural | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 33% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 33% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 17% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chelyabinsk | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 83% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 33% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Chelyabinsk
0%
1
Draws
25%
3
Ural
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
04/07/26Chelyabinsk
Ural
1–1Chelyabinsk20/06/26Chelyabinsk
Ural
3–0Chelyabinsk26/04/26Ural
Chelyabinsk
1–2Ural05/11/25Chelyabinsk
Ural
1–0Chelyabinsk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 | Spartak Kostroma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 24 |
| 3 |  FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Veles | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Ural | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 | FC UFA | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Enisey | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | FK Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Chelyabinsk- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Ural- ●Ural have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ural have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
ChelyabinskWHFC UFA2–1
FC UFA2–1DAKAMAZ1–1
KAMAZ1–1LHSpartak Kostroma0–1
Spartak Kostroma0–1LAFC Sochi1–2
FC Sochi1–2DALeningradets1–1
Leningradets1–1LHTorpedo Moskva0–4
Torpedo Moskva0–4–HEnisey26/09
Enisey26/09–AFK Neftekhimik10/10
FK Neftekhimik10/10–ATekstilshchik17/10
Tekstilshchik17/10UralWAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1WHKAMAZ2–0
KAMAZ2–0DAArsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2WHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DARotor Volgograd1–1
Rotor Volgograd1–1–ASpartak Kostroma26/09
Spartak Kostroma26/09–HVeles10/10
Veles10/10–HNizhny Novgorod17/10
Nizhny Novgorod17/10Top Scorers
ChelyabinskR. Gadzhimuradov4 ⚽
M. Urvantsev3 ⚽
2 ⚽
I. Safronov2 ⚽
Ramazan Gadzhimuradov2 ⚽
W. Eza1 ⚽
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Martin Sekulic2 ⚽
V. Malkevich2 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelyabinsk5 🟨
Denis Pokotylo2 🟨
Khetag Kochiev2 🟨
Konstantin Kertanov2 🟨
I. Safronov2 🟨
M. Urvantsev2 🟨
UralMartin Sekulic2 🟨
2 🟨
Italo2 🟨
M. Sekulic2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin1 🟨
D. Tikhiy1 🟨