Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma — First League
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Shinnik Yaroslavl and Spartak Kostroma meet in the First League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Shinnik Yaroslavl have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Spartak Kostroma have won 48% of their 25 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.27 for Spartak Kostroma. The models give Shinnik Yaroslavl a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Spartak Kostroma win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Shinnik Yaroslavl—
Spartak Kostroma9º
Position
3º
1.33
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
58%
1.25
Goals / game
1.33
1.08
Conceded / game
0.83
41%
BTTS %
40%
47%
Clean sheet %
44%
35%
Over 2.5 %
32%
7.2
Avg corners
4.2
5.6
Avg shots
7.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.7
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.8%
Avg possession
46.3%
Home vs Away
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Home (7)
—
Spartak Kostroma
Away (6)
1.14
PPG
2.17
14%
Win %
67%
1.29
Goals / game
1.17
1.14
Conceded / game
0.67
40%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Clean sheet %
42%
40%
Over 2.5 %
33%
7.2
Avg corners
4.2
5.6
Avg shots
7.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.7
50.8%
Avg possession
46.3%
Goals Scored
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | Spartak Kostroma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 80% | 71% | 76% | 85% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 60% | 43% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 20% | 29% | 24% | 15% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | Spartak Kostroma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 50% | 57% | 56% | 54% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 30% | 14% | 24% | 15% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 50% | 43% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 41% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 12% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl (H)D
Ska-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0L
KAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1D
Ural1–1
Ural1–1W
Torpedo Moskva2–0
Torpedo Moskva2–0D
Rotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2D
Arsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2Spartak Kostroma (A)W
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
Ryazan2–0
Ryazan2–0W
Chelyabinsk1–0
Chelyabinsk1–0LTorpedo Moskva0–3
Torpedo Moskva0–3WSka-khabarovsk3–1
Ska-khabarovsk3–1D
Tekstilshchik0–0
Tekstilshchik0–0Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.4
46 games
9.8
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 83% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 67% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 17% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.2 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.2 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 83% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Spartak Kostroma
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
22/03/26Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
1–1Shinnik Yaroslavl25/10/25Spartak Kostroma
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2Spartak Kostroma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Veles | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 7 |  FC UFA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Enisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 |  Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |  FK Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Spartak Kostroma- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Shinnik YaroslavlDHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DHUral1–1
Ural1–1DHRotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2DAEnisey0–0
Enisey0–0WAVolga Ulyanovsk3–1
Volga Ulyanovsk3–1–HTekstilshchik10/10
Tekstilshchik10/10–AVeles17/10
Veles17/10–HSpartak Kostroma24/10
Spartak Kostroma24/10Spartak KostromaLHUral1–2
Ural1–2WAVolga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0WHFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0WAChelyabinsk1–0
Chelyabinsk1–0WHRotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0LATorpedo Moskva0–3
Torpedo Moskva0–3–AArsenal Tula10/10
Arsenal Tula10/10–HLeningradets17/10
Leningradets17/10–AShinnik Yaroslavl24/10
Shinnik Yaroslavl24/10Top Scorers
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽
Albek Gongapshev1 ⚽
Spartak KostromaA. Kalmykov11 ⚽
S. Bugriev2 ⚽
Amur Kalmykov2 ⚽
Kirill Malyarov1 ⚽
M. Chikanchi1 ⚽
Nikolay Tarasov1 ⚽
Cards Given
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov3 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
Nikita Kotin2 🟨
Spartak KostromaN. Tarasov4 🟨
Denis Zhilmostnykh3 🟨
Vladislav Kamilov3 🟨
Kirill Malyarov2 🟨
A. Tarasov2 🟨
Dmitriy Kaptilovich2 🟨