Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl — First League
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Chelyabinsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Chelyabinsk have recorded 9 wins from 27 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 42% of their 19 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Chelyabinsk and 1.35 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The models give Chelyabinsk a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Shinnik Yaroslavl win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Chelyabinsk—
Shinnik Yaroslavl12º
Position
7º
1.15
PPG
1.46
31%
Win %
31%
1.31
Goals / game
1.31
1.62
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
37%
22%
Clean sheet %
47%
44%
Over 2.5 %
37%
5.7
Avg corners
7.1
7.0
Avg shots
5.7
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Chelyabinsk
Home (6)
—
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
1.60
33%
Win %
40%
1.17
Goals / game
1.20
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
64%
BTTS %
38%
14%
Clean sheet %
38%
57%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.7
Avg corners
7.1
7.0
Avg shots
5.7
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
49.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Chelyabinsk | Home | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 71% | 77% | 74% | 82% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 43% | 23% | 53% | 64% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 29% | 23% | 26% | 18% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelyabinsk | Home | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 86% | 69% | 53% | 45% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 43% | 31% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 14% | 31% | 47% | 55% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 16% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelyabinsk (H)D
Enisey1–1
Enisey1–1W
FC UFA2–1
FC UFA2–1L
Spartak Kostroma0–1
Spartak Kostroma0–1L
Torpedo Moskva0–4
Torpedo Moskva0–4L
Nizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2W
Ska-khabarovsk3–1
Ska-khabarovsk3–1Shinnik Yaroslavl (A)LNizhny Novgorod0–4
Nizhny Novgorod0–4DEnisey0–0
Enisey0–0W
Volga Ulyanovsk3–1
Volga Ulyanovsk3–1W
FK Neftekhimik2–0
FK Neftekhimik2–0LNizhny Novgorod0–3
Nizhny Novgorod0–3DTorpedo Moskva1–1
Torpedo Moskva1–1Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
56 games
10.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 71% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 43% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 29% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 29% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 89% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 14% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Chelyabinsk
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
16/05/26Shinnik Yaroslavl
Chelyabinsk
2–2Shinnik Yaroslavl01/11/25Chelyabinsk
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–0Chelyabinsk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 |  Veles | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 |  Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Rotor Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 |  Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Chelyabinsk- ●Chelyabinsk have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●65% of Shinnik Yaroslavl's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ChelyabinskWAFK Neftekhimik4–2
FK Neftekhimik4–2DHEnisey1–1
Enisey1–1WHFC UFA2–1
FC UFA2–1DAKAMAZ1–1
KAMAZ1–1LHSpartak Kostroma0–1
Spartak Kostroma0–1LAFC Sochi1–2
FC Sochi1–2–ATekstilshchik17/10
Tekstilshchik17/10–HUral24/10
Ural24/10–HShinnik Yaroslavl31/10
Shinnik Yaroslavl31/10Shinnik YaroslavlWHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DHUral1–1
Ural1–1DHRotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2DAEnisey0–0
Enisey0–0–AVeles17/10
Veles17/10–HSpartak Kostroma24/10
Spartak Kostroma24/10–AChelyabinsk31/10
Chelyabinsk31/10Top Scorers
ChelyabinskR. Gadzhimuradov4 ⚽
3 ⚽
M. Urvantsev3 ⚽
Matvey Urvantsev3 ⚽
Ramazan Gadzhimuradov3 ⚽
I. Safronov2 ⚽
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽
Albek Gongapshev1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelyabinsk7 🟨
Ilya Safronov4 🟨
Denis Pokotylo2 🟨
Khetag Kochiev2 🟨
I. Safronov2 🟨
Konstantin Kertanov2 🟨
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨