MatchPulse

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula — First League

← Back
Russia · First League · Regular Season - 16
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
1º · 2.58 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 44d 0h
vs
–
–
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
11º · 1.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 45d 3h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Nizhny Novgorod and Arsenal Tula meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Nizhny Novgorod have recorded 14 wins from 21 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.52 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Arsenal Tula have won 26% of their 23 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 9%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.44 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.13 for Arsenal Tula. The models give Nizhny Novgorod a 65% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Arsenal Tula win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Nizhny Novgorod
—
Arsenal Tula
1º
Position
11º
2.58
PPG
1.08
83%
Win %
25%
3.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
1.83
76%
BTTS %
61%
19%
Clean sheet %
9%
86%
Over 2.5 %
65%
7.0
Avg corners
4.3
7.3
Avg shots
5.8
2.8
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.6%
Avg possession
51.3%

Home vs Away

Nizhny Novgorod
Home (6)
—
Arsenal Tula
Away (6)
2.67
PPG
0.33
83%
Win %
0%
4.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.17
Conceded / game
2.50
67%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
9%
83%
Over 2.5 %
64%
7.0
Avg corners
4.3
7.3
Avg shots
5.8
2.8
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
50.6%
Avg possession
51.3%

Goals Scored

Nizhny NovgorodHomeAwayArsenal TulaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored90%83%100%65%75%55%
Over 1.5 Scored81%83%78%39%42%36%
Over 2.5 Scored33%50%11%17%8%27%
Failed To Score10%17%0%35%25%45%

Goals Conceded

Nizhny NovgorodHomeAwayArsenal TulaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%75%89%91%92%91%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%33%33%57%42%73%
Over 2.5 Conceded10%0%22%30%17%45%
Clean Sheets19%25%11%9%8%9%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Nizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula
Over 0.595%96%
Over 1.586%78%
Over 2.586%65%
Over 3.548%48%
Over 4.533%22%
BTTS76%61%
BTTS & Win52%22%
BTTS & Draw10%26%
BTTS & Over 2.576%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.510%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Nizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula
Win 1st Half62%14%
Draw 1st Half19%32%
Loss 1st Half19%55%
Scored 1st Half76%32%
Conceded 1st Half52%68%
Win 2nd Half43%32%
Draw 2nd Half33%23%
Loss 2nd Half24%45%
Scored 2nd Half71%41%
Conceded 2nd Half52%68%
Over 0.5 HT90%77%
Over 1.5 HT52%41%

Recent Venue Form

Nizhny Novgorod (H)
WLeningradets6–0
DVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
WSka-khabarovsk4–2
WFK Neftekhimik5–1
WShinnik Yaroslavl3–0
WRotor Volgograd4–2
Arsenal Tula (A)
LEnisey1–3
LTekstilshchik0–1
LVolga Ulyanovsk0–3
LVeles0–2
DLeningradets0–0
DShinnik Yaroslavl2–2

Number of Corners

11.2
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
9.4
41 games
8.0
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersNizhny NovgorodArsenal TulaLeague Avg
Over 6100%50%78%
Over 7100%50%71%
Over 8100%50%61%
Over 980%33%49%
Over 1060%33%37%
Over 1140%17%24%
Over 1240%0%17%
Over 130%0%7%

Team Corners

Team CornersNizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula
Corners Earned / Match7.04.3
Corners Against / Match4.23.7
Over 2.5 Corners For100%83%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%50%
Over 4.5 Corners For80%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against60%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against60%50%
Over 4.5 Corners Against60%17%

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Nizhny Novgorod
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Arsenal Tula
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
01/06/24
Arsenal Tula
0–2
Nizhny Novgorod
29/05/24
Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
Arsenal Tula
02/05/22
Arsenal Tula
2–2
Nizhny Novgorod
19/09/21
Nizhny Novgorod
2–3
Arsenal Tula
First League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod121011+2231
2Spartak Kostroma11731+724
3FC Sochi12723+723
4Veles12723+223
5Ural11641+1322
6Torpedo Moskva11623+1220
7Rotor Volgograd12525+617
8FC UFA11452+317
9Shinnik Yaroslavl11362+215
10Enisey11344-513
11Arsenal Tula12345-1013
12FK Neftekhimik12408-812
13Volga Ulyanovsk11326-311
14Chelyabinsk11326-611
15Leningradets11245-1110
16KAMAZ12237-89
17Tekstilshchik12147-117
18Ska-khabarovsk11128-125

Team Insights

Nizhny Novgorod
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Nizhny Novgorod's goals have been scored at home.
Arsenal Tula
  • ●Arsenal Tula have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●75% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●68% of Arsenal Tula's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●85% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
WHLeningradets15º6–0
WATorpedo Moskva6º2–1
WADinamo Stavropol2–1
WAFC Sochi3º1–0
DHVolga Ulyanovsk13º2–2
WHSka-khabarovsk18º4–2
LAVeles4º2–3
WATekstilshchik17º3–1
WHFK Neftekhimik12º5–1
WHShinnik Yaroslavl9º3–0
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
LAEnisey10º1–3
DHSka-khabarovsk18º2–2
LATekstilshchik0–1
LAVolga Ulyanovsk13º0–3
DHUral5º2–2
LAVeles4º0–2
WHRotor Volgograd7º2–1
DALeningradets15º0–0
DAShinnik Yaroslavl9º2–2
WHTorpedo Moskva6º1–0

Season Schedule

Nizhny Novgorod
WHLeningradets6–0
WATorpedo Moskva2–1
WAFC Sochi1–0
DHVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
WHSka-khabarovsk4–2
LAVeles2–3
–HEnisey10/10
–AUral17/10
–AFC UFA24/10
Arsenal Tula
LAEnisey1–3
DHSka-khabarovsk2–2
LAVolga Ulyanovsk0–3
DHUral2–2
LAVeles0–2
WHRotor Volgograd2–1
–HSpartak Kostroma10/10
–AFC UFA17/10
–HKAMAZ24/10

Top Scorers

Nizhny Novgorod
V. Grulev11 ⚽
Vyacheslav Grulev4 ⚽
G. Popolitov4 ⚽
A. Sokolov3 ⚽
V. Sarveli3 ⚽
Stanislav Lapinskiy2 ⚽
Arsenal Tula
T. Melekestsev3 ⚽
Rashid Magomedov2 ⚽
K. Bogdanets2 ⚽
E. Reyes2 ⚽
D. Penchikov2 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽

Cards Given

Nizhny Novgorod
V. Sarveli3 🟨
Yuriy Koledin2 🟨
M. Maiga2 🟨
G. Popolitov1 🟨
I. Bober1 🟨
Gleb Shilnikov1 🟨
Arsenal Tula
Nikita Karmaev4 🟨
D. Plotnikov3 🟨
Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨
Oleg Isaenko2 🟨
D. Shamkin2 🟨
Nikita Razdorskikh2 🟨