Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk — First League
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Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Arsenal Tula have recorded 6 wins from 23 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Chelyabinsk have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Arsenal Tula and 1.12 for Chelyabinsk. The models give Arsenal Tula a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chelyabinsk win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Arsenal Tula | Home | Away | Chelyabinsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 75% | 55% | 75% | 69% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 42% | 36% | 33% | 46% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 8% | 27% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 25% | 45% | 25% | 31% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal Tula | Home | Away | Chelyabinsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 92% | 91% | 75% | 85% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 42% | 73% | 38% | 46% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 17% | 45% | 21% | 23% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 8% | 9% | 25% | 15% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal Tula | Chelyabinsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS | 61% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal Tula | Chelyabinsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Arsenal Tula | Chelyabinsk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 83% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 50% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 17% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 17% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal Tula | Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 17% | 67% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 22 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | |
| 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Arsenal Tula have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Arsenal Tula's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●85% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelyabinsk have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.