Russia · First League · Regular Season - 17

Arsenal Tula

11º · 1.19 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 19h

–

Chelyabinsk

12º · 1.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 6d 0h

Stadion Arsenal·Tula·Russia·20,074

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Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Arsenal Tula have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 66%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Chelyabinsk have won 33% of their 30 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Arsenal Tula and 1.45 for Chelyabinsk. The models give Arsenal Tula a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chelyabinsk win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Arsenal Tula

—

Chelyabinsk

11º

Position

12º

1.19

PPG

1.13

31%

Win %

31%

1.19

Goals / game

1.31

2.06

Conceded / game

1.63

59%

BTTS %

57%

10%

Clean sheet %

23%

66%

Over 2.5 %

47%

3.7

Avg corners

5.9

4.9

Avg shots

7.5

3.5

Avg shots on target

3.4

2.3

Avg yellow cards

1.8

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

48.8%

Avg possession

50.7%

Home vs Away

Arsenal Tula

Home (8)

—

Chelyabinsk

Away (8)

2.13

PPG

1.00

63%

Win %

25%

2.00

Goals / game

1.38

1.50

Conceded / game

1.63

71%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

29%

71%

Over 2.5 %

36%

3.7

Avg corners

5.9

4.9

Avg shots

7.5

3.5

Avg shots on target

3.4

2.3

Avg yellow cards

1.8

48.8%

Avg possession

50.7%

Goals Scored

	Arsenal Tula	Home	Away	Chelyabinsk	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	66%	79%	53%	77%	75%	79%
Over 1.5 Scored	41%	50%	33%	33%	44%	21%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	21%	20%	7%	6%	7%
Failed To Score	34%	21%	47%	23%	25%	21%

Goals Conceded

	Arsenal Tula	Home	Away	Chelyabinsk	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	90%	93%	87%	77%	81%	71%
Over 1.5 Conceded	62%	50%	73%	40%	44%	36%
Over 2.5 Conceded	34%	21%	47%	20%	25%	14%
Clean Sheets	10%	7%	13%	23%	19%	29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk
Over 0.5	97%	97%
Over 1.5	83%	77%
Over 2.5	66%	47%
Over 3.5	52%	27%
Over 4.5	24%	13%
BTTS	59%	57%
BTTS & Win	24%	13%
BTTS & Draw	21%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	52%	40%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk
Win 1st Half	14%	24%
Draw 1st Half	32%	34%
Loss 1st Half	54%	41%
Scored 1st Half	36%	41%
Conceded 1st Half	68%	52%
Win 2nd Half	32%	24%
Draw 2nd Half	21%	48%
Loss 2nd Half	46%	28%
Scored 2nd Half	43%	48%
Conceded 2nd Half	68%	45%
Over 0.5 HT	79%	72%
Over 1.5 HT	43%	38%

Recent Venue Form

Arsenal Tula (H)

KAMAZ4–3

Spartak Kostroma3–2

Ska-khabarovsk2–2

Ural2–2

Rotor Volgograd2–1

Torpedo Moskva1–0

Chelyabinsk (A)

Tekstilshchik1–2

Spartak Kostroma0–1

FK Neftekhimik4–2

KAMAZ1–1

Dinamo Barnaul2–0

FC Sochi1–2

Number of Corners

8.3

Corners / Match

10 games

League Avg

9.4

83 games

11.1

Corners / Match

12 games

Match Corners	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk	League Avg
Over 6	60%	92%	77%
Over 7	50%	83%	71%
Over 8	40%	83%	63%
Over 9	30%	75%	52%
Over 10	30%	67%	40%
Over 11	20%	50%	27%
Over 12	10%	25%	16%
Over 13	10%	17%	10%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk
Corners Earned / Match	3.7	5.9
Corners Against / Match	4.6	5.2
Over 2.5 Corners For	60%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	40%	83%
Over 4.5 Corners For	40%	67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	90%	83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	70%	75%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	40%	58%

Head to Head · 3 matches

Arsenal Tula

Draws

100%

Chelyabinsk

33%

Over 1.5

1/3

33%

Over 2.5

1/3

33%

Over 3.5

1/3

33%

BTTS

1/3

22/04/26

Arsenal Tula

0–0

Chelyabinsk

19/10/25

Chelyabinsk

2–2

Arsenal Tula

15/02/25

Arsenal Tula

0–0

Chelyabinsk

First League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	16	14	1	1	+33	43
2	FC Sochi	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Ural	16	9	4	3	+16	31
4	Torpedo Moskva	16	8	5	3	+15	29
5	Spartak Kostroma	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	+1	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	16	5	8	3	+3	23
8	FC UFA	16	5	7	4	+3	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	17	6	4	7	-1	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	16	5	5	6	+5	20
11	Arsenal Tula	16	5	4	7	-14	19
12	Chelyabinsk	16	5	3	8	-5	18
13	Leningradets	16	4	5	7	-11	17
14	KAMAZ	16	3	5	8	-8	14
15	Enisey	16	3	5	8	-17	14
16	Ska-khabarovsk	16	3	4	9	-8	13
17	FK Neftekhimik	16	4	1	11	-13	13
18	Tekstilshchik	16	2	5	9	-14	11

Team Insights

Arsenal Tula

●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
●Arsenal Tula have won their last 2 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 5 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
●84% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
●89% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.