Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Neftekhimik — First League
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Shinnik Yaroslavl and FK Neftekhimik meet in the First League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Shinnik Yaroslavl have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. FK Neftekhimik have won 29% of their 24 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.14 for FK Neftekhimik. The models give Shinnik Yaroslavl a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FK Neftekhimik win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Shinnik Yaroslavl—
FK Neftekhimik7º
Position
15º
1.46
PPG
0.92
31%
Win %
31%
1.31
Goals / game
0.69
1.00
Conceded / game
1.46
37%
BTTS %
46%
47%
Clean sheet %
29%
37%
Over 2.5 %
29%
7.1
Avg corners
3.9
5.7
Avg shots
7.2
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
13.0
49.6%
Avg possession
49.4%
Home vs Away
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Home (8)
—
FK Neftekhimik
Away (6)
1.38
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
50%
1.38
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
36%
BTTS %
40%
55%
Clean sheet %
40%
36%
Over 2.5 %
20%
7.1
Avg corners
3.9
5.7
Avg shots
7.2
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.3
49.6%
Avg possession
49.4%
Goals Scored
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | FK Neftekhimik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 82% | 63% | 67% | 57% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 64% | 38% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 18% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | FK Neftekhimik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 45% | 63% | 71% | 79% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 27% | 25% | 38% | 43% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 21% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 55% | 38% | 29% | 21% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | FK Neftekhimik | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 37% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | FK Neftekhimik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 16% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl (H)W
Tekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0D
Ska-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0L
KAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1D
Ural1–1
Ural1–1W
Torpedo Moskva2–0
Torpedo Moskva2–0D
Rotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2FK Neftekhimik (A)L
Spartak Kostroma0–1
Spartak Kostroma0–1D
Chertanovo Moscow1–1
Chertanovo Moscow1–1W
Enisey2–0
Enisey2–0WRotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0L
Nizhny Novgorod1–5
Nizhny Novgorod1–5L
Volga Ulyanovsk0–2
Volga Ulyanovsk0–2Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.5
56 games
8.6
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | FK Neftekhimik | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 71% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 14% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | FK Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 43% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 14% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 14% | 43% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
6
Shinnik Yaroslavl
35%
6
Draws
35%
5
FK Neftekhimik
29%
76%
Over 1.5
13/17
41%
Over 2.5
7/17
12%
Over 3.5
2/17
53%
BTTS
9/17
14/08/26Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
0–2Shinnik Yaroslavl28/03/26Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
0–0Shinnik Yaroslavl15/10/25FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1FK Neftekhimik10/08/25FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2FK Neftekhimik29/03/25FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1FK Neftekhimik12/10/24Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
1–0Shinnik Yaroslavl24/04/24Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
1–2Shinnik Yaroslavl03/09/23FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–0FK Neftekhimik26/03/23FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–0FK Neftekhimik04/09/22Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
1–0Shinnik Yaroslavl27/06/22Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
2–2Shinnik Yaroslavl29/06/21Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
2–0Shinnik Yaroslavl07/04/21Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
1–1Shinnik Yaroslavl13/10/20FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–2FK Neftekhimik14/09/19Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
2–2Shinnik Yaroslavl29/04/17FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1FK Neftekhimik08/10/16Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Neftekhimik
1–2Shinnik Yaroslavl| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 |  Veles | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 |  Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●65% of Shinnik Yaroslavl's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
FK Neftekhimik- ●FK Neftekhimik have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of FK Neftekhimik's points have been earned away.
- ●FK Neftekhimik have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Shinnik YaroslavlWHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DHUral1–1
Ural1–1DHRotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2DAEnisey0–0
Enisey0–0–AVeles17/10
Veles17/10–HSpartak Kostroma24/10
Spartak Kostroma24/10–AChelyabinsk31/10
Chelyabinsk31/10FK NeftekhimikLHChelyabinsk2–4
Chelyabinsk2–4LHUral0–1
Ural0–1LASpartak Kostroma0–1
Spartak Kostroma0–1WAEnisey2–0
Enisey2–0LHFC UFA0–1
FC UFA0–1WARotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0–AKAMAZ17/10
KAMAZ17/10–HLeningradets24/10
Leningradets24/10–HSka-khabarovsk31/10
Ska-khabarovsk31/10Top Scorers
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽
Albek Gongapshev1 ⚽
FK NeftekhimikI. Mashukov4 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽
Islam Mashukov2 ⚽
Danila Sukhomlinov2 ⚽
E. Mukba1 ⚽
Artem Kotik1 ⚽
Cards Given
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨
FK NeftekhimikE. Mukba3 🟨
M. Sukhoruchenko3 🟨
Linar Sharifullin2 🟨
Islam Mashukov2 🟨
I. Pyatkin2 🟨
L. Sharifullin2 🟨