FC UFA vs Ural — First League
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FC UFA and Ural meet in the First League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. FC UFA have recorded 6 wins from 22 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Ural have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for FC UFA and 1.25 for Ural. The models give FC UFA a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ural win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
FC UFA—
Ural9º
Position
4º
1.38
PPG
1.92
31%
Win %
54%
1.23
Goals / game
1.62
1.08
Conceded / game
0.62
59%
BTTS %
45%
18%
Clean sheet %
45%
55%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.8
Avg corners
4.9
5.2
Avg shots
6.5
2.3
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
14.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.4%
Avg possession
53.0%
Home vs Away
FC UFA
Home (7)
—
Ural
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.86
43%
Win %
43%
1.57
Goals / game
1.43
0.71
Conceded / game
0.71
67%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
38%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.8
Avg corners
4.9
5.2
Avg shots
6.5
2.3
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
52.4%
Avg possession
53.0%
Goals Scored
| FC UFA | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 89% | 62% | 82% | 79% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 56% | 23% | 55% | 64% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 23% | 29% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 11% | 38% | 18% | 21% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| FC UFA | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 67% | 92% | 55% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 22% | 54% | 23% | 21% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 33% | 8% | 45% | 50% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC UFA | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 9% |
| BTTS | 59% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC UFA | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
FC UFA (H)D
Torpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0D
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
Veles1–1
Veles1–1W
Enisey3–1
Enisey3–1D
KAMAZ1–1
KAMAZ1–1W
Ska-khabarovsk1–0
Ska-khabarovsk1–0Ural (A)W
Spartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0D
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1L
Luki-Energiya1–2
Luki-Energiya1–2D
Arsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2D
Rotor Volgograd1–1
Rotor Volgograd1–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.5
56 games
8.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | FC UFA | Ural | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 38% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 38% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC UFA | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 25% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
5
FC UFA
26%
5
Draws
26%
9
Ural
47%
79%
Over 1.5
15/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
21%
Over 3.5
4/19
53%
BTTS
10/19
08/08/26FC UFA
Ural
3–0FC UFA12/04/26FC UFA
Ural
0–0FC UFA15/09/25Ural
FC UFA
2–3Ural11/05/25FC UFA
Ural
2–1FC UFA12/08/24Ural
FC UFA
0–2Ural05/07/22FC UFA
Ural
1–4FC UFA23/04/22FC UFA
Ural
2–1FC UFA03/10/21Ural
FC UFA
0–1Ural07/03/21FC UFA
Ural
0–0FC UFA03/03/21Ural
FC UFA
3–0Ural01/11/20Ural
FC UFA
1–2Ural05/07/20Ural
FC UFA
1–1Ural13/07/19FC UFA
Ural
3–2FC UFA28/04/19Ural
FC UFA
4–1Ural27/10/18FC UFA
Ural
1–1FC UFA19/11/17Ural
FC UFA
2–0Ural29/07/17FC UFA
Ural
1–1FC UFA21/05/17Ural
FC UFA
1–0Ural31/07/16FC UFA
Ural
2–0FC UFA| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Veles | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 |  Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
FC UFA- ●FC UFA have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●FC UFA have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●FC UFA have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC UFA have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC UFA have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC UFA failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of FC UFA's goals have been scored at home.
Ural- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ural have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC UFALAFC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1DHTorpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0LAChelyabinsk1–2
Chelyabinsk1–2DHVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2DHVeles1–1
Veles1–1WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0–HArsenal Tula17/10
Arsenal Tula17/10–HNizhny Novgorod24/10
Nizhny Novgorod24/10–ARotor Volgograd31/10
Rotor Volgograd31/10UralLHVeles1–2
Veles1–2WASpartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1WHKAMAZ2–0
KAMAZ2–0DAArsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2–HNizhny Novgorod17/10
Nizhny Novgorod17/10–AChelyabinsk24/10
Chelyabinsk24/10–AFC Sochi31/10
FC Sochi31/10Top Scorers
FC UFAM. Yakuev3 ⚽
D. Ortiz3 ⚽
Georgiy Gongadze2 ⚽
Dilan Ortíz2 ⚽
S. Isaev1 ⚽
Trialist A1 ⚽
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Martin Sekulic2 ⚽
Silvije Begić2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC UFAD. Kutin3 🟨
K. Troyanov2 🟨
I. Agapov2 🟨
Ilya Agapov2 🟨
Ilya Khanenko2 🟨
Zaur Tarba2 🟨
UralLéo Cordeiro2 🟨
M. Sekulic2 🟨
Ilya Ishkov2 🟨
Italo2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin2 🟨
Martin Sekulic2 🟨