FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma — First League
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FC UFA and Spartak Kostroma meet in the First League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. FC UFA have recorded 7 wins from 23 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Spartak Kostroma have won 50% of their 28 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for FC UFA and 1.25 for Spartak Kostroma. The models give FC UFA a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Spartak Kostroma win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
FC UFA—
Spartak Kostroma7º
Position
4º
1.50
PPG
1.93
36%
Win %
57%
1.29
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
0.93
57%
BTTS %
39%
22%
Clean sheet %
46%
52%
Over 2.5 %
32%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
5.7
Avg shots
7.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
14.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.3%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
FC UFA
Home (8)
—
Spartak Kostroma
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.86
50%
Win %
57%
1.63
Goals / game
1.29
0.63
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
38%
40%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
5.7
Avg shots
7.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
52.3%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| FC UFA | Home | Away | Spartak Kostroma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 90% | 62% | 79% | 87% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 60% | 23% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 30% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 10% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| FC UFA | Home | Away | Spartak Kostroma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 60% | 92% | 54% | 47% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 20% | 54% | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 0% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 40% | 8% | 46% | 53% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC UFA | Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 11% |
| BTTS | 57% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC UFA | Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
FC UFA (H)W
Arsenal Tula2–0
Arsenal Tula2–0D
Torpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0D
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
Veles1–1
Veles1–1W
Enisey3–1
Enisey3–1D
KAMAZ1–1
KAMAZ1–1Spartak Kostroma (A)LArsenal Tula2–3
Arsenal Tula2–3WVolga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
Ryazan2–0
Ryazan2–0W
Chelyabinsk1–0
Chelyabinsk1–0LTorpedo Moskva0–3
Torpedo Moskva0–3W
Ska-khabarovsk3–1
Ska-khabarovsk3–1Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
65 games
10.6
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | FC UFA | Spartak Kostroma | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 89% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 89% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 44% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC UFA | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 78% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
FC UFA
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Spartak Kostroma
17%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
0%
Over 2.5
0/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
17/08/26FC UFA
Spartak Kostroma
1–1FC UFA16/05/26FC UFA
Spartak Kostroma
0–1FC UFA14/02/26FC UFA
Spartak Kostroma
2–0FC UFA04/10/25Spartak Kostroma
FC UFA
0–0Spartak Kostroma05/11/23FC UFA
Spartak Kostroma
0–1FC UFA09/09/23Spartak Kostroma
FC UFA
2–0Spartak Kostroma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | +28 | 37 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 10 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 |  FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Tekstilshchik | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
FC UFA- ●FC UFA have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●FC UFA have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●FC UFA have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC UFA have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●FC UFA have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●FC UFA failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of FC UFA's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of FC UFA's points have been earned at home.
Spartak Kostroma- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FC UFAWHArsenal Tula2–0
Arsenal Tula2–0LAFC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1DHTorpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0LAChelyabinsk1–2
Chelyabinsk1–2DHVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2DHVeles1–1
Veles1–1–HNizhny Novgorod24/10
Nizhny Novgorod24/10–ARotor Volgograd31/10
Rotor Volgograd31/10–AShinnik Yaroslavl07/11
Shinnik Yaroslavl07/11Spartak KostromaWHLeningradets2–0
Leningradets2–0LAArsenal Tula2–3
Arsenal Tula2–3LHUral1–2
Ural1–2WAVolga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0WHFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0WAChelyabinsk1–0
Chelyabinsk1–0–AShinnik Yaroslavl24/10
Shinnik Yaroslavl24/10–AVeles31/10
Veles31/10–HNizhny Novgorod07/11
Nizhny Novgorod07/11Top Scorers
FC UFAM. Yakuev3 ⚽
D. Ortiz3 ⚽
Dilan Ortíz3 ⚽
Georgiy Gongadze2 ⚽
M. Ageyan1 ⚽
S. Isaev1 ⚽
Spartak KostromaA. Kalmykov11 ⚽
Amur Kalmykov4 ⚽
S. Bugriev2 ⚽
Denis Zhilmostnykh2 ⚽
M. Chikanchi1 ⚽
Nikolay Tarasov1 ⚽
Cards Given
FC UFAD. Kutin3 🟨
K. Troyanov2 🟨
I. Agapov2 🟨
Ilya Agapov2 🟨
Ilya Khanenko2 🟨
Zaur Tarba2 🟨
Spartak KostromaVladislav Kamilov6 🟨
N. Tarasov4 🟨
3 🟨
Denis Zhilmostnykh3 🟨
Kirill Malyarov3 🟨
David Karaev2 🟨