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Ural vs Arsenal Tula — First League

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Russia · First League · Regular Season - 19
Ural
Ural
6º · 1.79 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 38d 6h
vs
–
–
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
11º · 1.14 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 39d 5h
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Ural and Arsenal Tula meet in the First League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Ural have recorded 11 wins from 23 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Arsenal Tula have won 30% of their 27 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Ural and 0.92 for Arsenal Tula. The models give Ural a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Arsenal Tula win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Ural
—
Arsenal Tula
6º
Position
11º
1.79
PPG
1.14
50%
Win %
29%
1.57
Goals / game
1.07
0.71
Conceded / game
1.86
48%
BTTS %
59%
43%
Clean sheet %
11%
52%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.2
Avg corners
4.3
6.2
Avg shots
5.4
2.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
53.6%
Avg possession
50.5%

Home vs Away

Ural
Home (7)
—
Arsenal Tula
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
0.29
57%
Win %
0%
1.71
Goals / game
0.43
0.71
Conceded / game
2.43
40%
BTTS %
50%
47%
Clean sheet %
14%
53%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.2
Avg corners
4.3
6.2
Avg shots
5.4
2.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
53.6%
Avg possession
50.5%

Goals Scored

UralHomeAwayArsenal TulaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%80%88%67%77%57%
Over 1.5 Scored52%60%38%41%46%36%
Over 2.5 Scored22%27%13%19%15%21%
Failed To Score17%20%13%33%23%43%

Goals Conceded

UralHomeAwayArsenal TulaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded57%53%63%89%92%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded26%27%25%59%46%71%
Over 2.5 Conceded4%7%0%30%15%43%
Clean Sheets43%47%38%11%8%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UralArsenal Tula
Over 0.591%96%
Over 1.578%81%
Over 2.552%63%
Over 3.513%48%
Over 4.59%22%
BTTS48%59%
BTTS & Win13%22%
BTTS & Draw17%22%
BTTS & Over 2.535%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.517%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UralArsenal Tula
Win 1st Half24%12%
Draw 1st Half52%35%
Loss 1st Half24%54%
Scored 1st Half38%35%
Conceded 1st Half38%69%
Win 2nd Half57%35%
Draw 2nd Half29%19%
Loss 2nd Half14%46%
Scored 2nd Half71%42%
Conceded 2nd Half33%65%
Over 0.5 HT62%77%
Over 1.5 HT29%42%

Recent Venue Form

Ural (H)
LNizhny Novgorod1–2
LVeles1–2
WKAMAZ2–0
WTekstilshchik2–0
WFC UFA3–0
WEnisey3–0
Arsenal Tula (A)
LFC UFA0–2
LCSKA Moscow1–3
WLokomotiv2–0
LEnisey1–3
LTekstilshchik0–1
LVolga Ulyanovsk0–3

Number of Corners

8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
65 games
8.9
Corners / Match
8 games
Match CornersUralArsenal TulaLeague Avg
Over 656%63%78%
Over 744%63%72%
Over 844%50%63%
Over 944%38%49%
Over 1033%38%37%
Over 1133%25%28%
Over 1222%13%17%
Over 1311%13%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersUralArsenal Tula
Corners Earned / Match5.24.3
Corners Against / Match3.34.6
Over 2.5 Corners For89%75%
Over 3.5 Corners For56%50%
Over 4.5 Corners For56%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against56%88%
Over 3.5 Corners Against33%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against22%38%

Head to Head · 18 matches

6
Ural
33%
8
Draws
44%
4
Arsenal Tula
22%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
39%
Over 2.5
7/18
22%
Over 3.5
4/18
56%
BTTS
10/18
29/08/26
Arsenal Tula
2–2
Ural
15/03/26
Ural
2–0
Arsenal Tula
24/10/25
Arsenal Tula
1–2
Ural
24/03/25
Ural
0–0
Arsenal Tula
16/09/24
Arsenal Tula
1–0
Ural
21/05/22
Arsenal Tula
1–2
Ural
27/09/21
Ural
2–0
Arsenal Tula
04/04/21
Ural
2–0
Arsenal Tula
18/10/20
Arsenal Tula
1–0
Ural
15/07/20
Ural
1–3
Arsenal Tula
30/10/19
Ural
4–4
Arsenal Tula
22/09/19
Arsenal Tula
1–1
Ural
13/04/19
Arsenal Tula
0–0
Ural
29/09/18
Ural
2–1
Arsenal Tula
08/12/17
Ural
1–1
Arsenal Tula
14/08/17
Arsenal Tula
2–2
Ural
10/03/17
Arsenal Tula
2–0
Ural
28/08/16
Ural
1–1
Arsenal Tula
First League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod141211+2837
2FC Sochi14923+929
3Torpedo Moskva14833+1527
4Spartak Kostroma14833+727
5Veles15834+227
6Ural14743+1225
7FC UFA14563+421
8Shinnik Yaroslavl14482+420
9Rotor Volgograd14536+518
10Volga Ulyanovsk15537-218
11Arsenal Tula14446-1116
12Chelyabinsk14437-515
13Enisey14356-1114
14KAMAZ14347-713
15Leningradets14347-1413
16FK Neftekhimik144010-1112
17Tekstilshchik14248-1210
18Ska-khabarovsk14149-137

Team Insights

Ural
  • ●Ural have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Ural have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ural have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Arsenal Tula
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●80% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●65% of Arsenal Tula's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●87% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.
UralUral
LHNizhny Novgorod1º1–2
LHVeles5º1–2
WASpartak Kostroma4º2–1
WAFK Neftekhimik16º1–0
DAShinnik Yaroslavl8º1–1
LALuki-Energiya1–2
WHKAMAZ14º2–0
DAArsenal Tula11º2–2
WHTekstilshchik17º2–0
DARotor Volgograd9º1–1
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
LAFC UFA7º0–2
WHSpartak Kostroma4º3–2
LACSKA Moscow1–3
WALokomotiv2–0
LAEnisey13º1–3
DHSka-khabarovsk18º2–2
LATekstilshchik0–1
LAVolga Ulyanovsk10º0–3
DHUral6º2–2
LAVeles5º0–2

Season Schedule

Ural
LHNizhny Novgorod1–2
LHVeles1–2
WASpartak Kostroma2–1
WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
WHKAMAZ2–0
–AChelyabinsk24/10
–AFC Sochi31/10
–HVolga Ulyanovsk07/11
Arsenal Tula
LAFC UFA0–2
WHSpartak Kostroma3–2
LAEnisey1–3
DHSka-khabarovsk2–2
LAVolga Ulyanovsk0–3
DHUral2–2
–HKAMAZ24/10
–ANizhny Novgorod31/10
–HChelyabinsk07/11

Top Scorers

Ural
M. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
Martin Sekulic3 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Silvije Begić2 ⚽
Arsenal Tula
T. Melekestsev3 ⚽
Rashid Magomedov2 ⚽
D. Penchikov2 ⚽
K. Bogdanets2 ⚽
E. Reyes2 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽

Cards Given

Ural
Silvije Begić3 🟨
Léo Cordeiro2 🟨
Evgeniy Kharin2 🟨
Ilya Ishkov2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin2 🟨
Italo2 🟨
Arsenal Tula
Nikita Karmaev4 🟨
Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨
Milos Brnovic3 🟨
D. Plotnikov3 🟨
D. Shamkin2 🟨
Artem Biryukov2 🟨