Rotor Volgograd vs Shinnik Yaroslavl — First League
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Volgograd Arena·Volgograd·Russia·45,568
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Rotor Volgograd and Shinnik Yaroslavl meet in the First League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Rotor Volgograd have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Rotor Volgograd and 1.02 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The models give Rotor Volgograd a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Shinnik Yaroslavl win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Rotor Volgograd—
Shinnik Yaroslavl10º
Position
7º
1.25
PPG
1.44
31%
Win %
31%
1.44
Goals / game
1.25
1.13
Conceded / game
1.06
46%
BTTS %
41%
33%
Clean sheet %
41%
46%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.9
Avg corners
6.8
7.8
Avg shots
5.8
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
57.6%
Avg possession
46.7%
Home vs Away
Rotor Volgograd
Home (8)
—
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.29
38%
Win %
29%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
1.14
36%
BTTS %
40%
43%
Clean sheet %
30%
43%
Over 2.5 %
30%
4.9
Avg corners
6.8
7.8
Avg shots
5.8
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
57.6%
Avg possession
46.7%
Goals Scored
| Rotor Volgograd | Home | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 80% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 36% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 21% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 20% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Rotor Volgograd | Home | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 57% | 80% | 59% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 21% | 60% | 27% | 25% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 43% | 20% | 41% | 50% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rotor Volgograd | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 46% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 4% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rotor Volgograd | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Rotor Volgograd (H)D
FC UFA0–0
FC UFA0–0L
FC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1D
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2W
Enisey4–0
Enisey4–0L
FK Neftekhimik0–1
FK Neftekhimik0–1D
Ural1–1
Ural1–1Shinnik Yaroslavl (A)L
Chelyabinsk0–2
Chelyabinsk0–2D
Veles1–1
Veles1–1L
Nizhny Novgorod0–4
Nizhny Novgorod0–4DEnisey0–0
Enisey0–0WVolga Ulyanovsk3–1
Volga Ulyanovsk3–1WFK Neftekhimik2–0
FK Neftekhimik2–0Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
83 games
10.7
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Rotor Volgograd | Shinnik Yaroslavl | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 82% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 82% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 64% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 55% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 45% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 36% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 36% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rotor Volgograd | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 6.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 27% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
3
Rotor Volgograd
23%
6
Draws
46%
4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
31%
77%
Over 1.5
10/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
31%
Over 3.5
4/13
62%
BTTS
8/13
05/09/26Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2Rotor Volgograd09/11/25Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
3–0Shinnik Yaroslavl28/09/25Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–0Rotor Volgograd29/01/25Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1Rotor Volgograd01/12/24Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
1–1Shinnik Yaroslavl14/07/24Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1Rotor Volgograd05/10/22Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
1–1Shinnik Yaroslavl15/03/20Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1Rotor Volgograd18/08/19Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
2–3Shinnik Yaroslavl24/11/18Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
1–3Shinnik Yaroslavl12/08/18Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–0Rotor Volgograd04/11/17Shinnik Yaroslavl
Rotor Volgograd
1–1Shinnik Yaroslavl22/07/17Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–1Rotor Volgograd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | +33 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 31 |
| 4 |  Torpedo Moskva | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 29 |
| 5 |  Spartak Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 | Veles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 28 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 | FC UFA | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Arsenal Tula | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 |  KAMAZ | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Enisey | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 13 |
| 17 | FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 11 |
Team Insights
Rotor Volgograd- ●Rotor Volgograd have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Rotor Volgograd have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Rotor Volgograd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Rotor Volgograd have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Rotor Volgograd's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Rotor Volgograd have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Shinnik Yaroslavl's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Rotor VolgogradDHFC UFA0–0
FC UFA0–0DATorpedo Moskva1–1
Torpedo Moskva1–1LHFC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1DHVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2WATekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0WHEnisey4–0
Enisey4–0–HLeningradets07/11
Leningradets07/11–ASka-khabarovsk21/11
Ska-khabarovsk21/11–AFK Neftekhimik25/11
FK Neftekhimik25/11Shinnik YaroslavlLAChelyabinsk0–2
Chelyabinsk0–2WHSpartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1DAVeles1–1
Veles1–1WHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1–HFC UFA07/11
FC UFA07/11–AFC Sochi13/11
FC Sochi13/11–HFK Neftekhimik21/11
FK Neftekhimik21/11Top Scorers
Rotor Volgograd9 ⚽
A. Eldarushev4 ⚽
Artem Simonyan2 ⚽
Abu-Said Eldarushev2 ⚽
A. Simonyan2 ⚽
Aleksandr Khubulov2 ⚽
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
Dmitri Samoilov2 ⚽
Albek Gongapshev2 ⚽
Eduard Valiakhmetov2 ⚽
Cards Given
Rotor VolgogradVladis-Emmerson Illoy-Ayyet5 🟨
N. Poyarkov3 🟨
A. Khubulov3 🟨
Mikhail Umnikov3 🟨
Andrey Khityaev2 🟨
A. Troshechkin2 🟨
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Dmitri Samoilov3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin3 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨