MatchPulse

Spartak Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula — First League

← Back
Russia · First League · Regular Season - 22
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma
6º · 1.65 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 117d 23h
vs
–
–
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
12º · 1.12 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 119d 3h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Start 14-Day Free TrialUpgrade To Pro →

Spartak Kostroma and Arsenal Tula meet in the First League 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Spartak Kostroma have recorded 14 wins from 32 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Arsenal Tula have won 30% of their 30 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 10%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Spartak Kostroma and 1.04 for Arsenal Tula. The models give Spartak Kostroma a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Arsenal Tula win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Spartak Kostroma
—
Arsenal Tula
6º
Position
12º
1.65
PPG
1.12
47%
Win %
29%
1.29
Goals / game
1.18
1.18
Conceded / game
2.06
44%
BTTS %
60%
41%
Clean sheet %
10%
38%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.5
Avg corners
3.5
8.2
Avg shots
4.4
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
47.8%
Avg possession
49.0%

Home vs Away

Spartak Kostroma
Home (8)
—
Arsenal Tula
Away (8)
1.75
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.38
Goals / game
0.38
1.25
Conceded / game
2.63
41%
BTTS %
47%
47%
Clean sheet %
13%
35%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.5
Avg corners
3.5
8.2
Avg shots
4.4
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
47.8%
Avg possession
49.0%

Goals Scored

Spartak KostromaHomeAwayArsenal TulaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored78%82%73%67%80%53%
Over 1.5 Scored38%41%33%40%47%33%
Over 2.5 Scored13%12%13%20%20%20%
Failed To Score22%18%27%33%20%47%

Goals Conceded

Spartak KostromaHomeAwayArsenal TulaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded59%53%67%90%93%87%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%24%40%63%53%73%
Over 2.5 Conceded16%12%20%33%20%47%
Clean Sheets41%47%33%10%7%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
Over 0.594%97%
Over 1.572%83%
Over 2.538%67%
Over 3.528%50%
Over 4.513%23%
BTTS44%60%
BTTS & Win9%23%
BTTS & Draw19%20%
BTTS & Over 2.528%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
Win 1st Half38%14%
Draw 1st Half41%34%
Loss 1st Half21%52%
Scored 1st Half59%34%
Conceded 1st Half34%66%
Win 2nd Half31%31%
Draw 2nd Half45%21%
Loss 2nd Half24%48%
Scored 2nd Half45%45%
Conceded 2nd Half45%69%
Over 0.5 HT72%76%
Over 1.5 HT38%41%

Recent Venue Form

Spartak Kostroma (H)
LNizhny Novgorod0–4
LVolna Nizhegorodskaya2–3
WLeningradets2–0
WChelyabinsk1–0
LUral1–2
WFK Neftekhimik1–0
Arsenal Tula (A)
LNizhny Novgorod0–4
LFC UFA0–2
LCSKA Moscow1–3
WLokomotiv2–0
LEnisey1–3
LTekstilshchik0–1

Number of Corners

10.0
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.4
92 games
7.9
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersSpartak KostromaArsenal TulaLeague Avg
Over 6100%55%77%
Over 785%45%72%
Over 877%36%64%
Over 954%27%51%
Over 1038%27%39%
Over 1123%18%26%
Over 128%9%16%
Over 138%9%10%

Team Corners

Team CornersSpartak KostromaArsenal Tula
Corners Earned / Match4.53.5
Corners Against / Match5.54.5
Over 2.5 Corners For77%55%
Over 3.5 Corners For54%36%
Over 4.5 Corners For38%36%
Over 2.5 Corners Against92%91%
Over 3.5 Corners Against77%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against77%36%

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Spartak Kostroma
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Arsenal Tula
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
09/10/26
Arsenal Tula
3–2
Spartak Kostroma
21/06/26
Arsenal Tula
1–1
Spartak Kostroma
25/04/26
Spartak Kostroma
1–1
Arsenal Tula
13/09/25
Arsenal Tula
1–2
Spartak Kostroma
First League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

Team Insights

Spartak Kostroma
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have won 4 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Spartak Kostroma have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Arsenal Tula
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Arsenal Tula have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●85% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●89% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
LHNizhny Novgorod1º0–4
LHVolna Nizhegorodskaya2–3
DAVeles5º1–1
LAShinnik Yaroslavl7º1–2
WHLeningradets13º2–0
WHChelyabinsk1–0
LAArsenal Tula12º2–3
LHUral2º1–2
WAVolga Ulyanovsk9º1–0
WHFK Neftekhimik17º1–0
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
LHChelyabinsk11º1–2
LANizhny Novgorod1º0–4
WHKAMAZ16º4–3
LAFC UFA8º0–2
WHSpartak Kostroma6º3–2
LACSKA Moscow1–3
WALokomotiv2–0
LAEnisey14º1–3
DHSka-khabarovsk15º2–2
LATekstilshchik0–1

Season Schedule

Spartak Kostroma
LHNizhny Novgorod0–4
DAVeles1–1
LAShinnik Yaroslavl1–2
WHLeningradets2–0
LAArsenal Tula2–3
LHUral1–2
–AFC UFA15/11
–AKAMAZ21/11
–HChelyabinsk28/11
Arsenal Tula
LHChelyabinsk1–2
LANizhny Novgorod0–4
WHKAMAZ4–3
LAFC UFA0–2
WHSpartak Kostroma3–2
LAEnisey1–3
–ATekstilshchik21/11
–AUral25/11
–HFC Sochi28/11

Top Scorers

Spartak Kostroma
A. Kalmykov11 ⚽
Amur Kalmykov5 ⚽
S. Bugriev2 ⚽
Denis Zhilmostnykh2 ⚽
Dimitri Ghurtskaia1 ⚽
David Karaev1 ⚽
Arsenal Tula
Timur Melekestsev3 ⚽
T. Melekestsev3 ⚽
Rashid Magomedov3 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽
E. Reyes2 ⚽
K. Bogdanets2 ⚽

Cards Given

Spartak Kostroma
Vladislav Kamilov7 🟨
5 🟨
N. Tarasov4 🟨
Dmitriy Kaptilovich4 🟨
Marko Bugarin4 🟨
Denis Zhilmostnykh4 🟨
Arsenal Tula
Nikita Karmaev4 🟨
Oleg Isaenko3 🟨
Daniil Plotnikov3 🟨
D. Plotnikov3 🟨
Milos Brnovic3 🟨
Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨