Næsby vs Holbæk B&I — 3. Division
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Næsby and Holbæk B&I meet in the 3. Division 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Næsby have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.53 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Holbæk B&I have won 63% of their 16 matches, with 2.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Næsby and 1.73 for Holbæk B&I. The models give Næsby a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Holbæk B&I win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Næsby | Home | Away | Holbæk B&I | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 80% | 78% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 70% | 56% | 75% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 30% | 44% | 44% | 57% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Næsby | Home | Away | Holbæk B&I | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 70% | 67% | 88% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 40% | 33% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 30% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Næsby | Holbæk B&I | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 25% |
| BTTS | 53% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 81% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Næsby | Holbæk B&I | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 92% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Næsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Næsby have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Næsby have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Næsby have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Holbæk B&I have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Holbæk B&I have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Holbæk B&I have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Holbæk B&I have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.