Næsby vs ASA Aarhus — 3. Division
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ALPI Arena Næsby·Odense·Denmark·4,500
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Næsby and ASA Aarhus meet in the 3. Division 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Næsby have recorded 11 wins from 22 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. ASA Aarhus have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Næsby and 1.16 for ASA Aarhus. The models give Næsby a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an ASA Aarhus win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Næsby—
ASA Aarhus5º
Position
6º
1.55
PPG
1.45
45%
Win %
45%
1.82
Goals / game
1.36
1.45
Conceded / game
1.45
50%
BTTS %
54%
32%
Clean sheet %
31%
68%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Næsby
Home (5)
—
ASA Aarhus
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
0.50
60%
Win %
17%
2.20
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
2.17
55%
BTTS %
57%
36%
Clean sheet %
29%
64%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Næsby | Home | Away | ASA Aarhus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 82% | 73% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 73% | 55% | 23% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 36% | 36% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 18% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Næsby | Home | Away | ASA Aarhus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 64% | 73% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 17% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 18% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 36% | 27% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Næsby | ASA Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Næsby | ASA Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Næsby (H)W
Holstebro4–0
Holstebro4–0D
FC Helsingor1–1
FC Helsingor1–1L
AC Horsens2–3
AC Horsens2–3W
Hørsholm-Usserød4–3
Hørsholm-Usserød4–3D
Brønshøj0–0
Brønshøj0–0W
Sundby2–1
Sundby2–1ASA Aarhus (A)LFC Helsingor1–2
FC Helsingor1–2L
Holbæk B&I1–2
Holbæk B&I1–2LBrønshøj1–5
Brønshøj1–5LSundby0–1
Sundby0–1L
Frem1–3
Frem1–3W
Ishøj1–0
Ishøj1–0Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Næsby
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
ASA Aarhus
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
13/09/26Næsby
ASA Aarhus
1–0Næsby| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 |  Vanløse | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Næsby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 | Frem | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Ringsted | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Næsby- ●Næsby have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Næsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Næsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Næsby have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Næsby's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Næsby have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
ASA Aarhus- ●ASA Aarhus have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of ASA Aarhus's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of ASA Aarhus's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of ASA Aarhus's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
NæsbyLAFrem0–2
Frem0–2WHHolstebro4–0
Holstebro4–0WARingsted2–1
Ringsted2–1DHFC Helsingor1–1
FC Helsingor1–1LAASA Aarhus0–1
ASA Aarhus0–1WHHørsholm-Usserød4–3
Hørsholm-Usserød4–3–HVanløse17/10
Vanløse17/10–HHolbæk B&I24/10
Holbæk B&I24/10–ABrønshøj31/10
Brønshøj31/10ASA AarhusLAFC Helsingor1–2
FC Helsingor1–2LAHolbæk B&I1–2
Holbæk B&I1–2WHHørsholm-Usserød2–1
Hørsholm-Usserød2–1LABrønshøj1–5
Brønshøj1–5WHNæsby1–0
Næsby1–0LASundby0–1
Sundby0–1–HSundby17/10
Sundby17/10–AVanløse24/10
Vanløse24/10–HFrem31/10
Frem31/10Top Scorers
Næsby16 ⚽
M. Schou Jorgensen9 ⚽
M. Jorgensen3 ⚽
S. Vollerup3 ⚽
K. Host2 ⚽
A. Kjaergaard2 ⚽
ASA Aarhus7 ⚽
A. Lauridsen3 ⚽
M. Nicolaisen3 ⚽
W. Saleh3 ⚽
J. Dahl2 ⚽
Cards Given
NæsbyR. Larsen2 🟨
A. Kjaergaard1 🟨
A. Molberg1 🟨
ASA Aarhus1 🟨