Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Football League - Lowland League
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Cowdenbeath and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Cowdenbeath have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won 53% of their 17 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Cowdenbeath and 1.68 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic. The models give Cowdenbeath a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Cowdenbeath—
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic24º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.44
Goals / game
2.56
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
59%
13%
Clean sheet %
29%
63%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cowdenbeath
Home (5)
—
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
2.40
60%
Win %
80%
1.80
Goals / game
2.20
1.20
Conceded / game
0.60
60%
BTTS %
44%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
70%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cowdenbeath | Home | Away | Bonnyrigg Rose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 80% | 50% | 88% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 30% | 0% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 20% | 50% | 12% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Cowdenbeath | Home | Away | Bonnyrigg Rose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 80% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 60% | 67% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 50% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cowdenbeath | Bonnyrigg Rose | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS | 56% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cowdenbeath | Bonnyrigg Rose | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 76% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Cowdenbeath (H)L
Celtic II2–3
Celtic II2–3W
Berwick Rangers4–0
Berwick Rangers4–0L
Clyde1–3
Clyde1–3W
Lochee United3–1
Lochee United3–1W
East Stirlingshire2–0
East Stirlingshire2–0L
Kilmarnock II1–2
Kilmarnock II1–2Bonnyrigg Rose (A)D
Spartans1–1
Spartans1–1L
Clachnacuddin0–2
Clachnacuddin0–2W
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1L
Civil Service Strollers0–2
Civil Service Strollers0–2L
East Kilbride1–3
East Kilbride1–3WBerwick Rangers2–0
Berwick Rangers2–0Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Cowdenbeath
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Bonnyrigg Rose
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
13/12/25Cowdenbeath
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3–2Cowdenbeath02/08/25Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Cowdenbeath
2–1Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic14/05/22Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Cowdenbeath
0–1Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic07/05/22Cowdenbeath
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3–0Cowdenbeath| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Tranent Juniors | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Broxburn Athletic | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +23 | 22 |
| 7 |  Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 8 |  Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 9 |  Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Clydebank | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 20 |
| 11 |  Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 12 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 13 |  Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Celtic II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 15 |  Cumnock Juniors | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 16 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 17 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 |  Bo'ness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 |  Musselburgh Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 26 |  Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 9 |
| 27 |  Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 28 | Berwick Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 29 |  Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 30 |  Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -28 | 4 |
| 31 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 32 |  Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 3 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Cowdenbeath- ●Cowdenbeath have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Cowdenbeath's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Cowdenbeath's points have been earned at home.
Bonnyrigg Rose- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
CowdenbeathWHLochee United3–1
Lochee United3–1WHEast Stirlingshire2–0
East Stirlingshire2–0LAHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2LALinlithgow Rose2–3
Linlithgow Rose2–3WHStirling University4–2
Stirling University4–2LHBroxburn Athletic0–2
Broxburn Athletic0–2–HBonnyrigg Rose Athletic17/10
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic17/10–HTranent Juniors27/10
Tranent Juniors27/10–AMusselburgh Athletic31/10
Musselburgh Athletic31/10Bonnyrigg RoseWHStirling University6–1
Stirling University6–1WAGala Fairydean Rovers2–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1LACivil Service Strollers0–2
Civil Service Strollers0–2LHHill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2WABerwick Rangers2–0
Berwick Rangers2–0WHEast Stirlingshire4–1
East Stirlingshire4–1–ACowdenbeath17/10
Cowdenbeath17/10–HBo'ness United27/10
Bo'ness United27/10–ALochee United31/10
Lochee United31/10Top Scorers
CowdenbeathR. Walker4 ⚽
M. Williamson2 ⚽
D. Mauchin2 ⚽
B. Mwangi2 ⚽
P. McLean1 ⚽
S. Cameron1 ⚽
Bonnyrigg RoseL. Devine5 ⚽
J. Smith5 ⚽
T. Hogarth3 ⚽
R. Bryce3 ⚽
L. Currie2 ⚽
K. Young2 ⚽
Cards Given
CowdenbeathP. McLean1 🟨
Bonnyrigg Rose