Brechin vs East Stirlingshire — Football League - Lowland League
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Brechin and East Stirlingshire meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Brechin have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. East Stirlingshire have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Brechin and 1.38 for East Stirlingshire. The models give Brechin a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an East Stirlingshire win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Brechin—
East Stirlingshire8º
Position
21º
2.44
PPG
1.00
78%
Win %
30%
2.22
Goals / game
1.40
1.11
Conceded / game
2.10
65%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
17%
71%
Over 2.5 %
67%
9.0
Avg corners
0.0
8.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
12.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Brechin
Home (4)
—
East Stirlingshire
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
1.20
75%
Win %
40%
2.50
Goals / game
1.20
1.25
Conceded / game
1.80
67%
BTTS %
43%
11%
Clean sheet %
14%
67%
Over 2.5 %
57%
9.0
Avg corners
0.0
8.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Brechin | Home | Away | East Stirlingshire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 78% | 88% | 67% | 80% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 56% | 50% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 33% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 22% | 13% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Brechin | Home | Away | East Stirlingshire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 89% | 75% | 83% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 44% | 50% | 75% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 11% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 11% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brechin | East Stirlingshire | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 25% |
| BTTS | 65% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brechin | East Stirlingshire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Brechin (H)D
Buckie Thistle2–2
Buckie Thistle2–2W
Dunipace3–0
Dunipace3–0L
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1W
Musselburgh Athletic3–1
Musselburgh Athletic3–1W
Berwick Rangers4–3
Berwick Rangers4–3L
Stenhousemuir1–2
Stenhousemuir1–2East Stirlingshire (A)L
Bonnyton Thistle0–2
Bonnyton Thistle0–2L
Bo'ness United0–2
Bo'ness United0–2L
Cowdenbeath0–2
Cowdenbeath0–2WDunipace3–0
Dunipace3–0L
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1–4
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1–4WHill Of Beath Hawthorn2–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brechin | East Stirlingshire |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Brechin
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
East Stirlingshire
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
29/07/26Brechin
East Stirlingshire
3–3Brechin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Tranent Juniors | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Broxburn Athletic | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +23 | 22 |
| 7 |  Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 8 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 9 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Clydebank | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 20 |
| 11 |  Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 12 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 13 |  Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Celtic II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 15 |  Cumnock Juniors | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 16 |  Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 17 |  Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Bo'ness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Musselburgh Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 26 |  Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 9 |
| 27 |  Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 28 | Berwick Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 29 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 30 |  Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -28 | 4 |
| 31 |  Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 32 |  Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 3 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Brechin- ●Brechin have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Brechin have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Brechin have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brechin have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brechin have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
East Stirlingshire- ●East Stirlingshire have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●East Stirlingshire have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●East Stirlingshire have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●East Stirlingshire have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●East Stirlingshire have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●East Stirlingshire failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●East Stirlingshire failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●60% of East Stirlingshire's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
BrechinWHDunipace3–0
Dunipace3–0LHHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1WAStirling University1–0
Stirling University1–0WALochee United2–1
Lochee United2–1WHMusselburgh Athletic3–1
Musselburgh Athletic3–1WACivil Service Strollers2–0
Civil Service Strollers2–0–ABo'ness United17/10
Bo'ness United17/10–HEast Stirlingshire27/10
East Stirlingshire27/10–AGala Fairydean Rovers31/10
Gala Fairydean Rovers31/10East StirlingshireLHBroxburn Athletic1–2
Broxburn Athletic1–2LABo'ness United0–2
Bo'ness United0–2LACowdenbeath0–2
Cowdenbeath0–2LHLinlithgow Rose2–4
Linlithgow Rose2–4WADunipace3–0
Dunipace3–0LHTranent Juniors0–3
Tranent Juniors0–3–ACivil Service Strollers17/10
Civil Service Strollers17/10–ABrechin27/10
Brechin27/10–ABerwick Rangers31/10
Berwick Rangers31/10Top Scorers
BrechinM. Taylor5 ⚽
D. Hilson4 ⚽
D. Watson3 ⚽
F. Macleod3 ⚽
B. McKay2 ⚽
L. Martin2 ⚽
East StirlingshireA. Walker2 ⚽
B. Lamont2 ⚽
C. Ogilvie2 ⚽
K. Wilson2 ⚽
J. M. Weir1 ⚽
S. O'Neill1 ⚽
Cards Given
BrechinB. McKay1 🟨
Brad McKay1 🟨
C. Kirk1 🟨
D. Hilson1 🟨
L. Clark1 🟨
L. Martin1 🟨
East Stirlingshire