Renfrew vs Troon FC — Football League - Lowland League
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Renfrew and Troon FC meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Renfrew have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 92%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Troon FC have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Renfrew and 2.30 for Troon FC. The models give Renfrew a 38% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Troon FC win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 81% and BTTS at 79%.
Season Statistics
Renfrew—
Troon FC23º
Position
19º
0.91
PPG
1.09
27%
Win %
36%
1.82
Goals / game
1.82
2.73
Conceded / game
2.09
83%
BTTS %
67%
8%
Clean sheet %
8%
92%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Renfrew
Home (6)
—
Troon FC
Away (6)
0.50
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.67
3.50
Conceded / game
2.17
86%
BTTS %
57%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Renfrew | Home | Away | Troon FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 80% | 75% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 57% | 80% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 43% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Renfrew | Home | Away | Troon FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 86% | 100% | 92% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 86% | 60% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 71% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Renfrew | Troon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 92% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS | 83% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 83% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Renfrew | Troon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 83% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 8% | 8% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 92% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Renfrew (H)W
Broxburn Athletic3–2
Broxburn Athletic3–2W
Beith3–0
Beith3–0L
Clydebank1–5
Clydebank1–5L
Caledonian Braves1–3
Caledonian Braves1–3L
Celtic II3–5
Celtic II3–5L
Pollok1–4
Pollok1–4Troon FC (A)W
Deveronvale3–2
Deveronvale3–2L
Cumnock Juniors0–4
Cumnock Juniors0–4W
Newton Stewart5–1
Newton Stewart5–1WBeith3–1
Beith3–1LClydebank2–3
Clydebank2–3L
Johnstone Burgh0–2
Johnstone Burgh0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Renfrew
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Troon FC
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
19/08/26Renfrew
Troon FC
2–0Renfrew| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Tranent Juniors | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 | Broxburn Athletic | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +23 | 22 |
| 7 |  Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 8 |  Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 9 |  Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 | Clydebank | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 20 |
| 11 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 13 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Celtic II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 15 | Cumnock Juniors | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 16 |  Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 17 |  Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 |  Bo'ness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 |  Musselburgh Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 26 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 9 |
| 27 |  Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 28 |  Berwick Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 29 |  Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 30 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -28 | 4 |
| 31 |  Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 32 |  Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 3 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Renfrew- ●Renfrew have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Renfrew have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Renfrew have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Renfrew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Renfrew have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Renfrew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Renfrew have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Renfrew have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Renfrew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Renfrew's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●70% of Renfrew's points have been earned away.
- ●Renfrew have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Troon FC- ●Troon FC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Troon FC have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Troon FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Troon FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Troon FC have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Troon FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Troon FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Troon FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Troon FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Troon FC have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Troon FC have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RenfrewWACumnock Juniors2–1
Cumnock Juniors2–1LA Johnstone Burgh2–3
Johnstone Burgh2–3WHBeith3–0
Beith3–0WAPollok3–1
Pollok3–1LHClydebank1–5
Clydebank1–5LHCaledonian Braves1–3
Caledonian Braves1–3–HTroon FC28/10
Troon FC28/10–HCumbernauld Colts31/10
Cumbernauld Colts31/10–AAlbion Rovers07/11
Albion Rovers07/11Troon FCLHKilwinning Rangers2–4
Kilwinning Rangers2–4LACumnock Juniors0–4
Cumnock Juniors0–4LH Johnstone Burgh1–2
Johnstone Burgh1–2WANewton Stewart5–1
Newton Stewart5–1LHCumbernauld Colts1–3
Cumbernauld Colts1–3WABeith3–1
Beith3–1–AAlbion Rovers17/10
Albion Rovers17/10–ARenfrew28/10
Renfrew28/10–HLargs Thistle31/10
Largs Thistle31/10Top Scorers
RenfrewA. Cook4 ⚽
S. Fyfe4 ⚽
J. Moore2 ⚽
J. Winton1 ⚽
K. Healy1 ⚽
L. Punton1 ⚽
Troon FCC. Veitch4 ⚽
K. Gilroy2 ⚽
L. Dunlop2 ⚽
C. Gow1 ⚽
D. Viviani1 ⚽
D. Fulton1 ⚽
Cards Given
Renfrew1 🟨
Troon FC