Musselburgh Athletic vs Cowdenbeath — Football League - Lowland League
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Musselburgh Athletic and Cowdenbeath meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Musselburgh Athletic have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Cowdenbeath have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Musselburgh Athletic and 1.49 for Cowdenbeath. The models give Musselburgh Athletic a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cowdenbeath win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Musselburgh Athletic—
Cowdenbeath25º
Position
24º
0.90
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.44
1.50
Conceded / game
1.67
57%
BTTS %
53%
14%
Clean sheet %
13%
64%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Musselburgh Athletic
Home (5)
—
Cowdenbeath
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
0.00
20%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.60
Conceded / game
2.25
50%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Musselburgh Athletic | Home | Away | Cowdenbeath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 63% | 67% | 67% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 13% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 38% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Musselburgh Athletic | Home | Away | Cowdenbeath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 83% | 87% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 63% | 50% | 60% | 56% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Musselburgh Athletic | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Musselburgh Athletic | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Musselburgh Athletic (H)W
Lossiemouth2–1
Lossiemouth2–1D
Tranent Juniors1–1
Tranent Juniors1–1W
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–0
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–0D
Bo'ness United2–2
Bo'ness United2–2L
Linlithgow Rose0–2
Linlithgow Rose0–2L
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0–3
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0–3Cowdenbeath (A)L
Hamilton Academical0–1
Hamilton Academical0–1L
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2LLinlithgow Rose2–3
Linlithgow Rose2–3L
Edinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3L
Civil Service Strollers2–3
Civil Service Strollers2–3LTranent Juniors0–1
Tranent Juniors0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tranent Juniors | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Broxburn Athletic | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +23 | 22 |
| 7 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 8 |  Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 9 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Clydebank | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 20 |
| 11 |  Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 12 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 13 |  Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Celtic II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 15 |  Cumnock Juniors | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 16 |  Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 17 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Bo'ness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Musselburgh Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 26 |  Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 9 |
| 27 |  Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 28 |  Berwick Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 29 |  Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 30 |  Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -28 | 4 |
| 31 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 32 |  Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 3 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Musselburgh Athletic- ●Musselburgh Athletic have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Musselburgh Athletic have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Musselburgh Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Musselburgh Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Cowdenbeath- ●Cowdenbeath have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Cowdenbeath's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Cowdenbeath's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Musselburgh AthleticDHTranent Juniors1–1
Tranent Juniors1–1DABerwick Rangers0–0
Berwick Rangers0–0LAHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1WHGala Fairydean Rovers2–0
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–0LABrechin1–3
Brechin1–3DHBo'ness United2–2
Bo'ness United2–2–ABroxburn Athletic17/10
Broxburn Athletic17/10–ALinlithgow Rose27/10
Linlithgow Rose27/10–HCowdenbeath31/10
Cowdenbeath31/10CowdenbeathWHLochee United3–1
Lochee United3–1WHEast Stirlingshire2–0
East Stirlingshire2–0LAHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2LALinlithgow Rose2–3
Linlithgow Rose2–3WHStirling University4–2
Stirling University4–2LHBroxburn Athletic0–2
Broxburn Athletic0–2–HBonnyrigg Rose Athletic17/10
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic17/10–HTranent Juniors27/10
Tranent Juniors27/10–AMusselburgh Athletic31/10
Musselburgh Athletic31/10Top Scorers
Musselburgh AthleticN. Evans3 ⚽
L. Buchanan2 ⚽
C. Stevenson1 ⚽
B. Wilson1 ⚽
O. Hastie1 ⚽
R. Porteous1 ⚽
CowdenbeathR. Walker3 ⚽
D. Mauchin2 ⚽
B. Mwangi2 ⚽
M. Williamson2 ⚽
S. McDowell1 ⚽
N. Wedderburn1 ⚽
Cards Given
Musselburgh AthleticJamie Todd1 🟨
Cowdenbeath