Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Football League - Lowland League
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Brechin and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 6 February 2027. Brechin have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won 56% of their 16 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Brechin and 1.65 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic. The models give Brechin a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Brechin—
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic8º
Position
12º
2.44
PPG
2.00
78%
Win %
67%
2.22
Goals / game
2.56
1.11
Conceded / game
1.00
65%
BTTS %
56%
18%
Clean sheet %
31%
71%
Over 2.5 %
69%
9.0
Avg corners
0.0
8.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
12.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Brechin
Home (4)
—
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
2.40
75%
Win %
80%
2.50
Goals / game
2.20
1.25
Conceded / game
0.60
67%
BTTS %
38%
11%
Clean sheet %
38%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
9.0
Avg corners
0.0
8.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Brechin | Home | Away | Bonnyrigg Rose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 78% | 88% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 56% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 33% | 13% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 22% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Brechin | Home | Away | Bonnyrigg Rose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 89% | 75% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 11% | 50% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 11% | 25% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brechin | Bonnyrigg Rose | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 19% |
| BTTS | 65% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brechin | Bonnyrigg Rose | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 81% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Brechin (H)D
Buckie Thistle2–2
Buckie Thistle2–2W
Dunipace3–0
Dunipace3–0L
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1W
Musselburgh Athletic3–1
Musselburgh Athletic3–1W
Berwick Rangers4–3
Berwick Rangers4–3L
Stenhousemuir1–2
Stenhousemuir1–2Bonnyrigg Rose (A)L
Clachnacuddin0–2
Clachnacuddin0–2W
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1L
Civil Service Strollers0–2
Civil Service Strollers0–2L
East Kilbride1–3
East Kilbride1–3WBerwick Rangers2–0
Berwick Rangers2–0W
Bo'ness United4–0
Bo'ness United4–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brechin | Bonnyrigg Rose |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Brechin
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Bonnyrigg Rose
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
01/08/26Brechin
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1–2Brechin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Tranent Juniors | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Broxburn Athletic | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +23 | 22 |
| 7 |  Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 8 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 9 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Clydebank | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 20 |
| 11 |  Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 12 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 13 |  Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Celtic II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 15 |  Cumnock Juniors | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 16 |  Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 17 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Bo'ness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 |  Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Musselburgh Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 26 |  Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 9 |
| 27 |  Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 28 | Berwick Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 29 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 30 |  Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -28 | 4 |
| 31 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 32 |  Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 3 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Brechin- ●Brechin have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Brechin have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Brechin have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brechin have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brechin have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Bonnyrigg Rose- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
BrechinWHDunipace3–0
Dunipace3–0LHHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1WAStirling University1–0
Stirling University1–0WALochee United2–1
Lochee United2–1WHMusselburgh Athletic3–1
Musselburgh Athletic3–1WACivil Service Strollers2–0
Civil Service Strollers2–0–ABo'ness United17/10
Bo'ness United17/10–HEast Stirlingshire27/10
East Stirlingshire27/10–AGala Fairydean Rovers31/10
Gala Fairydean Rovers31/10Bonnyrigg RoseWHStirling University6–1
Stirling University6–1WAGala Fairydean Rovers2–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1LACivil Service Strollers0–2
Civil Service Strollers0–2LHHill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2WABerwick Rangers2–0
Berwick Rangers2–0WHEast Stirlingshire4–1
East Stirlingshire4–1–ACowdenbeath17/10
Cowdenbeath17/10–HBo'ness United27/10
Bo'ness United27/10–ALochee United31/10
Lochee United31/10Top Scorers
BrechinM. Taylor5 ⚽
D. Hilson4 ⚽
D. Watson3 ⚽
F. Macleod3 ⚽
B. McKay2 ⚽
L. Martin2 ⚽
Bonnyrigg RoseL. Devine5 ⚽
J. Smith4 ⚽
T. Hogarth3 ⚽
R. Bryce3 ⚽
L. Currie2 ⚽
K. Young2 ⚽
Cards Given
BrechinB. McKay1 🟨
Brad McKay1 🟨
C. Kirk1 🟨
D. Hilson1 🟨
L. Clark1 🟨
L. Martin1 🟨
Bonnyrigg Rose