Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur — FAW Championship
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Buckley Town and Holyhead Hotspur meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Buckley Town have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Holyhead Hotspur have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Buckley Town and 1.93 for Holyhead Hotspur. The models give Buckley Town a 39% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Holyhead Hotspur win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Buckley Town—
Holyhead Hotspur13º
Position
5º
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
4.00
Conceded / game
1.00
69%
BTTS %
67%
8%
Clean sheet %
0%
69%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Buckley Town
Home (1)
—
Holyhead Hotspur
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
4.00
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
60%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Buckley Town | Home | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 86% | 67% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 57% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 29% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 14% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Buckley Town | Home | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 43% | 83% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Buckley Town | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 25% |
| BTTS | 69% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Buckley Town | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Buckley Town (H)D
Colwyn Bay2–2
Colwyn Bay2–2D
Ruthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1W
Penrhyncoch5–0
Penrhyncoch5–0W
Guilsfield3–1
Guilsfield3–1D
Porthmadog1–1
Porthmadog1–1L
Denbigh Town2–4
Denbigh Town2–4Holyhead Hotspur (A)W
Bala Town4–3
Bala Town4–3WDenbigh Town4–2
Denbigh Town4–2L
Llanuwchllyn0–4
Llanuwchllyn0–4L
Mold Alexandra0–1
Mold Alexandra0–1WRuthin Town2–1
Ruthin Town2–1W
Flint Mountain2–1
Flint Mountain2–1Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Buckley Town
38%
3
Draws
38%
2
Holyhead Hotspur
25%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
63%
Over 3.5
5/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
18/04/26Buckley Town
Holyhead Hotspur
5–1Buckley Town12/09/25Holyhead Hotspur
Buckley Town
5–5Holyhead Hotspur18/07/25Buckley Town
Holyhead Hotspur
0–4Buckley Town10/04/23Holyhead Hotspur
Buckley Town
2–2Holyhead Hotspur20/08/22Buckley Town
Holyhead Hotspur
2–0Buckley Town09/04/22Holyhead Hotspur
Buckley Town
2–2Holyhead Hotspur06/11/21Buckley Town
Holyhead Hotspur
1–2Buckley Town09/11/19Buckley Town
Holyhead Hotspur
0–3Buckley Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Buckley Town- ●Buckley Town have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Buckley Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Buckley Town have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Buckley Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Buckley Town have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Buckley Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Buckley Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Holyhead Hotspur- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●75% of Holyhead Hotspur's points have been earned away.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Buckley TownWABala Town3–2
Bala Town3–2DHRuthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1WABangor City 1876 FC6–2
Bangor City 1876 FC6–2DARhyl3–3
Rhyl3–3WHPenrhyncoch5–0
Penrhyncoch5–0LACaersws0–2
Caersws0–2–HHolyhead Hotspur24/10
Holyhead Hotspur24/10–ANewtown AFC31/10
Newtown AFC31/10–HBrickfield Rangers07/11
Brickfield Rangers07/11Holyhead HotspurDHCaersws1–1
Caersws1–1WADenbigh Town4–2
Denbigh Town4–2LHGuilsfield0–2
Guilsfield0–2LHNewtown AFC0–1
Newtown AFC0–1LALlanuwchllyn0–4
Llanuwchllyn0–4DHPorthmadog2–2
Porthmadog2–2–ABuckley Town24/10
Buckley Town24/10–HPenrhyncoch31/10
Penrhyncoch31/10–ARhyl07/11
Rhyl07/11Top Scorers
Buckley TownB. Guest7 ⚽
C. Littler3 ⚽
L. Mariette3 ⚽
A. Johnson2 ⚽
C. Afful2 ⚽
S. McHarrie1 ⚽
Holyhead HotspurC. Owen3 ⚽
J. L. Williams3 ⚽
C. Jones1 ⚽
C. Whelan1 ⚽
J. Phillips1 ⚽
B. Davis1 ⚽