Rhyl vs Newtown AFC — FAW Championship
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Rhyl and Newtown AFC meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Rhyl have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 85% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Newtown AFC have won 73% of their 11 matches, with 2.27 goals scored and 0.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 18%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 73%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Rhyl and 1.72 for Newtown AFC. The models give Rhyl a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Newtown AFC win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Rhyl—
Newtown AFC10º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
85%
BTTS %
18%
0%
Clean sheet %
73%
69%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Rhyl
Home (1)
—
Newtown AFC
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
100%
BTTS %
25%
0%
Clean sheet %
75%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Rhyl | Home | Away | Newtown AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 100% | 75% | 82% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 60% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 40% | 13% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 0% | 25% | 18% | 29% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Rhyl | Home | Away | Newtown AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 80% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 60% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rhyl | Newtown AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 18% |
| BTTS | 85% | 18% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 9% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rhyl | Newtown AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 9% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 73% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 85% | 18% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Rhyl (H)L
Brickfield Rangers2–3
Brickfield Rangers2–3D
Buckley Town3–3
Buckley Town3–3L
Bala Town1–3
Bala Town1–3W
Caersws4–2
Caersws4–2D
Guilsfield1–1
Guilsfield1–1W
Gresford Athletic1–0
Gresford Athletic1–0Newtown AFC (A)W
Mold Alexandra2–1
Mold Alexandra2–1W
Holyhead Hotspur1–0
Holyhead Hotspur1–0WBala Town1–0
Bala Town1–0WGresford Athletic3–0
Gresford Athletic3–0W
Ruthin Town3–2
Ruthin Town3–2L
Holywell0–6
Holywell0–6Head to Head · 17 matches
2
Rhyl
12%
3
Draws
18%
12
Newtown AFC
71%
88%
Over 1.5
15/17
71%
Over 2.5
12/17
41%
Over 3.5
7/17
71%
BTTS
12/17
24/03/26Rhyl
Newtown AFC
6–1Rhyl13/09/25Newtown AFC
Rhyl
2–5Newtown AFC25/01/20Rhyl
Newtown AFC
4–1Rhyl08/12/18Rhyl
Newtown AFC
1–2Rhyl26/03/17Newtown AFC
Rhyl
0–2Newtown AFC11/02/17Rhyl
Newtown AFC
3–2Rhyl10/12/16Newtown AFC
Rhyl
1–3Newtown AFC17/09/16Rhyl
Newtown AFC
3–3Rhyl21/11/15Newtown AFC
Rhyl
1–1Newtown AFC12/09/15Rhyl
Newtown AFC
1–2Rhyl04/04/15Rhyl
Newtown AFC
2–1Rhyl11/01/15Rhyl
Newtown AFC
1–0Rhyl12/10/14Newtown AFC
Rhyl
2–2Newtown AFC18/04/14Newtown AFC
Rhyl
0–3Newtown AFC08/03/14Rhyl
Newtown AFC
2–1Rhyl14/12/13Rhyl
Newtown AFC
2–0Rhyl30/08/13Newtown AFC
Rhyl
0–1Newtown AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Rhyl- ●Rhyl have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Newtown AFC- ●Newtown AFC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newtown AFC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
RhylDARuthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1LHBrickfield Rangers2–3
Brickfield Rangers2–3LAGresford Athletic1–3
Gresford Athletic1–3DHBuckley Town3–3
Buckley Town3–3DABangor City 1876 FC2–2
Bangor City 1876 FC2–2WADenbigh Town3–1
Denbigh Town3–1–HNewtown AFC24/10
Newtown AFC24/10–AMold Alexandra31/10
Mold Alexandra31/10–HHolyhead Hotspur07/11
Holyhead Hotspur07/11Newtown AFCDHBangor City 1876 FC0–0
Bangor City 1876 FC0–0WAMold Alexandra2–1
Mold Alexandra2–1LHPorthmadog0–1
Porthmadog0–1WAHolyhead Hotspur1–0
Holyhead Hotspur1–0WHDenbigh Town1–0
Denbigh Town1–0WABala Town1–0
Bala Town1–0–ARhyl24/10
Rhyl24/10–HBuckley Town31/10
Buckley Town31/10–ARuthin Town06/11
Ruthin Town06/11Top Scorers
RhylD. Cockerline5 ⚽
J. Jones4 ⚽
B. Lightfoot3 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Apantaku2 ⚽
M. Moore2 ⚽
Newtown AFCJ. Hyne5 ⚽
H. Boakye2 ⚽
J. W. Astley2 ⚽
I. Kargbo1 ⚽
1 ⚽
M. Evans1 ⚽
Cards Given
RhylR. Fairhurst1 🟨
Newtown AFC