Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur — FAW Championship
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Rhyl and Holyhead Hotspur meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rhyl have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 85% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Holyhead Hotspur have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Rhyl and 1.63 for Holyhead Hotspur. The models give Rhyl a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Holyhead Hotspur win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Rhyl—
Holyhead Hotspur10º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
85%
BTTS %
64%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
69%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Rhyl
Home (1)
—
Holyhead Hotspur
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Rhyl | Home | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 100% | 75% | 64% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 60% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 40% | 13% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 0% | 25% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Rhyl | Home | Away | Holyhead Hotspur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 80% | 63% | 64% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 60% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rhyl | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 18% |
| BTTS | 85% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rhyl | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 85% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Rhyl (H)L
Brickfield Rangers2–3
Brickfield Rangers2–3D
Buckley Town3–3
Buckley Town3–3L
Bala Town1–3
Bala Town1–3W
Caersws4–2
Caersws4–2D
Guilsfield1–1
Guilsfield1–1W
Gresford Athletic1–0
Gresford Athletic1–0Holyhead Hotspur (A)W
Denbigh Town4–2
Denbigh Town4–2L
Llanuwchllyn0–4
Llanuwchllyn0–4L
Mold Alexandra0–1
Mold Alexandra0–1W
Ruthin Town2–1
Ruthin Town2–1W
Flint Mountain2–1
Flint Mountain2–1DDenbigh Town1–1
Denbigh Town1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Rhyl
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Holyhead Hotspur
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
26/12/25Rhyl
Holyhead Hotspur
3–1Rhyl25/08/25Holyhead Hotspur
Rhyl
4–3Holyhead Hotspur| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Rhyl- ●Rhyl have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rhyl have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rhyl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Holyhead Hotspur- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●75% of Holyhead Hotspur's points have been earned away.
- ●Holyhead Hotspur have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RhylDARuthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1LHBrickfield Rangers2–3
Brickfield Rangers2–3LAGresford Athletic1–3
Gresford Athletic1–3DHBuckley Town3–3
Buckley Town3–3DABangor City 1876 FC2–2
Bangor City 1876 FC2–2WADenbigh Town3–1
Denbigh Town3–1–HNewtown AFC24/10
Newtown AFC24/10–AMold Alexandra31/10
Mold Alexandra31/10–HHolyhead Hotspur07/11
Holyhead Hotspur07/11Holyhead HotspurDHCaersws1–1
Caersws1–1WADenbigh Town4–2
Denbigh Town4–2LHGuilsfield0–2
Guilsfield0–2LHNewtown AFC0–1
Newtown AFC0–1LALlanuwchllyn0–4
Llanuwchllyn0–4DHPorthmadog2–2
Porthmadog2–2–ABuckley Town24/10
Buckley Town24/10–HPenrhyncoch31/10
Penrhyncoch31/10–ARhyl07/11
Rhyl07/11Top Scorers
RhylD. Cockerline5 ⚽
J. Jones4 ⚽
B. Lightfoot3 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Apantaku2 ⚽
M. Moore2 ⚽
Holyhead HotspurC. Owen3 ⚽
J. L. Williams3 ⚽
C. Jones1 ⚽
C. Whelan1 ⚽
J. Phillips1 ⚽
B. Davis1 ⚽
Cards Given
RhylR. Fairhurst1 🟨
Holyhead Hotspur