Buckley Town vs Caersws — FAW Championship
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Buckley Town and Caersws meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 18 December 2026. Buckley Town have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Caersws have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Buckley Town and 1.96 for Caersws. The models give Buckley Town a 34% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Caersws win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Buckley Town—
Caersws13º
Position
7º
0.00
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
4.00
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
67%
7%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Buckley Town
Home (1)
—
Caersws
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
4.00
Conceded / game
2.00
63%
BTTS %
83%
13%
Clean sheet %
17%
63%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Buckley Town | Home | Away | Caersws | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 57% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 43% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 43% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Buckley Town | Home | Away | Caersws | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 88% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 86% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Buckley Town | Caersws | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Buckley Town | Caersws | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Buckley Town (H)L
Holyhead Hotspur0–2
Holyhead Hotspur0–2D
Colwyn Bay2–2
Colwyn Bay2–2D
Ruthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1W
Penrhyncoch5–0
Penrhyncoch5–0W
Guilsfield3–1
Guilsfield3–1D
Porthmadog1–1
Porthmadog1–1Caersws (A)DHolyhead Hotspur1–1
Holyhead Hotspur1–1W
Llanuwchllyn5–2
Llanuwchllyn5–2WRuthin Town3–0
Ruthin Town3–0WPorthmadog3–1
Porthmadog3–1L
Rhyl2–4
Rhyl2–4D
Mold Alexandra2–2
Mold Alexandra2–2Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Buckley Town
29%
1
Draws
14%
4
Caersws
57%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
31/08/26Buckley Town
Caersws
2–0Buckley Town13/04/26Buckley Town
Caersws
3–2Buckley Town01/11/25Caersws
Buckley Town
4–3Caersws25/03/25Caersws
Buckley Town
2–4Caersws12/10/24Buckley Town
Caersws
3–0Buckley Town27/01/24Caersws
Buckley Town
2–1Caersws16/12/23Buckley Town
Caersws
2–2Buckley Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 |  Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Buckley Town- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Buckley Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Buckley Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Buckley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Caersws- ●Caersws have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Caersws failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Caersws have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Caersws have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Caersws have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Caersws have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Caersws failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Caersws failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Caersws have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Caersws have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Caersws's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Buckley TownLANewtown AFC0–2
Newtown AFC0–2LHHolyhead Hotspur0–2
Holyhead Hotspur0–2WABala Town3–2
Bala Town3–2DHRuthin Town1–1
Ruthin Town1–1WABangor City 1876 FC6–2
Bangor City 1876 FC6–2DARhyl3–3
Rhyl3–3–HBrickfield Rangers07/11
Brickfield Rangers07/11–AGresford Athletic21/11
Gresford Athletic21/11–HLlanuwchllyn28/11
Llanuwchllyn28/11CaerswsDHBangor City 1876 FC1–1
Bangor City 1876 FC1–1DHGuilsfield2–2
Guilsfield2–2DAHolyhead Hotspur1–1
Holyhead Hotspur1–1DHBala Town3–3
Bala Town3–3WALlanuwchllyn5–2
Llanuwchllyn5–2LHBrickfield Rangers0–2
Brickfield Rangers0–2–APenrhyncoch06/11
Penrhyncoch06/11–HDenbigh Town21/11
Denbigh Town21/11–ABala Town27/11
Bala Town27/11Top Scorers
Buckley TownB. Guest7 ⚽
C. Littler3 ⚽
L. Mariette3 ⚽
A. Johnson2 ⚽
C. Afful2 ⚽
S. McHarrie1 ⚽
CaerswsI. Smout3 ⚽
A. Harries3 ⚽
A. Jones2 ⚽
C. Francis-Jones2 ⚽
J. Marks2 ⚽
J. Morris2 ⚽
Cards Given
Buckley TownD. Burgess2 🟨
CaerswsT. Rowlands2 🟨
T. Edwards1 🟨