Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town — FAW Championship
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Swansea University and Carmarthen Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Swansea University have recorded 5 wins from 6 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 3.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Carmarthen Town have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.25 for Swansea University and 1.71 for Carmarthen Town. The models give Swansea University a 52% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Carmarthen Town win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Swansea University—
Carmarthen Town1º
Position
6º
2.67
PPG
1.57
83%
Win %
43%
3.67
Goals / game
2.43
0.83
Conceded / game
2.29
33%
BTTS %
100%
67%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Swansea University
Home (3)
—
Carmarthen Town
Away (2)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
3.67
Goals / game
2.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.50
33%
BTTS %
100%
67%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Swansea University | Home | Away | Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 90% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 30% | 38% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Swansea University | Home | Away | Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 0% | 80% | 88% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 63% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swansea University | Carmarthen Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS | 33% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 100% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 67% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swansea University | Carmarthen Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 83% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 83% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 83% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 100% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 17% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 70% |
Recent Venue Form
Swansea University (H)W
Pontardawe Town4–0
Pontardawe Town4–0D
Pontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4W
llanelli AFC3–0
llanelli AFC3–0L
Trefelin1–6
Trefelin1–6W
Baglan Dragons5–1
Baglan Dragons5–1W
Cambrian & Clydach1–0
Cambrian & Clydach1–0Carmarthen Town (A)Dllanelli AFC2–2
llanelli AFC2–2W
Newport City2–1
Newport City2–1L
Treowen Stars1–4
Treowen Stars1–4WBaglan Dragons7–0
Baglan Dragons7–0W
Cardiff Draconians3–2
Cardiff Draconians3–2W
Trethomas Bluebirds5–4
Trethomas Bluebirds5–4Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Swansea University
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
Carmarthen Town
100%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
0%
BTTS
0/4
10/03/23Carmarthen Town
Swansea University
0–5Carmarthen Town13/08/22Swansea University
Carmarthen Town
5–0Swansea University26/02/22Carmarthen Town
Swansea University
0–1Carmarthen Town28/08/21Swansea University
Carmarthen Town
2–0Swansea University| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 |  Bala Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Mold Alexandra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Porthmadog | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caersws | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Guilsfield | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Buckley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 16 |  Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -23 | 1 |
Team Insights
Swansea University- ●Swansea University have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Swansea University have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Swansea University have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Swansea University have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Swansea University have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Swansea University have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Carmarthen Town- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●76% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Swansea UniversityWHPontardawe Town4–0
Pontardawe Town4–0DHPontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4WACaerau (Ely)5–1
Caerau (Ely)5–1WHllanelli AFC3–0
llanelli AFC3–0WABaglan Dragons3–0
Baglan Dragons3–0WALlantwit Major3–0
Llantwit Major3–0–AAberystwyth Town25/09
Aberystwyth Town25/09–HCaerphilly Athletic03/10
Caerphilly Athletic03/10–AAfan Lido09/10
Afan Lido09/10Carmarthen TownDHYnyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2LHTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3DAllanelli AFC2–2
llanelli AFC2–2LHTreowen Stars2–4
Treowen Stars2–4WHAfan Lido3–1
Afan Lido3–1WANewport City2–1
Newport City2–1–ABaglan Dragons25/09
Baglan Dragons25/09–HLlantwit Major02/10
Llantwit Major02/10–ACardiff Draconians10/10
Cardiff Draconians10/10Top Scorers
Swansea UniversityC. Coughlin5 ⚽
B. Gibbings4 ⚽
K. Copp3 ⚽
M. Kelly2 ⚽
J. Lloyd1 ⚽
J. Lund1 ⚽
Carmarthen Town7 ⚽
L. Thomas3 ⚽
L. Reed3 ⚽
H. Jones2 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽
D. Phillips1 ⚽
Cards Given
Swansea UniversityCarmarthen TownR. Jenkins1 🟨