Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians — FAW Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Llantwit Major and Cardiff Draconians meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Llantwit Major have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Cardiff Draconians have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Llantwit Major and 1.34 for Cardiff Draconians. The models give Llantwit Major a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cardiff Draconians win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Llantwit Major—
Cardiff Draconians15º
Position
13º
0.89
PPG
1.13
22%
Win %
25%
0.89
Goals / game
1.38
2.33
Conceded / game
1.75
60%
BTTS %
78%
10%
Clean sheet %
11%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Llantwit Major
Home (4)
—
Cardiff Draconians
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
0.50
25%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
0.00
1.25
Conceded / game
0.50
25%
BTTS %
33%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 83% | 78% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 17% | 22% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 67% | 44% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 67% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Llantwit Major | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 22% |
| BTTS | 60% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Llantwit Major | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 90% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Llantwit Major (H)D
Pontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1W
llanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Swansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3L
Cambrian & Clydach1–3
Cambrian & Clydach1–3L
Caerau (Ely)1–4
Caerau (Ely)1–4Cardiff Draconians (A)W
Radnor Valley3–1
Radnor Valley3–1D
Caerphilly Athletic0–0
Caerphilly Athletic0–0L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1D
Trethomas Bluebirds4–4
Trethomas Bluebirds4–4L
Ammanford AFC1–2
Ammanford AFC1–2L
Trefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Llantwit Major
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Cardiff Draconians
100%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
26/12/25Llantwit Major
Cardiff Draconians
2–0Llantwit Major27/09/25Cardiff Draconians
Llantwit Major
0–2Cardiff Draconians| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●100% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●89% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Llantwit MajorDHPontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1LAPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4WACarmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1WHllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0DATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5–ACaerau (Ely)23/10
Caerau (Ely)23/10–HNewport City31/10
Newport City31/10–ATrethomas Bluebirds07/11
Trethomas Bluebirds07/11Cardiff DraconiansDHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1WHllanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2LHPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4–ATrethomas Bluebirds23/10
Trethomas Bluebirds23/10–HAfan Lido31/10
Afan Lido31/10–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11Top Scorers
Llantwit MajorA. Roscrow3 ⚽
T. M. Stokes2 ⚽
T. Tweedy2 ⚽
C. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley2 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Llantwit MajorCardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨